Association between population distribution and urban GDP scaling

Urban scaling and Zipf’s law are two fundamental paradigms for the science of cities. These laws have mostly been investigated independently and are often perceived as disassociated matters. Here we present a large scale investigation about the connection between these two laws using population and...

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Vydáno v:PloS one Ročník 16; číslo 1; s. e0245771
Hlavní autoři: Ribeiro, Haroldo V., Oehlers, Milena, Moreno-Monroy, Ana I., Kropp, Jürgen P., Rybski, Diego
Médium: Journal Article
Jazyk:angličtina
Vydáno: United States Public Library of Science 22.01.2021
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ISSN:1932-6203, 1932-6203
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Abstract Urban scaling and Zipf’s law are two fundamental paradigms for the science of cities. These laws have mostly been investigated independently and are often perceived as disassociated matters. Here we present a large scale investigation about the connection between these two laws using population and GDP data from almost five thousand consistently-defined cities in 96 countries. We empirically demonstrate that both laws are tied to each other and derive an expression relating the urban scaling and Zipf exponents. This expression captures the average tendency of the empirical relation between both exponents, and simulations yield very similar results to the real data after accounting for random variations. We find that while the vast majority of countries exhibit increasing returns to scale of urban GDP, this effect is less pronounced in countries with fewer small cities and more metropolises (small Zipf exponent) than in countries with a more uneven number of small and large cities (large Zipf exponent). Our research puts forward the idea that urban scaling does not solely emerge from intra-city processes, as population distribution and scaling of urban GDP are correlated to each other.
AbstractList Urban scaling and Zipf's law are two fundamental paradigms for the science of cities. These laws have mostly been investigated independently and are often perceived as disassociated matters. Here we present a large scale investigation about the connection between these two laws using population and GDP data from almost five thousand consistently-defined cities in 96 countries. We empirically demonstrate that both laws are tied to each other and derive an expression relating the urban scaling and Zipf exponents. This expression captures the average tendency of the empirical relation between both exponents, and simulations yield very similar results to the real data after accounting for random variations. We find that while the vast majority of countries exhibit increasing returns to scale of urban GDP, this effect is less pronounced in countries with fewer small cities and more metropolises (small Zipf exponent) than in countries with a more uneven number of small and large cities (large Zipf exponent). Our research puts forward the idea that urban scaling does not solely emerge from intra-city processes, as population distribution and scaling of urban GDP are correlated to each other.Urban scaling and Zipf's law are two fundamental paradigms for the science of cities. These laws have mostly been investigated independently and are often perceived as disassociated matters. Here we present a large scale investigation about the connection between these two laws using population and GDP data from almost five thousand consistently-defined cities in 96 countries. We empirically demonstrate that both laws are tied to each other and derive an expression relating the urban scaling and Zipf exponents. This expression captures the average tendency of the empirical relation between both exponents, and simulations yield very similar results to the real data after accounting for random variations. We find that while the vast majority of countries exhibit increasing returns to scale of urban GDP, this effect is less pronounced in countries with fewer small cities and more metropolises (small Zipf exponent) than in countries with a more uneven number of small and large cities (large Zipf exponent). Our research puts forward the idea that urban scaling does not solely emerge from intra-city processes, as population distribution and scaling of urban GDP are correlated to each other.
Urban scaling and Zipf’s law are two fundamental paradigms for the science of cities. These laws have mostly been investigated independently and are often perceived as disassociated matters. Here we present a large scale investigation about the connection between these two laws using population and GDP data from almost five thousand consistently-defined cities in 96 countries. We empirically demonstrate that both laws are tied to each other and derive an expression relating the urban scaling and Zipf exponents. This expression captures the average tendency of the empirical relation between both exponents, and simulations yield very similar results to the real data after accounting for random variations. We find that while the vast majority of countries exhibit increasing returns to scale of urban GDP, this effect is less pronounced in countries with fewer small cities and more metropolises (small Zipf exponent) than in countries with a more uneven number of small and large cities (large Zipf exponent). Our research puts forward the idea that urban scaling does not solely emerge from intra-city processes, as population distribution and scaling of urban GDP are correlated to each other.
Audience Academic
Author Moreno-Monroy, Ana I.
Oehlers, Milena
Rybski, Diego
Ribeiro, Haroldo V.
Kropp, Jürgen P.
AuthorAffiliation 2 Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research – PIK, Member of Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
3 OECD, Paris, France
4 Department of Geography and Planning, University of Liverpool, Chatham St, Liverpool, United Kingdom
6 Department of Environmental Science Policy and Management, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States of America
1 Departamento de Física, Universidade Estadual de Maringá, Maringá, PR, Brazil
5 Institute for Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
China University of Geosciences, CHINA
AuthorAffiliation_xml – name: 3 OECD, Paris, France
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– name: 5 Institute for Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
– name: 4 Department of Geography and Planning, University of Liverpool, Chatham St, Liverpool, United Kingdom
– name: China University of Geosciences, CHINA
– name: 2 Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research – PIK, Member of Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
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  givenname: Milena
  surname: Oehlers
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BackLink https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33481927$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed
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Snippet Urban scaling and Zipf’s law are two fundamental paradigms for the science of cities. These laws have mostly been investigated independently and are often...
Urban scaling and Zipf's law are two fundamental paradigms for the science of cities. These laws have mostly been investigated independently and are often...
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Biology and Life Sciences
Cities
Datasets
Earth Sciences
Earthquakes
Economic aspects
Economies of scale
Editing
Environmental management
Environmental science
Forecasts and trends
GDP
Geography
Gross Domestic Product
Methodology
Permutations
Population
Population distribution
Research and Analysis Methods
Reviews
Scaling
Science policy
Social Sciences
Urban areas
Urban population
Urban populations
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