Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus

The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases—including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika—is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key vectors: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus . The distribution of these species is largely driven by both human movement...

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Vydáno v:	Nature microbiology Ročník 4; číslo 5; s. 854 - 863
Hlavní autoři:	Kraemer, Moritz U. G., Reiner, Robert C., Brady, Oliver J., Messina, Jane P., Gilbert, Marius, Pigott, David M., Yi, Dingdong, Johnson, Kimberly, Earl, Lucas, Marczak, Laurie B., Shirude, Shreya, Davis Weaver, Nicole, Bisanzio, Donal, Perkins, T. Alex, Lai, Shengjie, Lu, Xin, Jones, Peter, Coelho, Giovanini E., Carvalho, Roberta G., Van Bortel, Wim, Marsboom, Cedric, Hendrickx, Guy, Schaffner, Francis, Moore, Chester G., Nax, Heinrich H., Bengtsson, Linus, Wetter, Erik, Tatem, Andrew J., Brownstein, John S., Smith, David L., Lambrechts, Louis, Cauchemez, Simon, Linard, Catherine, Faria, Nuno R., Pybus, Oliver G., Scott, Thomas W., Liu, Qiyong, Yu, Hongjie, Wint, G. R. William, Hay, Simon I., Golding, Nick
Médium:	Journal Article
Jazyk:	angličtina
Vydáno:	London Nature Publishing Group UK 01.05.2019 Nature Publishing Group
Témata:	631/326 692/699/255 Aedes - classification Aedes - physiology Aedes - virology Aedes aegypti Aedes albopictus Animals Arbovirus Infections - transmission Arbovirus Infections - virology Arboviruses - genetics Arboviruses - physiology Biomedical and Life Sciences Climate change Dengue fever Female Humans Infectious Diseases Life Sciences Medical Microbiology Microbiology Microbiology and Parasitology Mosquito Vectors - classification Mosquito Vectors - physiology Mosquito Vectors - virology Parasitology Species Statistical analysis Surveillance Urbanization Vectors Virology Yellow fever Zika virus
ISSN:	2058-5276, 2058-5276
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Shrnutí:	The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases—including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika—is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key vectors: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus . The distribution of these species is largely driven by both human movement and the presence of suitable climate. Using statistical mapping techniques, we show that human movement patterns explain the spread of both species in Europe and the United States following their introduction. We find that the spread of Ae. aegypti is characterized by long distance importations, while Ae. albopictus has expanded more along the fringes of its distribution. We describe these processes and predict the future distributions of both species in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change. Global surveillance and control efforts that aim to mitigate the spread of chikungunya, dengue, yellow fever and Zika viruses must consider the so far unabated spread of these mosquitos. Our maps and predictions offer an opportunity to strategically target surveillance and control programmes and thereby augment efforts to reduce arbovirus burden in human populations globally. Statistical mapping techniques provide insights into the spread of two key arbovirus vectors in Europe and the United States, and predict the future distributions of both mosquitoes in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change.
Bibliografie:	ObjectType-Article-1 SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1 ObjectType-Feature-2 content type line 14 content type line 23
ISSN:	2058-5276 2058-5276
DOI:	10.1038/s41564-019-0376-y