Exploring the Drivers of Global and Local Sea‐Level Change Over the 21st Century and Beyond

We present a new set of global and local sea‐level projections at example tide gauge locations under the RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 emissions scenarios. Compared to the CMIP5‐based sea‐level projections presented in IPCC AR5, we introduce a number of methodological innovations, including (i) more co...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published in:Earth's future Vol. 8; no. 9
Main Authors: Palmer, M. D., Gregory, J. M., Bagge, M., Calvert, D., Hagedoorn, J. M., Howard, T., Klemann, V., Lowe, J. A., Roberts, C. D., Slangen, A. B. A., Spada, G.
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Bognor Regis John Wiley & Sons, Inc 01.09.2020
Wiley
Subjects:
21st century
Antarctic ice
Breakdown
Climate change
Climate models
CMIP5 models
Dynamic response
Emissions
Environmental aspects
Estimates
Forecasts and trends
Gauges
Geographical locations
Ice sheets
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Market trend/market analysis
open climate campaign
Palmer, Howard
RCP scenarios
Sea level
Sea level rise
sea‐level projections
tide gauge observations
Tides
Time dependence
Uncertainty
Variability
United Kingdom
United Kingdom > UK
ISSN:2328-4277, 2328-4277
Online Access:Get full text
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Abstract We present a new set of global and local sea‐level projections at example tide gauge locations under the RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 emissions scenarios. Compared to the CMIP5‐based sea‐level projections presented in IPCC AR5, we introduce a number of methodological innovations, including (i) more comprehensive treatment of uncertainties, (ii) direct traceability between global and local projections, and (iii) exploratory extended projections to 2300 based on emulation of individual CMIP5 models. Combining the projections with observed tide gauge records, we explore the contribution to total variance that arises from sea‐level variability, different emissions scenarios, and model uncertainty. For the period out to 2300 we further breakdown the model uncertainty by sea‐level component and consider the dependence on geographic location, time horizon, and emissions scenario. Our analysis highlights the importance of local variability for sea‐level change in the coming decades and the potential value of annual‐to‐decadal predictions of local sea‐level change. Projections to 2300 show a substantial degree of committed sea‐level rise under all emissions scenarios considered and highlight the reduced future risk associated with RCP2.6 and RCP4.5 compared to RCP8.5. Tide gauge locations can show large ( > 50%) departures from the global average, in some cases even reversing the sign of the change. While uncertainty in projections of the future Antarctic ice dynamic response tends to dominate post‐2100, we see substantial differences in the breakdown of model variance as a function of location, time scale, and emissions scenario. Key Points We have developed a new set of global and local sea‐level projections for the 21st century and extended to 2300 that are rooted in CMIP5 climate model simulations, including more comprehensive treatment of uncertainty than previously reported in IPCC AR5 Analysis of local sea‐level projections and tide gauge data suggests that local variability will dominate the total variance in sea‐level change for the coming decades at all locations considered The extended sea‐level projections highlight the substantial multicentury sea‐level rise commitment under all RCP scenarios and the dependence of modeling uncertainty on geographic location, time horizon, and climate scenario
AbstractList We present a new set of global and local sea‐level projections at example tide gauge locations under the RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 emissions scenarios. Compared to the CMIP5‐based sea‐level projections presented in IPCC AR5, we introduce a number of methodological innovations, including (i) more comprehensive treatment of uncertainties, (ii) direct traceability between global and local projections, and (iii) exploratory extended projections to 2300 based on emulation of individual CMIP5 models. Combining the projections with observed tide gauge records, we explore the contribution to total variance that arises from sea‐level variability, different emissions scenarios, and model uncertainty. For the period out to 2300 we further breakdown the model uncertainty by sea‐level component and consider the dependence on geographic location, time horizon, and emissions scenario. Our analysis highlights the importance of local variability for sea‐level change in the coming decades and the potential value of annual‐to‐decadal predictions of local sea‐level change. Projections to 2300 show a substantial degree of committed sea‐level rise under all emissions scenarios considered and highlight the reduced future risk associated with RCP2.6 and RCP4.5 compared to RCP8.5. Tide gauge locations can show large ( > 50%) departures from the global average, in some cases even reversing the sign of the change. While uncertainty in projections of the future Antarctic ice dynamic response tends to dominate post‐2100, we see substantial differences in the breakdown of model variance as a function of location, time scale, and emissions scenario.
We present a new set of global and local sea‐level projections at example tide gauge locations under the RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 emissions scenarios. Compared to the CMIP5‐based sea‐level projections presented in IPCC AR5, we introduce a number of methodological innovations, including (i) more comprehensive treatment of uncertainties, (ii) direct traceability between global and local projections, and (iii) exploratory extended projections to 2300 based on emulation of individual CMIP5 models. Combining the projections with observed tide gauge records, we explore the contribution to total variance that arises from sea‐level variability, different emissions scenarios, and model uncertainty. For the period out to 2300 we further breakdown the model uncertainty by sea‐level component and consider the dependence on geographic location, time horizon, and emissions scenario. Our analysis highlights the importance of local variability for sea‐level change in the coming decades and the potential value of annual‐to‐decadal predictions of local sea‐level change. Projections to 2300 show a substantial degree of committed sea‐level rise under all emissions scenarios considered and highlight the reduced future risk associated with RCP2.6 and RCP4.5 compared to RCP8.5. Tide gauge locations can show large ( > 50%) departures from the global average, in some cases even reversing the sign of the change. While uncertainty in projections of the future Antarctic ice dynamic response tends to dominate post‐2100, we see substantial differences in the breakdown of model variance as a function of location, time scale, and emissions scenario. Key Points We have developed a new set of global and local sea‐level projections for the 21st century and extended to 2300 that are rooted in CMIP5 climate model simulations, including more comprehensive treatment of uncertainty than previously reported in IPCC AR5 Analysis of local sea‐level projections and tide gauge data suggests that local variability will dominate the total variance in sea‐level change for the coming decades at all locations considered The extended sea‐level projections highlight the substantial multicentury sea‐level rise commitment under all RCP scenarios and the dependence of modeling uncertainty on geographic location, time horizon, and climate scenario
We present a new set of global and local sea‐level projections at example tide gauge locations under the RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 emissions scenarios. Compared to the CMIP5‐based sea‐level projections presented in IPCC AR5, we introduce a number of methodological innovations, including (i) more comprehensive treatment of uncertainties, (ii) direct traceability between global and local projections, and (iii) exploratory extended projections to 2300 based on emulation of individual CMIP5 models. Combining the projections with observed tide gauge records, we explore the contribution to total variance that arises from sea‐level variability, different emissions scenarios, and model uncertainty. For the period out to 2300 we further breakdown the model uncertainty by sea‐level component and consider the dependence on geographic location, time horizon, and emissions scenario. Our analysis highlights the importance of local variability for sea‐level change in the coming decades and the potential value of annual‐to‐decadal predictions of local sea‐level change. Projections to 2300 show a substantial degree of committed sea‐level rise under all emissions scenarios considered and highlight the reduced future risk associated with RCP2.6 and RCP4.5 compared to RCP8.5. Tide gauge locations can show large ( > 50%) departures from the global average, in some cases even reversing the sign of the change. While uncertainty in projections of the future Antarctic ice dynamic response tends to dominate post‐2100, we see substantial differences in the breakdown of model variance as a function of location, time scale, and emissions scenario. We have developed a new set of global and local sea‐level projections for the 21st century and extended to 2300 that are rooted in CMIP5 climate model simulations, including more comprehensive treatment of uncertainty than previously reported in IPCC AR5 Analysis of local sea‐level projections and tide gauge data suggests that local variability will dominate the total variance in sea‐level change for the coming decades at all locations considered The extended sea‐level projections highlight the substantial multicentury sea‐level rise commitment under all RCP scenarios and the dependence of modeling uncertainty on geographic location, time horizon, and climate scenario
Abstract We present a new set of global and local sea‐level projections at example tide gauge locations under the RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 emissions scenarios. Compared to the CMIP5‐based sea‐level projections presented in IPCC AR5, we introduce a number of methodological innovations, including (i) more comprehensive treatment of uncertainties, (ii) direct traceability between global and local projections, and (iii) exploratory extended projections to 2300 based on emulation of individual CMIP5 models. Combining the projections with observed tide gauge records, we explore the contribution to total variance that arises from sea‐level variability, different emissions scenarios, and model uncertainty. For the period out to 2300 we further breakdown the model uncertainty by sea‐level component and consider the dependence on geographic location, time horizon, and emissions scenario. Our analysis highlights the importance of local variability for sea‐level change in the coming decades and the potential value of annual‐to‐decadal predictions of local sea‐level change. Projections to 2300 show a substantial degree of committed sea‐level rise under all emissions scenarios considered and highlight the reduced future risk associated with RCP2.6 and RCP4.5 compared to RCP8.5. Tide gauge locations can show large ( > 50%) departures from the global average, in some cases even reversing the sign of the change. While uncertainty in projections of the future Antarctic ice dynamic response tends to dominate post‐2100, we see substantial differences in the breakdown of model variance as a function of location, time scale, and emissions scenario.
Audience General
Author Calvert, D.
Palmer, M. D.
Bagge, M.
Klemann, V.
Slangen, A. B. A.
Gregory, J. M.
Howard, T.
Lowe, J. A.
Roberts, C. D.
Spada, G.
Hagedoorn, J. M.
Author_xml – sequence: 1
  givenname: M. D.
  orcidid: 0000-0001-7422-198X
  surname: Palmer
  fullname: Palmer, M. D.
  email: matthew.palmer@metoffice.gov.uk
  organization: Met Office Hadley Centre
– sequence: 2
  givenname: J. M.
  orcidid: 0000-0003-1296-8644
  surname: Gregory
  fullname: Gregory, J. M.
  organization: University of Reading
– sequence: 3
  givenname: M.
  orcidid: 0000-0002-2011-5644
  surname: Bagge
  fullname: Bagge, M.
  organization: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences
– sequence: 4
  givenname: D.
  surname: Calvert
  fullname: Calvert, D.
  organization: Met Office Hadley Centre
– sequence: 5
  givenname: J. M.
  surname: Hagedoorn
  fullname: Hagedoorn, J. M.
  organization: University of Potsdam
– sequence: 6
  givenname: T.
  orcidid: 0000-0001-5951-9307
  surname: Howard
  fullname: Howard, T.
  organization: Met Office Hadley Centre
– sequence: 7
  givenname: V.
  orcidid: 0000-0002-8342-8947
  surname: Klemann
  fullname: Klemann, V.
  organization: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences
– sequence: 8
  givenname: J. A.
  surname: Lowe
  fullname: Lowe, J. A.
  organization: Met Office Hadley Centre
– sequence: 9
  givenname: C. D.
  orcidid: 0000-0002-2958-6637
  surname: Roberts
  fullname: Roberts, C. D.
  organization: Now at ECMWF
– sequence: 10
  givenname: A. B. A.
  orcidid: 0000-0001-6268-6683
  surname: Slangen
  fullname: Slangen, A. B. A.
  organization: Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research
– sequence: 11
  givenname: G.
  orcidid: 0000-0001-7615-4709
  surname: Spada
  fullname: Spada, G.
  organization: Università degli Studi di Urbino “Carlo Bo”
BookMark eNp9ksFu1DAQhiNUJErpjQeIxAmJFNtx7ORYtrvbSpH2QDkiy3HGqVdpvDje0r3xCDwjT9LpBqQugtqHGY2-fzwzntfJ0eAHSJK3lJxRwqqPjNBqviCEcpq_SI5ZzsqMMymPnvivktNxXBM8lSR5IY-Tr_P7Te-DG7o03kB6EdwdhDH1Nl32vtF9qoc2rb1B7zPoXz9-1nAHfTq70UMH6QrhvY7RMaYzGOI27PaST7DzQ_smeWl1P8Lpb3uSfFnMr2eXWb1aXs3O68wIXhaZlcRaaBohLdqCV4SChIoTIxtbirKxlBgGNG-Y1ZaWjQShDacNdiFlAflJcjXlbb1eq01wtzrslNdO7QM-dEqH6EwPihVMNLyoCgaEt0RUVQuybXlVccAqGOZ6N-XaBP9tC2NUa78NA5aPWlkQSnmeP0txLggVOZNInU1Up_FpN1gfgzZ4W7h1Bv_POoyfYxelwIoeBe8PBMhEuI-d3o6jKpf1IZv9izW-76EDhQOerQ55NvEm-HEMYJVxUUeHsqBdryhRj4ukni4Sij78Jfoz3f_gdMK_Y2O7Z1k1X1wzURb5A0br0-0
CitedBy_id crossref_primary_10_1029_2023EF004403
crossref_primary_10_1088_2515_7620_ac2e6e
crossref_primary_10_1146_annurev_earth_031621_093732
crossref_primary_10_1017_cft_2022_8
crossref_primary_10_3390_jmse10060779
crossref_primary_10_5194_esd_12_783_2021
crossref_primary_10_1038_s41467_025_58783_6
crossref_primary_10_1088_2515_7620_acc020
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_pocean_2025_103497
crossref_primary_10_1029_2024EF004862
crossref_primary_10_13168_AGG_2025_0019
crossref_primary_10_1029_2022RG000788
crossref_primary_10_3390_hydrology10110205
crossref_primary_10_1029_2024GL113691
crossref_primary_10_1038_s41612_025_01126_5
crossref_primary_10_5194_cp_20_597_2024
crossref_primary_10_1029_2020GL092064
crossref_primary_10_1088_1748_9326_ad33d4
crossref_primary_10_1029_2024JC021840
crossref_primary_10_1038_s43247_023_00868_5
crossref_primary_10_1029_2021EF002576
crossref_primary_10_1111_gcb_15871
crossref_primary_10_1007_s00382_021_05727_7
crossref_primary_10_1177_09596836221106971
crossref_primary_10_3389_fmars_2023_1102485
crossref_primary_10_1029_2023AV000996
crossref_primary_10_1029_2020EF001825
crossref_primary_10_1038_s41612_023_00466_4
crossref_primary_10_1007_s00382_023_06659_0
crossref_primary_10_1109_JSTARS_2020_3048724
crossref_primary_10_5194_tc_17_79_2023
crossref_primary_10_1038_s41586_021_03302_y
crossref_primary_10_1186_s12302_021_00502_1
crossref_primary_10_1017_cft_2023_22
crossref_primary_10_1088_2515_7620_ac4a90
crossref_primary_10_1007_s10584_024_03734_1
crossref_primary_10_5194_esd_13_1417_2022
crossref_primary_10_1007_s10236_025_01711_5
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_landurbplan_2022_104374
crossref_primary_10_3389_frsc_2023_1308684
crossref_primary_10_1029_2022JF007010
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_wace_2024_100689
crossref_primary_10_1029_2020MS002323
crossref_primary_10_3390_jmse9101094
crossref_primary_10_5194_nhess_21_3693_2021
crossref_primary_10_1029_2023EF003550
crossref_primary_10_5194_os_20_835_2024
Cites_doi 10.1093/gji/ggu140
10.1029/2012GL051230
10.1073/pnas.1717312115
10.5194/essd-10-281-2018
10.1029/2018EF000991
10.1007/s10712-019-09550-y
10.5194/os-12-613-2016
10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0886.1
10.1017/CBO9780511569579
10.1038/s41561-019-0300-3
10.1086/310310
10.1038/s41586-019-0901-4
10.1029/2019EF001163
10.1029/91JB01284
10.1007/s00382-013-1973-8
10.1029/2018EF001071
10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00195.1
10.1002/2014EF000239
10.1093/gji/ggu369
10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1
10.5194/gmd-9-3993-2016
10.1007/s10584-019-02443-4
10.1017/jog.2019.22
10.1002/2014JB011176
10.1038/333036a0
10.1007/s10584-018-2317-9
10.1088/1748-9326/aad2e4
10.5194/esd-4-11-2013
10.1007/s00382-012-1410-4
10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0477.1
10.1038/nclimate1778
10.1016/j.cageo.2012.06.022
10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z
10.1146/annurev.earth.32.082503.144359
10.1088/2515-7620/ab42d7
10.1007/s10584-014-1080-9
10.1016/0031-9201(81)90046-7
10.1007/s00382-015-2499-z
10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00521.1
10.5194/esd-5-271-2014
10.1038/ngeo462
10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.10.006
10.5194/gmd-8-2723-2015
10.1038/nature17145
10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1
10.5194/gmd-12-5055-2019
10.5194/tc-7-469-2013
10.5194/gmd-10-2495-2017
10.1093/gji/ggy280
10.1038/s41467-018-04692-w
10.1111/j.1365-246X.1976.tb01252.x
10.5194/tc-7-141-2013
10.5670/oceanog.2011.25
10.2112/JCOASTRES-D-12-00175.1
ContentType Journal Article
Copyright 2020. Crown copyright. Earth's Future published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Geophysical Union
COPYRIGHT 2020 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
2020. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.
Copyright_xml – notice: 2020. Crown copyright. Earth's Future published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Geophysical Union
– notice: COPYRIGHT 2020 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
– notice: 2020. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.
DBID 24P
AAYXX
CITATION
8GL
7ST
7TG
ABUWG
AEUYN
AFKRA
ATCPS
AZQEC
BENPR
BHPHI
BKSAR
C1K
CCPQU
DWQXO
GNUQQ
HCIFZ
KL.
PATMY
PCBAR
PHGZM
PHGZT
PIMPY
PKEHL
PQEST
PQQKQ
PQUKI
PRINS
PYCSY
SOI
DOA
DOI 10.1029/2019EF001413
DatabaseName Wiley Online Library Open Access
CrossRef
Gale In Context: High School
Environment Abstracts
Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts
ProQuest Central (Alumni)
ProQuest One Sustainability (subscription)
ProQuest Central UK/Ireland
Agricultural & Environmental Science Collection
ProQuest Central Essentials
ProQuest Central Database Suite (ProQuest)
Natural Science Collection
Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Database
Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management
ProQuest One Community College
ProQuest Central
ProQuest Central Student
ProQuest SciTech Premium Collection
Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts - Academic
Environmental Science Database (subscripiton)
Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Database
Proquest Central Premium
ProQuest One Academic (New)
ProQuest Publicly Available Content Database
ProQuest One Academic Middle East (New)
ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)
ProQuest One Academic (retired)
ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition
ProQuest Central China
Environmental Science Collection
Environment Abstracts
DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals
DatabaseTitle CrossRef
Publicly Available Content Database
ProQuest Central Student
ProQuest One Academic Middle East (New)
ProQuest Central Essentials
ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)
SciTech Premium Collection
ProQuest One Community College
ProQuest Central China
Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management
Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Collection
ProQuest Central
ProQuest One Sustainability
Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts
Natural Science Collection
ProQuest Central Korea
Agricultural & Environmental Science Collection
ProQuest Central (New)
ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition
Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Database
Environmental Science Collection
ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition
Environmental Science Database
ProQuest One Academic
Environment Abstracts
Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts - Academic
ProQuest One Academic (New)
DatabaseTitleList Publicly Available Content Database



CrossRef

Publicly Available Content Database
Database_xml – sequence: 1
  dbid: 24P
  name: Wiley Open Access Collection
  url: https://authorservices.wiley.com/open-science/open-access/browse-journals.html
  sourceTypes: Publisher
– sequence: 2
  dbid: DOA
  name: DOAJ Open Access Full Text
  url: https://www.doaj.org/
  sourceTypes: Open Website
– sequence: 3
  dbid: PIMPY
  name: Publicly Available Content Database
  url: http://search.proquest.com/publiccontent
  sourceTypes: Aggregation Database
DeliveryMethod fulltext_linktorsrc
Discipline Environmental Sciences
EISSN 2328-4277
EndPage n/a
ExternalDocumentID oai_doaj_org_article_2526b45952e04d0699de7dd4994e0ff2
A707869527
10_1029_2019EF001413
EFT2685
Genre article
GeographicLocations United Kingdom
United Kingdom--UK
GeographicLocations_xml – name: United Kingdom
– name: United Kingdom--UK
GroupedDBID 0R~
1OC
24P
5VS
7XC
8-1
8FE
8FH
8GL
AAHBH
AAHHS
AAZKR
ACCFJ
ACCMX
ACQOY
ACXQS
ADBBV
ADKYN
ADZMN
ADZOD
AEEZP
AENEX
AEQDE
AEUYN
AFKRA
AIWBW
AJBDE
ALMA_UNASSIGNED_HOLDINGS
ALUQN
ATCPS
AVUZU
BCNDV
BENPR
BHPHI
BKSAR
CCPQU
EBS
EDH
EJD
GICCO
GODZA
GROUPED_DOAJ
HCIFZ
IEP
ISN
ITC
LK5
M7R
M~E
OK1
PATMY
PCBAR
PIMPY
PROAC
PYCSY
SUPJJ
WIN
~OA
AAMMB
AAYXX
AEFGJ
AFFHD
AGXDD
AIDQK
AIDYY
BANNL
CITATION
IAO
PHGZM
PHGZT
7ST
7TG
ABUWG
AZQEC
C1K
DWQXO
GNUQQ
KL.
PKEHL
PQEST
PQQKQ
PQUKI
PRINS
SOI
ID FETCH-LOGICAL-c6485-f70ffebb67fffe54901e7e940c7bf868bf10c2e13b2faf18b7e6ac41b970775e3
IEDL.DBID 24P
ISICitedReferencesCount 58
ISICitedReferencesURI http://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=Summon&SrcAuth=ProQuest&DestLinkType=CitingArticles&DestApp=WOS_CPL&KeyUT=000576405800004&url=https%3A%2F%2Fcvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com%2F%23%21%2Fsearch%3Fho%3Df%26include.ft.matches%3Dt%26l%3Dnull%26q%3D
ISSN 2328-4277
IngestDate Fri Oct 03 12:42:22 EDT 2025
Fri Jul 25 06:21:29 EDT 2025
Sun Nov 30 03:49:39 EST 2025
Sat Nov 29 10:31:35 EST 2025
Wed Nov 26 10:46:27 EST 2025
Sat Nov 29 09:38:19 EST 2025
Sat Nov 29 04:06:25 EST 2025
Tue Nov 18 21:26:53 EST 2025
Wed Jan 22 16:33:48 EST 2025
IsDoiOpenAccess true
IsOpenAccess true
IsPeerReviewed true
IsScholarly true
Issue 9
Language English
License Attribution
LinkModel DirectLink
MergedId FETCHMERGED-LOGICAL-c6485-f70ffebb67fffe54901e7e940c7bf868bf10c2e13b2faf18b7e6ac41b970775e3
Notes ObjectType-Article-1
SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
ObjectType-Feature-2
content type line 14
ORCID 0000-0002-2011-5644
0000-0002-8342-8947
0000-0001-7615-4709
0000-0002-2958-6637
0000-0003-1296-8644
0000-0001-7422-198X
0000-0001-6268-6683
0000-0001-5951-9307
OpenAccessLink https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029%2F2019EF001413
PQID 2446016327
PQPubID 2034575
PageCount 25
ParticipantIDs doaj_primary_oai_doaj_org_article_2526b45952e04d0699de7dd4994e0ff2
proquest_journals_2575011433
proquest_journals_2446016327
gale_infotracacademiconefile_A707869527
gale_incontextgauss_8GL_A707869527
gale_incontextcollege_GICCO_A707869527
crossref_citationtrail_10_1029_2019EF001413
crossref_primary_10_1029_2019EF001413
wiley_primary_10_1029_2019EF001413_EFT2685
PublicationCentury 2000
PublicationDate September 2020
PublicationDateYYYYMMDD 2020-09-01
PublicationDate_xml – month: 09
  year: 2020
  text: September 2020
PublicationDecade 2020
PublicationPlace Bognor Regis
PublicationPlace_xml – name: Bognor Regis
PublicationTitle Earth's future
PublicationTitleAlternate Earth's Future
PublicationYear 2020
Publisher John Wiley & Sons, Inc
Wiley
Publisher_xml – name: John Wiley & Sons, Inc
– name: Wiley
References e_1_2_8_1_11_1
e_1_2_8_1_36_1
e_1_2_8_1_13_1
e_1_2_8_1_34_1
e_1_2_8_1_55_1
e_1_2_8_1_53_1
Gregory J. M. (e_1_2_8_1_16_1) 2019
e_1_2_8_1_30_1
e_1_2_8_1_51_1
e_1_2_8_1_9_1
Klemann V. (e_1_2_8_1_27_1) 2013
Lambeck K. (e_1_2_8_2_4_1) 1980
e_1_2_8_2_7_1
e_1_2_8_1_29_1
Oppenheimer M. (e_1_2_8_1_39_1) 2019
e_1_2_8_1_48_1
e_1_2_8_1_22_1
e_1_2_8_1_47_1
e_1_2_8_1_45_1
e_1_2_8_2_3_1
e_1_2_8_1_43_1
e_1_2_8_2_5_1
e_1_2_8_1_20_1
e_1_2_8_1_41_1
e_1_2_8_1_3_1
IPCC (e_1_2_8_1_24_1) 2019
e_1_2_8_1_5_1
e_1_2_8_1_19_1
e_1_2_8_1_15_1
Schotman H. H. A. (e_1_2_8_2_6_1) 2008
e_1_2_8_1_17_1
e_1_2_8_1_38_1
e_1_2_8_1_12_1
e_1_2_8_1_35_1
e_1_2_8_1_14_1
e_1_2_8_1_33_1
e_1_2_8_1_56_1
e_1_2_8_1_31_1
e_1_2_8_1_54_1
e_1_2_8_1_10_1
e_1_2_8_1_52_1
e_1_2_8_1_50_1
e_1_2_8_1_8_1
e_1_2_8_2_8_1
e_1_2_8_1_26_1
e_1_2_8_1_28_1
e_1_2_8_1_49_1
e_1_2_8_1_23_1
e_1_2_8_1_46_1
e_1_2_8_1_25_1
e_1_2_8_1_44_1
e_1_2_8_2_2_1
e_1_2_8_1_42_1
e_1_2_8_1_21_1
e_1_2_8_1_40_1
e_1_2_8_1_2_1
Church J. A. (e_1_2_8_1_7_1) 2013
e_1_2_8_1_6_1
e_1_2_8_1_4_1
Lowe J. A. (e_1_2_8_1_32_1) 2018
e_1_2_8_1_18_1
e_1_2_8_1_37_1
References_xml – ident: e_1_2_8_1_2_1
  doi: 10.1093/gji/ggu140
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_55_1
  doi: 10.1029/2012GL051230
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_38_1
  doi: 10.1073/pnas.1717312115
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_29_1
  doi: 10.5194/essd-10-281-2018
– volume-title: Shallow‐Earth rheology from glacial isostasy and satellite gravity (PhD thesis)
  year: 2008
  ident: e_1_2_8_2_6_1
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_12_1
  doi: 10.1029/2018EF000991
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_26_1
  doi: 10.1007/s10712-019-09550-y
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_6_1
  doi: 10.5194/os-12-613-2016
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_45_1
  doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0886.1
– start-page: xi
  volume-title: The Earth's variable rotation: Geophysical causes and consequences
  year: 1980
  ident: e_1_2_8_2_4_1
  doi: 10.1017/CBO9780511569579
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_10_1
  doi: 10.1038/s41561-019-0300-3
– ident: e_1_2_8_2_7_1
  doi: 10.1086/310310
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_9_1
  doi: 10.1038/s41586-019-0901-4
– start-page: 1
  volume-title: UKCP18 science overview report
  year: 2018
  ident: e_1_2_8_1_32_1
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_51_1
  doi: 10.1029/2019EF001163
– start-page: 1137
  volume-title: Climate change 2013: The physical science basis
  year: 2013
  ident: e_1_2_8_1_7_1
– volume-title: Lecture notes from the summer school of DFG SPP1257 global water cycle
  year: 2013
  ident: e_1_2_8_1_27_1
– ident: e_1_2_8_2_5_1
  doi: 10.1029/91JB01284
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_5_1
  doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1973-8
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_19_1
  doi: 10.1029/2018EF001071
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_13_1
  doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00195.1
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_28_1
  doi: 10.1002/2014EF000239
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_33_1
  doi: 10.1093/gji/ggu369
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_53_1
  doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_15_1
  doi: 10.5194/gmd-9-3993-2016
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_46_1
  doi: 10.1007/s10584-019-02443-4
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_21_1
  doi: 10.1017/jog.2019.22
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_43_1
  doi: 10.1002/2014JB011176
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_36_1
  doi: 10.1038/333036a0
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_48_1
  doi: 10.1007/s10584-018-2317-9
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_40_1
  doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aad2e4
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_44_1
  doi: 10.5194/esd-4-11-2013
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_14_1
  doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1410-4
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_20_1
  doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0477.1
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_3_1
  doi: 10.1038/nclimate1778
– ident: e_1_2_8_2_8_1
  doi: 10.1016/j.cageo.2012.06.022
– year: 2019
  ident: e_1_2_8_1_16_1
  article-title: Concepts and terminology for sea level: Mean, variability and change, both local and global
  publication-title: Surveys in Geophysics
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_35_1
  doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_42_1
  doi: 10.1146/annurev.earth.32.082503.144359
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_23_1
  doi: 10.1088/2515-7620/ab42d7
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_49_1
  doi: 10.1007/s10584-014-1080-9
– ident: e_1_2_8_2_2_1
  doi: 10.1016/0031-9201(81)90046-7
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_4_1
  doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2499-z
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_47_1
  doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00521.1
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_30_1
  doi: 10.5194/esd-5-271-2014
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_56_1
  doi: 10.1038/ngeo462
– volume-title: IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate
  year: 2019
  ident: e_1_2_8_1_24_1
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_25_1
  doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.10.006
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_31_1
  doi: 10.5194/gmd-8-2723-2015
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_41_1
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_8_1
  doi: 10.1038/nature17145
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_18_1
  doi: 10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_50_1
  doi: 10.5194/gmd-12-5055-2019
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_11_1
  doi: 10.5194/tc-7-469-2013
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_37_1
  doi: 10.5194/gmd-10-2495-2017
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_34_1
  doi: 10.1093/gji/ggy280
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_54_1
  doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-04692-w
– ident: e_1_2_8_2_3_1
  doi: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.1976.tb01252.x
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_17_1
  doi: 10.5194/tc-7-141-2013
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_52_1
  doi: 10.5670/oceanog.2011.25
– ident: e_1_2_8_1_22_1
  doi: 10.2112/JCOASTRES-D-12-00175.1
– volume-title: IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate
  year: 2019
  ident: e_1_2_8_1_39_1
RelatedPersons Palmer, Howard
RelatedPersons_xml – fullname: Palmer, Howard
SSID ssj0000970357
Score 2.3808532
Snippet We present a new set of global and local sea‐level projections at example tide gauge locations under the RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 emissions scenarios....
We present a new set of global and local sea?level projections at example tide gauge locations under the RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 emissions scenarios....
Abstract We present a new set of global and local sea‐level projections at example tide gauge locations under the RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 emissions...
SourceID doaj
proquest
gale
crossref
wiley
SourceType Open Website
Aggregation Database
Enrichment Source
Index Database
Publisher
SubjectTerms 21st century
Antarctic ice
Breakdown
Climate change
Climate models
CMIP5 models
Dynamic response
Emissions
Environmental aspects
Estimates
Forecasts and trends
Gauges
Geographical locations
Ice sheets
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Market trend/market analysis
open climate campaign
Palmer, Howard
RCP scenarios
Sea level
Sea level rise
sea‐level projections
tide gauge observations
Tides
Time dependence
Uncertainty
Variability
SummonAdditionalLinks – databaseName: DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals
  dbid: DOA
  link: http://cvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwrV1baxQxFA5S-uCLeCuuVgnFCyiDmUyuj-12Vx-WVrBCXyRMMokIMis72z73J_gb_SWeXLruINUXnwYmJzD5cpKck_nyBaHnzFquiAgVs7WqGJe2ssTJykkI7mVLLQlJxHUhT07U-bn-sHXVV-SEZXngDNxbyqmwjGtOPWEdEVp3XnYdBOrMkxDS7Euk3kqm0hyswZO5LEx3QjUk-bWezROvsRmtQUmq_88JeRysptVmfhfdKWEiPsyfdw_d8v19tDf7fSoNCsuwHB6gzxsmHYZ4Dh-vEtkCLwPOkv647Tu8iKsW_ujbn1c_FpEqhPPJAnwKxqkerYc1nuZVKFXJx1seok_z2dn0fVXuTaicYIpXQQIw3lohAzwhASS1l14z6AMblFA21MRRXzeWhjbUykovWsdqC6BJyX2zh3b6Ze8fIRwZsFYqC3mNY4pqS3hHlaubjrWe2WaC3lwjaVwRFY93W3wz6ec21WYb9wl6sbH-nsU0brA7ip2ysYkS2OkFOIYpjmH-5RgT9DJ2qYkiF31k0bi8E2MAqumpOYwyRwJqywk6GBt-aS-Gwah3i5HRq2IUltBA15bTCwBTFNAaWe5f-5Ap88FgIIiKujfNTcUQNMfMtIGmv05u91d8zGx-RoXij_8HTk_QbRr3EBJvbh_trFcX_inadZfrr8PqWRpWvwAimSA6
  priority: 102
  providerName: Directory of Open Access Journals
– databaseName: ProQuest Central Database Suite (ProQuest)
  dbid: BENPR
  link: http://cvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwpV3LbtQwFLWgZcGGd8VAQRbiIYGiOo4d2yvUDhlYjKYVFKkbZMWOXSGhpEymrPkEvpEv4drxTImAblhFSq6V2L72feT4XISeMmO4JKXPmMllxrgwmSFWZFaAcy9qaoiPJK5zsVjIkxN1lBJufYJVrvfEuFE3nQ058j0wQ4E5pKDi9dnXLFSNCn9XUwmNq2g7MJWBnm8fVIuj95ssC1Gg0VwkxDuhCoL9XFWziG8sRrYoUvb_uTGPndZodWY3__d7b6Ebyd_E-4OC3EZXXHsH7VQXx9vgYVrf_V30aQPJw-AY4jfLiNrAncdDbQBctw2eB_OHP7j65_cf84A5wsMRBXwIwrEdzfsVng7mLDYZzsncQx9n1fH0XZYKMGS2ZJJnXhDvnTGl8HCFSJLkTjjFYDKNl6U0PieWurww1Nc-l0a4srYsNzDqQnBX7KCttmvdfYQDlNYIaSBAskxSZQhvqLR50bDaMVNM0Kv1VGib2MlDkYwvOv4lp0r_PnET9GwjfTawcvxD7iDM6kYmcGnHG93yVKelqSmnpWFcceoIa0ipVONE00AoyBz0n07Q86ATOrBltAGOY4eUjoahmh7q_cCXVEJrMUFPxoKn9Xnfa_l2PhJ6kYR8Bx20dToGAcMUmLhGkrtrzdJpY-n1hVr9_TF43yHELaDrL6PeXjo-upod01LyB5e_6iG6TkOaIULrdtHWannuHqFr9tvqc798nNbcL9kWMAg
  priority: 102
  providerName: ProQuest
Title Exploring the Drivers of Global and Local Sea‐Level Change Over the 21st Century and Beyond
URI https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029%2F2019EF001413
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2446016327
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2575011433
https://doaj.org/article/2526b45952e04d0699de7dd4994e0ff2
Volume 8
WOSCitedRecordID wos000576405800004&url=https%3A%2F%2Fcvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com%2F%23%21%2Fsearch%3Fho%3Df%26include.ft.matches%3Dt%26l%3Dnull%26q%3D
hasFullText 1
inHoldings 1
isFullTextHit
isPrint
journalDatabaseRights – providerCode: PRVAON
  databaseName: DOAJ Open Access Full Text
  customDbUrl:
  eissn: 2328-4277
  dateEnd: 99991231
  omitProxy: false
  ssIdentifier: ssj0000970357
  issn: 2328-4277
  databaseCode: DOA
  dateStart: 20130101
  isFulltext: true
  titleUrlDefault: https://www.doaj.org/
  providerName: Directory of Open Access Journals
– providerCode: PRVHPJ
  databaseName: ROAD: Directory of Open Access Scholarly Resources
  customDbUrl:
  eissn: 2328-4277
  dateEnd: 99991231
  omitProxy: false
  ssIdentifier: ssj0000970357
  issn: 2328-4277
  databaseCode: M~E
  dateStart: 20130101
  isFulltext: true
  titleUrlDefault: https://road.issn.org
  providerName: ISSN International Centre
– providerCode: PRVPQU
  databaseName: Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Database
  customDbUrl:
  eissn: 2328-4277
  dateEnd: 99991231
  omitProxy: false
  ssIdentifier: ssj0000970357
  issn: 2328-4277
  databaseCode: PCBAR
  dateStart: 20131201
  isFulltext: true
  titleUrlDefault: https://search.proquest.com/eaasdb
  providerName: ProQuest
– providerCode: PRVPQU
  databaseName: Environmental Science Database
  customDbUrl:
  eissn: 2328-4277
  dateEnd: 99991231
  omitProxy: false
  ssIdentifier: ssj0000970357
  issn: 2328-4277
  databaseCode: PATMY
  dateStart: 20131201
  isFulltext: true
  titleUrlDefault: http://search.proquest.com/environmentalscience
  providerName: ProQuest
– providerCode: PRVPQU
  databaseName: ProQuest Central
  customDbUrl:
  eissn: 2328-4277
  dateEnd: 99991231
  omitProxy: false
  ssIdentifier: ssj0000970357
  issn: 2328-4277
  databaseCode: BENPR
  dateStart: 20131201
  isFulltext: true
  titleUrlDefault: https://www.proquest.com/central
  providerName: ProQuest
– providerCode: PRVPQU
  databaseName: Publicly Available Content Database
  customDbUrl:
  eissn: 2328-4277
  dateEnd: 99991231
  omitProxy: false
  ssIdentifier: ssj0000970357
  issn: 2328-4277
  databaseCode: PIMPY
  dateStart: 20131201
  isFulltext: true
  titleUrlDefault: http://search.proquest.com/publiccontent
  providerName: ProQuest
– providerCode: PRVWIB
  databaseName: Wiley Online Library Free Content
  customDbUrl:
  eissn: 2328-4277
  dateEnd: 99991231
  omitProxy: false
  ssIdentifier: ssj0000970357
  issn: 2328-4277
  databaseCode: WIN
  dateStart: 20130101
  isFulltext: true
  titleUrlDefault: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com
  providerName: Wiley-Blackwell
– providerCode: PRVWIB
  databaseName: Wiley Open Access Collection
  customDbUrl:
  eissn: 2328-4277
  dateEnd: 99991231
  omitProxy: false
  ssIdentifier: ssj0000970357
  issn: 2328-4277
  databaseCode: 24P
  dateStart: 20130101
  isFulltext: true
  titleUrlDefault: https://authorservices.wiley.com/open-science/open-access/browse-journals.html
  providerName: Wiley-Blackwell
link http://cvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwpV3NbtQwELag5cCF_4qFsrIQPxIownac2Dm2SxYqLdsIiigHZMWOXSGhLNpsOfMIPCNPwthxQyNUJMRplc3nKLZnPOPJzGeEHnGtM0lyl3BNZcIzoRNNjEiMAOde1EwTF0hcF2K5lMfHRRUDbr4WpueHGAJuXjPCeu0VvNZdJBvwHJlguYpyHhIV08tom9JUeKlmvBpiLKQAeQ5kn-A3wJswIWLuOzzixfkHjKxSIO__c4keu6_B_syv_--b30DXoueJ93pRuYku2fYW2il_F7rBzajp3W30aUjOw-Ai4pfrkL-BVw73pwTgum3wwhtC_M7WP7__WPjsI9wXK-BDAId2jHYbPOsNW2jSV8zcQe_n5dHsdRKPYkhMzmWWOEGcs1rnwsEv7CkJtcIWHKZVO5lL7SgxzNJUM1c7KrWweW041TADQmQ23UFb7aq1dxH2SbVaSA1bJcMlKzTJGiYNTRteW67TCXp-NhXKRJ5yf1zGFxW-l7NCnR-_CXo8oL_2_BwX4Pb9rA4Yz6od_litT1RUUsUylmueFRmzhDckL4rGiqaBTSG30H82QU-8TCjPm9H6xBzTB3cUDNXsUO155qQcWosJejgGntSnXafkq8UI9DSC3Ao6aOpYEAHD5Dm5RsjdMyFUcYnpFPhlnkonveg2-OF-s5tC158Fafzr-KhyfsRymd37F_B9dJX58ENIudtFW5v1qX2Arphvm8_dehp0cYq298tl9XYagh1wVR28qT7C1YeD5S9kVzMg
linkProvider Wiley-Blackwell
linkToHtml http://cvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMw1V3NbtQwELbKFole-K9YKGAhChIoquM4sXNAqGx36arpdiUWqRyQiR27qoQ2ZbMFceMReBIeiidh7GS3REBvPXCKlIyT2BnPeJxvvkHoMVMqFiSxAVOhCFjMVaCI5oHmsLjnOVXEehLXjI9G4vAwHa-gH4tcGAerXNhEb6iLUrs98i1wQ445JKL85cmnwFWNcn9XFyU0arXYM1-_QMhWvRjuwPfdpHTQn_R2g6aqQKATJuLAcmKtUSrhFo4QHpHQcJMyeENlRSKUDYmmJowUtbkNheImyTULVcodXZyJ4L6X0Cpzyt5Bq-Ph_vjdcleHgFAU8wZhT2i6BQ427Q88njJq-T5fIuBPR9BeJHsvN7j2v43PdXS1WU_j7XoC3EArZnoTrffP0vfgYmO_qlvo_RJyiGHhi3dmHpWCS4vr2gc4nxY4c-4dvzH5z2_fM4epwnUKBj4AYd-OhtUc92p37ZvUeUC30dsL6eo66kzLqbmDsIMKKy4UBICaCZoqEhdU6DAqWG6Yirro-eLTS92wr7siIB-lRwHQVP6uKF20uZQ-qVlH_iH3ymnRUsZxhfsT5exINqZH0pgmisVpTA1hBUnStDC8KCDUZQb6T7voidNB6dhApg5upOstKwlD1TuQ244PKoHWvIsetQWP8tOqkuJ11hJ62gjZEjqo8ybNA4bJMY21JDcWmiwbw1nJMzX--2WILlwIH0HXn_l5cu74yP5gQhMR3z3_UQ_Rld3Jfiaz4WjvHlqjbkvFwwg3UGc-OzX30WX9eX5czR408x2jDxc9hX4B9iqPMg
linkToPdf http://cvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMw1V3dbtMwFLZGh9Bu-J8oDLAQAwkUzXGc2LlAqPQHppWuEkUaF8jEjj1NQuloOhB3PALPw-PwJBw7bkcF7G4XXFVKjtPYPT8-7ne-g9BDplQqSGYjpmIRsZSrSBHNI81hc88Lqoj1JK5DPhqJg4N8vIZ-LGphHKxy4RO9oy6n2p2R70AYcswhCaTqNsAixr3B8-NPkesg5f5pXbTTaFRkz3z9Aulb_Wy3B7_1NqWD_qT7KgodBiKdMZFGlhNrjVIZt_AJqRKJDTc5g7dVVmRC2ZhoauJEUVvYWChuskKzWOXcUceZBJ57Aa2LjBPRQuvjzuT1u-UJDwGhJOUBbU9ovgPBNu8PPLYyWYmDvl3An0FhdcPsI97gyv-8VlfR5bDPxp3GMK6hNVNdR5v907I-uBn8Wn0DvV9CETFsiHFv5tEqeGpx0xMBF1WJhy7s4zem-Pnt-9BhrXBTmoH3QdiPo3E9x90mjPshTX3QTfT2XKa6iVrVtDK3EHYQYsWFgsRQM0FzRdKSCh0nJSsMU0kbPV2ogdSBld01B_koPTqA5vJ3pWmj7aX0ccNG8g-5F06jljKOQ9xfmM4OZXBJkqY0UyzNU2oIK0mW56XhZQkpMDMwf9pGj5w-SscSUjkd0s1RloSl6u7LjuOJymA0b6MHq4KHxUldS_FyuCL0OAjZKUxQF6H8A5bJMZCtSG4ttFoGh1rLU5X--23IOlxqn8DUn3ibOXN9ZH8woZlIb5_9VffRJbAbOdwd7d1BG9SdtHh04RZqzWcn5i66qD_Pj-rZvWD6GH04bwv6BZa1l-8
openUrl ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info%3Aofi%2Fenc%3AUTF-8&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fsummon.serialssolutions.com&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Exploring+the+Drivers+of+Global+and+Local+Sea%3FLevel+Change+Over+the+21st+Century+and+Beyond&rft.jtitle=Earth%27s+future&rft.au=Palmer%2C+M.D&rft.au=Gregory%2C+J.M&rft.au=Bagge%2C+M&rft.au=Calvert%2C+D&rft.date=2020-09-01&rft.pub=John+Wiley+%26+Sons%2C+Inc&rft.issn=2328-4277&rft.eissn=2328-4277&rft.volume=8&rft.issue=9&rft_id=info:doi/10.1029%2F2019EF001413&rft.externalDBID=8GL&rft.externalDocID=A707869527
thumbnail_l http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/lc.gif&issn=2328-4277&client=summon
thumbnail_m http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/mc.gif&issn=2328-4277&client=summon
thumbnail_s http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/sc.gif&issn=2328-4277&client=summon