A cross-country comparison of Covid-19 containment measures and their effects on the epidemic curves

Background European countries are still searching to eliminate or contain the Covid-19 pandemic. A variety of approaches have achieved different levels of success in limiting the spread of the disease early and preventing avoidable deaths. Governmental policy responses may explain these differences...

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Vydáno v:	BMC public health Ročník 22; číslo 1; s. 1765 - 13
Hlavní autoři:	Cascini, Fidelia, Failla, Giovanna, Gobbi, Cecilia, Pallini, Elena, Hui, Jin, Luxi, Wang, Villani, Leonardo, Quentin, Wilm, Boccia, Stefania, Ricciardi, Walter
Médium:	Journal Article
Jazyk:	angličtina
Vydáno:	London BioMed Central 17.09.2022 BioMed Central Ltd Springer Nature B.V BMC
Témata:	Analysis Biostatistics Containment Containment measures Control Coronaviruses COVID-19 COVID-19 - epidemiology COVID-19 - prevention & control COVID-19 vaccines Disease transmission Effectiveness Environmental Health Epidemic models Epidemics Epidemiology Europe - epidemiology Eye protection France - epidemiology Germany Government Health policies Humans Immunization Infections Medical policy Medicine Medicine & Public Health Pandemic Pandemics Pandemics - prevention & control Pharmaceuticals Preventable deaths Prevention Public Health Restrictions Schools Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 Vaccine France Europe Germany Italy United Kingdom > UK Spain Pandemic Covid-19 Restrictions Containment measures Health policies
ISSN:	1471-2458, 1471-2458
On-line přístup:	Získat plný text
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Shrnutí:	Background European countries are still searching to eliminate or contain the Covid-19 pandemic. A variety of approaches have achieved different levels of success in limiting the spread of the disease early and preventing avoidable deaths. Governmental policy responses may explain these differences and this study aims to describe evidence about the effectiveness of containment measures throughout the course of the pandemic in five European countries (France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK). Methods The research approach adopted consisted of three steps: 1) Build a Containment Index (C.I.) that considers nine parameters to make an assessment on the strength of measures; 2) Develop dynamic epidemiological models for forecasting purposes; 3) Predict case numbers by assuming containment measures remain constant for a period of 30 days. Results Our analysis revealed that in the five European countries we compared, the use of different approaches definitively affected the effectiveness of containment measures for the Covid-19 pandemic. Conclusion The evidence found in our research can be useful to inform policy makers’ decisions when deciding to introduce or relax containment measures and their timing, both during the current pandemic or in addressing possible future health crises. Highlights 1. Different Covid-19 containment measures were adopted comparing five European countries 2. The earlier the restrictions were assumed, the better the response was achieved 3. Targeted measures before lockdown improved the curves compared with no restrictions
Bibliografie:	ObjectType-Article-1 SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1 ObjectType-Feature-2 content type line 14 content type line 23
ISSN:	1471-2458 1471-2458
DOI:	10.1186/s12889-022-14088-7