Antarctic ice sheet response to sudden and sustained ice-shelf collapse (ABUMIP)

Antarctica's ice shelves modulate the grounded ice flow, and weakening of ice shelves due to climate forcing will decrease their ‘buttressing’ effect, causing a response in the grounded ice. While the processes governing ice-shelf weakening are complex, uncertainties in the response of the grou...

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Vydané v:Journal of glaciology Ročník 66; číslo 260; s. 891 - 904
Hlavní autori: Sun, Sainan, Pattyn, Frank, Simon, Erika G., Albrecht, Torsten, Cornford, Stephen, Calov, Reinhard, Dumas, Christophe, Gillet-Chaulet, Fabien, Goelzer, Heiko, Golledge, Nicholas R., Greve, Ralf, Hoffman, Matthew J., Humbert, Angelika, Kazmierczak, Elise, Kleiner, Thomas, Leguy, Gunter R., Lipscomb, William H., Martin, Daniel, Morlighem, Mathieu, Nowicki, Sophie, Pollard, David, Price, Stephen, Quiquet, Aurélien, Seroussi, Hélène, Schlemm, Tanja, Sutter, Johannes, van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Winkelmann, Ricarda, Zhang, Tong
Médium: Journal Article
Jazyk:English
Vydavateľské údaje: Cambridge, UK Cambridge University Press 01.12.2020
International Glaciological Society
Predmet:
21st century
Antarctic glaciology
Antarctic ice sheet
Buttresses
Collapse
Continental interfaces, environment
Cryosphere
Destabilization
Experiments
Gaging
Glaciation
Ice
Ice sheet models
Ice sheets
Ice shelves
ice-sheet modelling
Intercomparison
Land ice
Ocean circulation
Ocean, Atmosphere
open climate campaign
Polar environments
Sciences of the Universe
Sea level
Sea level rise
Sheet modelling
Antarctica
ice-sheet modelling
Antarctic glaciology
ice shelves
ISSN:0022-1430, 1727-5652
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Abstract Antarctica's ice shelves modulate the grounded ice flow, and weakening of ice shelves due to climate forcing will decrease their ‘buttressing’ effect, causing a response in the grounded ice. While the processes governing ice-shelf weakening are complex, uncertainties in the response of the grounded ice sheet are also difficult to assess. The Antarctic BUttressing Model Intercomparison Project (ABUMIP) compares ice-sheet model responses to decrease in buttressing by investigating the ‘end-member’ scenario of total and sustained loss of ice shelves. Although unrealistic, this scenario enables gauging the sensitivity of an ensemble of 15 ice-sheet models to a total loss of buttressing, hence exhibiting the full potential of marine ice-sheet instability. All models predict that this scenario leads to multi-metre (1–12 m) sea-level rise over 500 years from present day. West Antarctic ice sheet collapse alone leads to a 1.91–5.08 m sea-level rise due to the marine ice-sheet instability. Mass loss rates are a strong function of the sliding/friction law, with plastic laws cause a further destabilization of the Aurora and Wilkes Subglacial Basins, East Antarctica. Improvements to marine ice-sheet models have greatly reduced variability between modelled ice-sheet responses to extreme ice-shelf loss, e.g. compared to the SeaRISE assessments.
AbstractList Antarctica's ice shelves modulate the grounded ice flow, and weakening of ice shelves due to climate forcing will decrease their ‘buttressing’ effect, causing a response in the grounded ice. While the processes governing ice-shelf weakening are complex, uncertainties in the response of the grounded ice sheet are also difficult to assess. The Antarctic BUttressing Model Intercomparison Project (ABUMIP) compares ice-sheet model responses to decrease in buttressing by investigating the ‘end-member’ scenario of total and sustained loss of ice shelves. Although unrealistic, this scenario enables gauging the sensitivity of an ensemble of 15 ice-sheet models to a total loss of buttressing, hence exhibiting the full potential of marine ice-sheet instability. All models predict that this scenario leads to multi-metre (1–12 m) sea-level rise over 500 years from present day. West Antarctic ice sheet collapse alone leads to a 1.91–5.08 m sea-level rise due to the marine ice-sheet instability. Mass loss rates are a strong function of the sliding/friction law, with plastic laws cause a further destabilization of the Aurora and Wilkes Subglacial Basins, East Antarctica. Improvements to marine ice-sheet models have greatly reduced variability between modelled ice-sheet responses to extreme ice-shelf loss, e.g. compared to the SeaRISE assessments.
Antarctica's ice shelves modulate the grounded ice flow, and weakening of ice shelves due to climate forcing will decrease their 'buttressing' effect, causing a response in the grounded ice. While the processes governing ice-shelf weakening are complex, uncertainties in the response of the grounded ice sheet are also difficult to assess. The Antarctic BUttressing Model Intercomparison Project (ABUMIP) compares ice-sheet model responses to decrease in buttressing by investigating the 'end-member' scenario of total and sustained loss of ice shelves. Although unrealistic, this scenario enables gauging the sensitivity of an ensemble of 15 icesheet models to a total loss of buttressing, hence exhibiting the full potential of marine icesheet instability. All models predict that this scenario leads to multi-metre (1-12 m) sea-level rise over 500 years from present day. West Antarctic ice sheet collapse alone leads to a 1.91-5.08 m sea-level rise due to the marine ice-sheet instability. Mass loss rates are a strong function of the sliding/friction law, with plastic laws cause a further destabilization of the Aurora and Wilkes Subglacial Basins, East Antarctica. Improvements to marine ice-sheet models have greatly reduced variability between modelled ice-sheet responses to extreme ice-shelf loss, e.g. compared to the SeaRISE assessments.
Author Gillet-Chaulet, Fabien
Kazmierczak, Elise
Winkelmann, Ricarda
Simon, Erika G.
van de Wal, Roderik S. W.
Calov, Reinhard
Quiquet, Aurélien
Sutter, Johannes
Pattyn, Frank
Zhang, Tong
Golledge, Nicholas R.
Price, Stephen
Hoffman, Matthew J.
Nowicki, Sophie
Seroussi, Hélène
Schlemm, Tanja
Martin, Daniel
Sun, Sainan
Pollard, David
Greve, Ralf
Humbert, Angelika
Leguy, Gunter R.
Morlighem, Mathieu
Kleiner, Thomas
Cornford, Stephen
Albrecht, Torsten
Lipscomb, William H.
Goelzer, Heiko
Dumas, Christophe
Author_xml – sequence: 1
  givenname: Sainan
  surname: Sun
  fullname: Sun, Sainan
  email: sainsun@ulb.ac.be
  organization: 1Laboratoire de Glaciologie, Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB), Brussels, Belgium
– sequence: 2
  givenname: Frank
  orcidid: 0000-0003-4805-5636
  surname: Pattyn
  fullname: Pattyn, Frank
  organization: 1Laboratoire de Glaciologie, Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB), Brussels, Belgium
– sequence: 3
  givenname: Erika G.
  surname: Simon
  fullname: Simon, Erika G.
  organization: 2NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt MD, USA
– sequence: 4
  givenname: Torsten
  orcidid: 0000-0001-7459-2860
  surname: Albrecht
  fullname: Albrecht, Torsten
  organization: 3Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, P.O. Box 601203, 14412, Potsdam, Germany
– sequence: 5
  givenname: Stephen
  surname: Cornford
  fullname: Cornford, Stephen
  organization: 4Department of Geography, Swansea University, Swansea, UK
– sequence: 6
  givenname: Reinhard
  surname: Calov
  fullname: Calov, Reinhard
  organization: 3Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, P.O. Box 601203, 14412, Potsdam, Germany
– sequence: 7
  givenname: Christophe
  surname: Dumas
  fullname: Dumas, Christophe
  organization: 5Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, F-91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
– sequence: 8
  givenname: Fabien
  orcidid: 0000-0001-6592-3840
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  organization: 6Univ. Grenoble Alpes/CNRS/IRD/G-INP, Institut des Géosciences de l'Environnement, 38000 Grenoble, France
– sequence: 9
  givenname: Heiko
  surname: Goelzer
  fullname: Goelzer, Heiko
  organization: 1Laboratoire de Glaciologie, Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB), Brussels, Belgium
– sequence: 10
  givenname: Nicholas R.
  surname: Golledge
  fullname: Golledge, Nicholas R.
  organization: 8Antarctic Research Centre, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand
– sequence: 11
  givenname: Ralf
  orcidid: 0000-0002-1341-4777
  surname: Greve
  fullname: Greve, Ralf
  organization: 9Institute of Low Temperature Science, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan
– sequence: 12
  givenname: Matthew J.
  orcidid: 0000-0001-5076-0540
  surname: Hoffman
  fullname: Hoffman, Matthew J.
  organization: 11Theoretical Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos NM, USA
– sequence: 13
  givenname: Angelika
  surname: Humbert
  fullname: Humbert, Angelika
  organization: 12Alfred-Wegener-Institut, Helmholz-Zentrum für Polar und Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany
– sequence: 14
  givenname: Elise
  surname: Kazmierczak
  fullname: Kazmierczak, Elise
  organization: 1Laboratoire de Glaciologie, Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB), Brussels, Belgium
– sequence: 15
  givenname: Thomas
  orcidid: 0000-0001-7825-5765
  surname: Kleiner
  fullname: Kleiner, Thomas
  organization: 12Alfred-Wegener-Institut, Helmholz-Zentrum für Polar und Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany
– sequence: 16
  givenname: Gunter R.
  surname: Leguy
  fullname: Leguy, Gunter R.
  organization: 14Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder CO, USA
– sequence: 17
  givenname: William H.
  surname: Lipscomb
  fullname: Lipscomb, William H.
  organization: 14Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder CO, USA
– sequence: 18
  givenname: Daniel
  orcidid: 0000-0003-4488-2538
  surname: Martin
  fullname: Martin, Daniel
  organization: 15Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley CA, USA
– sequence: 19
  givenname: Mathieu
  orcidid: 0000-0001-5219-1310
  surname: Morlighem
  fullname: Morlighem, Mathieu
  organization: 16Department of Earth System Science, University of California Irvine, Irvine, USA
– sequence: 20
  givenname: Sophie
  surname: Nowicki
  fullname: Nowicki, Sophie
  organization: 2NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt MD, USA
– sequence: 21
  givenname: David
  surname: Pollard
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  organization: 17Pennsylvania State University, EMS Earth and Environmental Systems Institute, Pennsylvania, USA
– sequence: 22
  givenname: Stephen
  surname: Price
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  organization: 11Theoretical Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos NM, USA
– sequence: 23
  givenname: Aurélien
  surname: Quiquet
  fullname: Quiquet, Aurélien
  organization: 5Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, F-91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
– sequence: 24
  givenname: Hélène
  orcidid: 0000-0001-9201-1644
  surname: Seroussi
  fullname: Seroussi, Hélène
  organization: 18Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, USA
– sequence: 25
  givenname: Tanja
  surname: Schlemm
  fullname: Schlemm, Tanja
  organization: 3Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, P.O. Box 601203, 14412, Potsdam, Germany
– sequence: 26
  givenname: Johannes
  surname: Sutter
  fullname: Sutter, Johannes
  organization: 12Alfred-Wegener-Institut, Helmholz-Zentrum für Polar und Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany
– sequence: 27
  givenname: Roderik S. W.
  surname: van de Wal
  fullname: van de Wal, Roderik S. W.
  organization: 7Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, Utrecht University, The Netherlands
– sequence: 28
  givenname: Ricarda
  surname: Winkelmann
  fullname: Winkelmann, Ricarda
  organization: 3Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, P.O. Box 601203, 14412, Potsdam, Germany
– sequence: 29
  givenname: Tong
  surname: Zhang
  fullname: Zhang, Tong
  organization: 11Theoretical Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos NM, USA
BackLink https://hal.science/hal-03047833$$DView record in HAL
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Keywords ice-sheet modelling
Antarctic glaciology
ice shelves
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SSID ssj0029511
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Snippet Antarctica's ice shelves modulate the grounded ice flow, and weakening of ice shelves due to climate forcing will decrease their ‘buttressing’ effect, causing...
Antarctica's ice shelves modulate the grounded ice flow, and weakening of ice shelves due to climate forcing will decrease their 'buttressing' effect, causing...
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proquest
crossref
cambridge
SourceType Open Website
Open Access Repository
Aggregation Database
Enrichment Source
Index Database
Publisher
StartPage 891
SubjectTerms 21st century
Antarctic glaciology
Antarctic ice sheet
Buttresses
Collapse
Continental interfaces, environment
Cryosphere
Destabilization
Experiments
Gaging
Glaciation
Ice
Ice sheet models
Ice sheets
Ice shelves
ice-sheet modelling
Intercomparison
Land ice
Ocean circulation
Ocean, Atmosphere
open climate campaign
Polar environments
Sciences of the Universe
Sea level
Sea level rise
Sheet modelling
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Title Antarctic ice sheet response to sudden and sustained ice-shelf collapse (ABUMIP)
URI https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S0022143020000672/type/journal_article
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https://hal.science/hal-03047833
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Volume 66
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