An approximate algorithm for prognostic modelling using condition monitoring information

Established condition based maintenance modelling techniques can be computationally expensive. In this paper we propose an approximate methodology using extended Kalman-filtering and condition monitoring information to recursively establish a conditional probability density function for the residual...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:European journal of operational research Vol. 211; no. 1; pp. 90 - 96
Main Authors: Carr, Matthew J., Wang, Wenbin
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Amsterdam Elsevier B.V 16.05.2011
Elsevier
Elsevier Sequoia S.A
Series:European Journal of Operational Research
Subjects:
ISSN:0377-2217, 1872-6860
Online Access:Get full text
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Summary:Established condition based maintenance modelling techniques can be computationally expensive. In this paper we propose an approximate methodology using extended Kalman-filtering and condition monitoring information to recursively establish a conditional probability density function for the residual life of a component. The conditional density is then used in the construction of a maintenance/replacement decision model. The advantages of the methodology, when compared with alternative approaches, are the direct use of the often multi-dimensional condition monitoring data and the on-line automation opportunity provided by the computational efficiency of the model that potentially enables the simultaneous condition monitoring and associated inference for a large number of components and monitored variables. The methodology is applied to a vibration monitoring scenario and compared with alternative models using the case data.
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ISSN:0377-2217
1872-6860
DOI:10.1016/j.ejor.2010.10.023