One-Hour Oral Glucose Tolerance Tests for the Prediction and Diagnostic Surveillance of Type 1 Diabetes
Abstract Context Once islet autoantibody–positive individuals are identified, predicting which individuals are at highest risk for type 1 diabetes (T1D) is important. A metabolic risk score derived from 2-hour oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) data, the Diabetes Prevention Trial-Type 1 risk score (...
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| Vydáno v: | The journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism Ročník 105; číslo 11; s. e4094 - e4101 |
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| Hlavní autoři: | , , , , , , |
| Médium: | Journal Article |
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Vydáno: |
US
Oxford University Press
01.11.2020
Copyright Oxford University Press |
| Témata: | |
| ISSN: | 0021-972X, 1945-7197, 1945-7197 |
| On-line přístup: | Získat plný text |
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| Shrnutí: | Abstract
Context
Once islet autoantibody–positive individuals are identified, predicting which individuals are at highest risk for type 1 diabetes (T1D) is important. A metabolic risk score derived from 2-hour oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) data, the Diabetes Prevention Trial-Type 1 risk score (DPTRS), can accurately predict T1D. However, 2-hour OGTTs are time-consuming and costly.
Objective
We aimed to determine whether a risk score derived from 1-hour OGTT data can predict T1D as accurately as the DPTRS. Secondarily, we evaluated whether a 1-hour glucose value can be used for diagnostic surveillance.
Methods
The DPTRS was modified to derive a 1-hour OGTT risk score (DPTRS60) using fasting C-peptide, 1-hour glucose and C-peptide, age, and body mass index. Areas under receiver operating curves (ROCAUCs) were used to compare prediction accuracies of DPTRS60 with DPTRS in Diabetes Prevention Trial–Type 1 (DPT-1) (n = 654) and TrialNet Pathway to Prevention (TNPTP) (n = 4610) participants. Negative predictive values (NPV) for T1D diagnosis were derived for 1-hour glucose thresholds.
Results
ROCAUCs for T1D prediction 5 years from baseline were similar between DPTRS60 and DPTRS (DPT-1: 0.805 and 0.794; TNPTP: 0.832 and 0.847, respectively). DPTRS60 predicted T1D significantly better than 2-hour glucose (P < .001 in both cohorts). A 1-hour glucose of less than 180 mg/dL had a similar NPV, positive predictive value, and specificity for T1D development before the next 6-month visit as the standard 2-hour threshold of less than 140 mg/dL (both ≥ 98.5%).
Conclusion
A 1-hour OGTT can predict T1D as accurately as a 2-hour OGTT with minimal risk of missing a T1D diagnosis before the next visit. |
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| Bibliografie: | ObjectType-Article-1 SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1 ObjectType-Feature-2 content type line 14 content type line 23 |
| ISSN: | 0021-972X 1945-7197 1945-7197 |
| DOI: | 10.1210/clinem/dgaa592 |