Leverage effect in financial markets: the retarded volatility model

We investigate quantitatively the so-called "leverage effect," which corresponds to a negative correlation between past returns and future volatility. For individual stocks this correlation is moderate and decays over 50 days, while for stock indices it is much stronger but decays faster....

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Veröffentlicht in:Physical review letters Jg. 87; H. 22; S. 228701
Hauptverfasser: Bouchaud, J P, Matacz, A, Potters, M
Format: Journal Article
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: United States 26.11.2001
ISSN:0031-9007
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Zusammenfassung:We investigate quantitatively the so-called "leverage effect," which corresponds to a negative correlation between past returns and future volatility. For individual stocks this correlation is moderate and decays over 50 days, while for stock indices it is much stronger but decays faster. For individual stocks the magnitude of this correlation has a universal value that can be rationalized in terms of a new "retarded" model which interpolates between a purely additive and a purely multiplicative stochastic process. For stock indices a specific amplification phenomenon seems to be necessary to account for the observed amplitude of the effect.
Bibliographie:ObjectType-Article-1
SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
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ISSN:0031-9007
DOI:10.1103/physrevlett.87.228701