Early Detection of Ovarian Cancer using the Risk of Ovarian Cancer Algorithm with Frequent CA125 Testing in Women at Increased Familial Risk - Combined Results from Two Screening Trials

Women at familial/genetic ovarian cancer risk often undergo screening despite unproven efficacy. Research suggests each woman has her own CA125 baseline; significant increases above this level may identify cancers earlier than standard 6- to 12-monthly CA125 > 35 U/mL. Data from prospective Cance...

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Published in:Clinical cancer research Vol. 23; no. 14; pp. 3628 - 3637
Main Authors: Skates, Steven J, Greene, Mark H, Buys, Saundra S, Mai, Phuong L, Brown, Powel, Piedmonte, Marion, Rodriguez, Gustavo, Schorge, John O, Sherman, Mark, Daly, Mary B, Rutherford, Thomas, Brewster, Wendy R, O'Malley, David M, Partridge, Edward, Boggess, John, Drescher, Charles W, Isaacs, Claudine, Berchuck, Andrew, Domchek, Susan, Davidson, Susan A, Edwards, Robert, Elg, Steven A, Wakeley, Katie, Phillips, Kelly-Anne, Armstrong, Deborah, Horowitz, Ira, Fabian, Carol J, Walker, Joan, Sluss, Patrick M, Welch, William, Minasian, Lori, Horick, Nora K, Kasten, Carol H, Nayfield, Susan, Alberts, David, Finkelstein, Dianne M, Lu, Karen H
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: United States 15.07.2017
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ISSN:1078-0432, 1557-3265
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Abstract Women at familial/genetic ovarian cancer risk often undergo screening despite unproven efficacy. Research suggests each woman has her own CA125 baseline; significant increases above this level may identify cancers earlier than standard 6- to 12-monthly CA125 > 35 U/mL. Data from prospective Cancer Genetics Network and Gynecologic Oncology Group trials, which screened 3,692 women (13,080 woman-screening years) with a strong breast/ovarian cancer family history or mutations, were combined to assess a novel screening strategy. Specifically, serum CA125 q3 months, evaluated using a risk of ovarian cancer algorithm (ROCA), detected significant increases above each subject's baseline, which triggered transvaginal ultrasound. Specificity and positive predictive value (PPV) were compared with levels derived from general population screening (specificity 90%, PPV 10%), and stage-at-detection was compared with historical high-risk controls. Specificity for ultrasound referral was 92% versus 90% ( = 0.0001), and PPV was 4.6% versus 10% ( > 0.10). Eighteen of 19 malignant ovarian neoplasms [prevalent = 4, incident = 6, risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy (RRSO) = 9] were detected via screening or RRSO. Among incident cases (which best reflect long-term screening performance), three of six invasive cancers were early-stage (I/II; 50% vs. 10% historical controls; = 0.016). Six of nine RRSO-related cases were stage I. ROCA flagged three of six (50%) incident cases before CA125 exceeded 35 U/mL. Eight of nine patients with stages 0/I/II ovarian cancer were alive at last follow-up (median 6 years). For screened women at familial/genetic ovarian cancer risk, ROCA q3 months had better early-stage sensitivity at high specificity, and low yet possibly acceptable PPV compared with CA125 > 35 U/mL q6/q12 months, warranting further larger cohort evaluation. .
AbstractList Purpose: Women at familial/genetic ovarian cancer risk often undergo screening despite unproven efficacy. Research suggests each woman has her own CA125 baseline; significant increases above this level may identify cancers earlier than standard 6- to 12-monthly CA125 > 35 U/mL.Experimental Design: Data from prospective Cancer Genetics Network and Gynecologic Oncology Group trials, which screened 3,692 women (13,080 woman-screening years) with a strong breast/ovarian cancer family history or BRCA1/2 mutations, were combined to assess a novel screening strategy. Specifically, serum CA125 q3 months, evaluated using a risk of ovarian cancer algorithm (ROCA), detected significant increases above each subject's baseline, which triggered transvaginal ultrasound. Specificity and positive predictive value (PPV) were compared with levels derived from general population screening (specificity 90%, PPV 10%), and stage-at-detection was compared with historical high-risk controls.Results: Specificity for ultrasound referral was 92% versus 90% (P = 0.0001), and PPV was 4.6% versus 10% (P > 0.10). Eighteen of 19 malignant ovarian neoplasms [prevalent = 4, incident = 6, risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy (RRSO) = 9] were detected via screening or RRSO. Among incident cases (which best reflect long-term screening performance), three of six invasive cancers were early-stage (I/II; 50% vs. 10% historical BRCA1 controls; P = 0.016). Six of nine RRSO-related cases were stage I. ROCA flagged three of six (50%) incident cases before CA125 exceeded 35 U/mL. Eight of nine patients with stages 0/I/II ovarian cancer were alive at last follow-up (median 6 years).Conclusions: For screened women at familial/genetic ovarian cancer risk, ROCA q3 months had better early-stage sensitivity at high specificity, and low yet possibly acceptable PPV compared with CA125 > 35 U/mL q6/q12 months, warranting further larger cohort evaluation. Clin Cancer Res; 23(14); 3628-37. ©2017 AACR.
Women at familial/genetic ovarian cancer risk often undergo screening despite unproven efficacy. Research suggests each woman has her own CA125 baseline; significant increases above this level may identify cancers earlier than standard 6- to 12-monthly CA125 > 35 U/mL. Data from prospective Cancer Genetics Network and Gynecologic Oncology Group trials, which screened 3,692 women (13,080 woman-screening years) with a strong breast/ovarian cancer family history or mutations, were combined to assess a novel screening strategy. Specifically, serum CA125 q3 months, evaluated using a risk of ovarian cancer algorithm (ROCA), detected significant increases above each subject's baseline, which triggered transvaginal ultrasound. Specificity and positive predictive value (PPV) were compared with levels derived from general population screening (specificity 90%, PPV 10%), and stage-at-detection was compared with historical high-risk controls. Specificity for ultrasound referral was 92% versus 90% ( = 0.0001), and PPV was 4.6% versus 10% ( > 0.10). Eighteen of 19 malignant ovarian neoplasms [prevalent = 4, incident = 6, risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy (RRSO) = 9] were detected via screening or RRSO. Among incident cases (which best reflect long-term screening performance), three of six invasive cancers were early-stage (I/II; 50% vs. 10% historical controls; = 0.016). Six of nine RRSO-related cases were stage I. ROCA flagged three of six (50%) incident cases before CA125 exceeded 35 U/mL. Eight of nine patients with stages 0/I/II ovarian cancer were alive at last follow-up (median 6 years). For screened women at familial/genetic ovarian cancer risk, ROCA q3 months had better early-stage sensitivity at high specificity, and low yet possibly acceptable PPV compared with CA125 > 35 U/mL q6/q12 months, warranting further larger cohort evaluation. .
Author Brown, Powel
Rutherford, Thomas
Finkelstein, Dianne M
Armstrong, Deborah
Greene, Mark H
Phillips, Kelly-Anne
Mai, Phuong L
Brewster, Wendy R
Alberts, David
Skates, Steven J
Rodriguez, Gustavo
Edwards, Robert
Boggess, John
Schorge, John O
Nayfield, Susan
Lu, Karen H
Daly, Mary B
Davidson, Susan A
Kasten, Carol H
Piedmonte, Marion
Walker, Joan
Domchek, Susan
Sherman, Mark
Isaacs, Claudine
Welch, William
Wakeley, Katie
Horowitz, Ira
O'Malley, David M
Drescher, Charles W
Buys, Saundra S
Horick, Nora K
Fabian, Carol J
Berchuck, Andrew
Sluss, Patrick M
Minasian, Lori
Partridge, Edward
Elg, Steven A
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  organization: National Cancer Institute, Rockville, Maryland
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  organization: Huntsman Cancer Institute, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah
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  organization: National Cancer Institute, Rockville, Maryland
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  organization: MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas
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  organization: Roswell Park Cancer Institute, Buffalo, New York
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  organization: NorthShore University Health System, Evanston, Illinois
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  organization: National Cancer Institute, Rockville, Maryland
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  organization: Fox Chase Cancer Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
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  organization: University of South Florida, Tampa, Florida
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  organization: University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina
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  organization: Ohio State University and the James Cancer Center, Columbus, Ohio
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  organization: University of Alabama at Birmingham, Comprehensive Cancer Center, Birmingham, Alabama
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  organization: Rex Cancer Center, Raleigh, North Carolina
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  organization: Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington
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  organization: Georgetown University Medical Center, Lombardi Cancer Center, Washington, District of Columbia
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  organization: Duke University Medical Center, Division of Gynecologic Oncology, Durham, North Carolina
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  organization: University of Pennsylvania, Abramson Cancer Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
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  organization: Denver Health Medical Center, Denver, Colorado
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  organization: Magee-Womens Hospital, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
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  organization: The Iowa Clinic, Gynecologic Oncology, Des Moines, Iowa
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  organization: Dana-Farber Cancer Center in Clinical Affiliation with South Shore Hospital, South Weymouth, Massachusetts
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  organization: Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
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  givenname: Deborah
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  organization: Johns Hopkins Kimmel Cancer Center, Baltimore, Maryland
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  organization: Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia
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  organization: The University of Kansas Cancer Center, Westwood, Kansas
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  organization: Stephenson Cancer Center, University of Oklahoma HSC, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
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  organization: Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts
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  organization: National Cancer Institute, Rockville, Maryland
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  organization: Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts
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  organization: Food and Drug Administration, Silver Spring, Maryland
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  organization: University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida
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  organization: University of Arizona Cancer Center, Tucson, Arizona
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  organization: Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts
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  surname: Lu
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  organization: MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas
BackLink https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28143870$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed
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Snippet Women at familial/genetic ovarian cancer risk often undergo screening despite unproven efficacy. Research suggests each woman has her own CA125 baseline;...
Purpose: Women at familial/genetic ovarian cancer risk often undergo screening despite unproven efficacy. Research suggests each woman has her own CA125...
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StartPage 3628
SubjectTerms Adult
Aged
Algorithms
Breast Neoplasms - blood
Breast Neoplasms - diagnosis
Breast Neoplasms - epidemiology
Breast Neoplasms - genetics
CA-125 Antigen - blood
Early Detection of Cancer
Female
Humans
Membrane Proteins - blood
Middle Aged
Neoplasm Staging
Ovarian Neoplasms - blood
Ovarian Neoplasms - epidemiology
Ovarian Neoplasms - genetics
Ovarian Neoplasms - pathology
Risk Factors
Title Early Detection of Ovarian Cancer using the Risk of Ovarian Cancer Algorithm with Frequent CA125 Testing in Women at Increased Familial Risk - Combined Results from Two Screening Trials
URI https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28143870
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