Managing uncertainty in soil carbon feedbacks to climate change

Planetary warming may be exacerbated if it accelerates loss of soil carbon to the atmosphere. This carbon-cycle–climate feedback is included in climate projections. Yet, despite ancillary data supporting a positive feedback, there is limited evidence for soil carbon loss under warming. The low confi...

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Vydáno v:	Nature climate change Ročník 6; číslo 8; s. 751 - 758
Hlavní autoři:	Bradford, Mark A., Wieder, William R., Bonan, Gordon B., Fierer, Noah, Raymond, Peter A., Crowther, Thomas W.
Médium:	Journal Article
Jazyk:	angličtina
Vydáno:	London Nature Publishing Group UK 01.08.2016 Nature Publishing Group
Témata:	631/158/47 704/106/47 704/106/694 704/158/2445 704/47 Biogeochemistry Biosphere Carbon Climate Change Climate Change/Climate Change Impacts Decomposition Ecology Emissions Environment Environmental Law/Policy/Ecojustice Feedback Greenhouse gases Respiration review-article Soil erosion Soil stabilization Soils United States > US Netherlands Colorado
ISSN:	1758-678X, 1758-6798
On-line přístup:	Získat plný text
Tagy:	Přidat tag Žádné tagy, Buďte první, kdo vytvoří štítek k tomuto záznamu!

Abstract	Planetary warming may be exacerbated if it accelerates loss of soil carbon to the atmosphere. This carbon-cycle–climate feedback is included in climate projections. Yet, despite ancillary data supporting a positive feedback, there is limited evidence for soil carbon loss under warming. The low confidence engendered in feedback projections is reduced further by the common representation in models of an outdated knowledge of soil carbon turnover. 'Model-knowledge integration' — representing in models an advanced understanding of soil carbon stabilization — is the first step to build confidence. This will inform experiments that further increase confidence by resolving competing mechanisms that most influence projected soil-carbon stocks. Improving feedback projections is an imperative for establishing greenhouse gas emission targets that limit climate change. Climate change may accelerate decomposition of soil carbon leading to a reinforcing cycle of further warming and soil carbon loss. This Review considers the uncertainties and modelling challenges involved in projecting soil responses to warming.
AbstractList	Planetary warming may be exacerbated if it accelerates loss of soil carbon to the atmosphere. This carbon-cycle–climate feedback is included in climate projections. Yet, despite ancillary data supporting a positive feedback, there is limited evidence for soil carbon loss under warming. The low confidence engendered in feedback projections is reduced further by the common representation in models of an outdated knowledge of soil carbon turnover. 'Model-knowledge integration' — representing in models an advanced understanding of soil carbon stabilization — is the first step to build confidence. This will inform experiments that further increase confidence by resolving competing mechanisms that most influence projected soil-carbon stocks. Improving feedback projections is an imperative for establishing greenhouse gas emission targets that limit climate change. Climate change may accelerate decomposition of soil carbon leading to a reinforcing cycle of further warming and soil carbon loss. This Review considers the uncertainties and modelling challenges involved in projecting soil responses to warming. Planetary warming may be exacerbated if it accelerates loss of soil carbon to the atmosphere. This carbon-cycle-climate feedback is included in climate projections. Yet, despite ancillary data supporting a positive feedback, there is limited evidence for soil carbon loss under warming. The low confidence engendered in feedback projections is reduced further by the common representation in models of an outdated knowledge of soil carbon turnover. 'Model-knowledge integration' -- representing in models an advanced understanding of soil carbon stabilization -- is the first step to build confidence. This will inform experiments that further increase confidence by resolving competing mechanisms that most influence projected soil-carbon stocks. Improving feedback projections is an imperative for establishing greenhouse gas emission targets that limit climate change.
Author	Bonan, Gordon B. Bradford, Mark A. Fierer, Noah Raymond, Peter A. Crowther, Thomas W. Wieder, William R.
Author_xml	– sequence: 1 givenname: Mark A. surname: Bradford fullname: Bradford, Mark A. email: mark.bradford@yale.edu organization: School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, Department of Terrestrial Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW) – sequence: 2 givenname: William R. surname: Wieder fullname: Wieder, William R. organization: Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Institute for Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado – sequence: 3 givenname: Gordon B. surname: Bonan fullname: Bonan, Gordon B. organization: Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research – sequence: 4 givenname: Noah surname: Fierer fullname: Fierer, Noah organization: Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Colorado, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado – sequence: 5 givenname: Peter A. surname: Raymond fullname: Raymond, Peter A. organization: School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University – sequence: 6 givenname: Thomas W. surname: Crowther fullname: Crowther, Thomas W. organization: School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, Department of Terrestrial Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW)
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Snippet	Planetary warming may be exacerbated if it accelerates loss of soil carbon to the atmosphere. This carbon-cycle–climate feedback is included in climate... Planetary warming may be exacerbated if it accelerates loss of soil carbon to the atmosphere. This carbon-cycle-climate feedback is included in climate...
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Title	Managing uncertainty in soil carbon feedbacks to climate change
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