Uncertainties in Long-Term Twenty-First Century Process-Based Coastal Sea-Level Projections

Many processes affect sea level near the coast. In this paper, we discuss the major uncertainties in coastal sea-level projections from a process-based perspective, at different spatial and temporal scales, and provide an outlook on how these uncertainties may be reduced. Uncertainty in centennial g...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Surveys in geophysics Vol. 40; no. 6; pp. 1655 - 1671
Main Authors: van de Wal, R. S. W., Zhang, X., Minobe, S., Jevrejeva, S., Riva, R. E. M., Little, C., Richter, K., Palmer, M. D.
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Dordrecht Springer Netherlands 01.11.2019
Springer Nature B.V
Subjects:
Astronomy
Coastal processes
Coastal storms
Coastal waters
Duration
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Geographical variations
Geophysics
Geophysics/Geodesy
Glaciation
Global sea level
Ice
Ice sheets
Observations and Techniques
Sea level
Sea level changes
Sea level rise
Sea level variations
Storms
Tides
Uncertainty
Uncertainties
Coastal sea level
ISSN:0169-3298, 1573-0956
Online Access:Get full text
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Summary:Many processes affect sea level near the coast. In this paper, we discuss the major uncertainties in coastal sea-level projections from a process-based perspective, at different spatial and temporal scales, and provide an outlook on how these uncertainties may be reduced. Uncertainty in centennial global sea-level rise is dominated by the ice sheet contributions. Geographical variations in projected sea-level change arise mainly from dynamical patterns in the ocean response and other geophysical processes. Finally, the uncertainties in the short-duration extreme sea-level events are controlled by near coastal processes, storms and tides.
Bibliography:ObjectType-Article-1
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ObjectType-Literature Review-2
ISSN:0169-3298
1573-0956
DOI:10.1007/s10712-019-09575-3