Data-driven multi-objective optimisation of coal-fired boiler combustion systems
•Quantification of predictive uncertainty in data-driven models of power plants.•Multi-objective optimisation under uncertainty to find optimal NOx and UBC trade-off.•Novel solution selection method based on maximum probability of dominance.•Optimisation for all load demands in a single run: no need...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Applied energy Jg. 229; S. 446 - 458 |
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| Hauptverfasser: | , , , |
| Format: | Journal Article |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Elsevier Ltd
01.11.2018
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| Schlagworte: | |
| ISSN: | 0306-2619, 1872-9118 |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
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| Zusammenfassung: | •Quantification of predictive uncertainty in data-driven models of power plants.•Multi-objective optimisation under uncertainty to find optimal NOx and UBC trade-off.•Novel solution selection method based on maximum probability of dominance.•Optimisation for all load demands in a single run: no need for repeated optimisation.•Methods are demonstrated on the data collected from Jianbi power plant, China.
Coal remains an important energy source. Nonetheless, pollutant emissions – in particular Oxides of Nitrogen (NOx) – as a result of the combustion process in a boiler, are subject to strict legislation due to their damaging effects on the environment. Optimising combustion parameters to achieve a lower NOx emission often results in combustion inefficiency measured with the proportion of unburned coal content (UBC). Consequently there is a range of solutions that trade-off efficiency for emissions. Generally, an analytical model for NOx emission or UBC is unavailable, and therefore data-driven models are used to optimise this multi-objective problem. We introduce the use of Gaussian process models to capture the uncertainties in NOx and UBC predictions arising from measurement error and data scarcity. A novel evolutionary multi-objective search algorithm is used to discover the probabilistic trade-off front between NOx and UBC, and we describe a new procedure for selecting parameters yielding the desired performance. We discuss the variation of operating parameters along the trade-off front. We give a novel algorithm for discovering the optimal trade-off for all load demands simultaneously. The methods are demonstrated on data collected from a boiler in Jianbi power plant, China, and we show that a wide range of solutions trading-off NOx and efficiency may be efficiently located. |
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| Bibliographie: | ObjectType-Article-1 SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1 ObjectType-Feature-2 content type line 23 |
| ISSN: | 0306-2619 1872-9118 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.07.101 |