Climate change impacts on irrigated crops in Cambodia
Increasing heat-stress conditions, rising evaporative demand and shifting rainfall patterns may have multifaceted impacts on Cambodia's agricultural systems, including vegetable production. Concurrently, domestic vegetable supply is highly seasonal and inadequate to meet the domestic food deman...
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| Published in: | Agricultural and forest meteorology Vol. 324; p. 109105 |
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| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier B.V
15.09.2022
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| ISSN: | 0168-1923, 1873-2240 |
| Online Access: | Get full text |
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| Abstract | Increasing heat-stress conditions, rising evaporative demand and shifting rainfall patterns may have multifaceted impacts on Cambodia's agricultural systems, including vegetable production. Concurrently, domestic vegetable supply is highly seasonal and inadequate to meet the domestic food demand, which consequently poses risks to food security locally, particularly in rural areas. This study assesses the impact of climate change on the yields and crop water productivity (CWP) of tomato, pak choi and yard-long bean cultivated year-round under different irrigated conditions (drip, furrow and net irrigation) in Siem Reap, Cambodia. The findings of this study show a similar annual precipitation decline (-23%) when comparing the 2017–2040 and 2070–2099 periods for both Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs 4.5 and 8.5), though with significant seasonal differences between the two climate scenarios. Increasing water and heat-stress conditions are expected to have adverse impacts on tomato plants compared to pak choi and yard-long bean, which have a much higher heat tolerance. Differing yield trends are expected depending on the transplanting/sowing date, irrigation method and RCP. In tomato, for example, a -55% yield loss is projected by the end-century (2070–2099) when transplanting in January, whereas a + 37% yield increase is expected between November and December over the same period. In addition, pak choi yield enhancements of up to +30% are projected if sowing in May under RCP 8.5 for both drip and net irrigation conditions. Similarly, higher yard-long bean yields are simulated under RCP 8.5 (+29%) compared to RCP 4.5 (+11%) for the average of all sowing dates (January to December) and irrigation methods (drip, furrow and net irrigation). In sum, the findings of this work are relevant for evidence-based decision-making and the development of projects, policies and programmes increasingly informed by simulation results from bundling climate-crop approaches to transform agriculture in response to climate change. |
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| AbstractList | Increasing heat-stress conditions, rising evaporative demand and shifting rainfall patterns may have multifaceted impacts on Cambodia's agricultural systems, including vegetable production. Concurrently, domestic vegetable supply is highly seasonal and inadequate to meet the domestic food demand, which consequently poses risks to food security locally, particularly in rural areas. This study assesses the impact of climate change on the yields and crop water productivity (CWP) of tomato, pak choi and yard-long bean cultivated year-round under different irrigated conditions (drip, furrow and net irrigation) in Siem Reap, Cambodia. The findings of this study show a similar annual precipitation decline (-23%) when comparing the 2017–2040 and 2070–2099 periods for both Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs 4.5 and 8.5), though with significant seasonal differences between the two climate scenarios. Increasing water and heat-stress conditions are expected to have adverse impacts on tomato plants compared to pak choi and yard-long bean, which have a much higher heat tolerance. Differing yield trends are expected depending on the transplanting/sowing date, irrigation method and RCP. In tomato, for example, a -55% yield loss is projected by the end-century (2070–2099) when transplanting in January, whereas a + 37% yield increase is expected between November and December over the same period. In addition, pak choi yield enhancements of up to +30% are projected if sowing in May under RCP 8.5 for both drip and net irrigation conditions. Similarly, higher yard-long bean yields are simulated under RCP 8.5 (+29%) compared to RCP 4.5 (+11%) for the average of all sowing dates (January to December) and irrigation methods (drip, furrow and net irrigation). In sum, the findings of this work are relevant for evidence-based decision-making and the development of projects, policies and programmes increasingly informed by simulation results from bundling climate-crop approaches to transform agriculture in response to climate change. Increasing heat-stress conditions, rising evaporative demand and shifting rainfall patterns may have multifaceted impacts on Cambodia's agricultural systems, including vegetable production. Concurrently, domestic vegetable supply is highly seasonal and inadequate to meet the domestic food demand, which consequently poses risks to food security locally, particularly in rural areas. This study assesses the impact of climate change on the yields and crop water productivity (CWP) of tomato, pak choi and yard-long bean cultivated year-round under different irrigated conditions (drip, furrow and net irrigation) in Siem Reap, Cambodia. The findings of this study show a similar annual precipitation decline (-23%) when comparing the 2017–2040 and 2070–2099 periods for both Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs 4.5 and 8.5), though with significant seasonal differences between the two climate scenarios. Increasing water and heat-stress conditions are expected to have adverse impacts on tomato plants compared to pak choi and yard-long bean, which have a much higher heat tolerance. Differing yield trends are expected depending on the transplanting/sowing date, irrigation method and RCP. In tomato, for example, a -55% yield loss is projected by the end-century (2070–2099) when transplanting in January, whereas a + 37% yield increase is expected between November and December over the same period. In addition, pak choi yield enhancements of up to +30% are projected if sowing in May under RCP 8.5 for both drip and net irrigation conditions. Similarly, higher yard-long bean yields are simulated under RCP 8.5 (+29%) compared to RCP 4.5 (+11%) for the average of all sowing dates (January to December) and irrigation methods (drip, furrow and net irrigation). In sum, the findings of this work are relevant for evidence-based decision-making and the development of projects, policies and programmes increasingly informed by simulation results from bundling climate-crop approaches to transform agriculture in response to climate change. |
| ArticleNumber | 109105 |
| Author | Seng, Vang Srun, Khema Soldan, Riccardo Franceschini, Gianluca Alvar-Beltrán, Jorge Ly, Proyuth Manzanas, Rodrigo Heureux, Ana |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Jorge orcidid: 0000-0003-2454-0629 surname: Alvar-Beltrán fullname: Alvar-Beltrán, Jorge email: jorge.alvarbeltran@fao.org organization: Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations, Rome, Italy – sequence: 2 givenname: Riccardo surname: Soldan fullname: Soldan, Riccardo organization: Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations, Rome, Italy – sequence: 3 givenname: Proyuth surname: Ly fullname: Ly, Proyuth organization: Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations, Phnom Penh, Cambodia – sequence: 4 givenname: Vang surname: Seng fullname: Seng, Vang organization: Department of Agricultural Land Resources Management and Department of Crop Seeds of the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (MAFF), Phnom Penh, Cambodia – sequence: 5 givenname: Khema surname: Srun fullname: Srun, Khema organization: Department of Agricultural Land Resources Management and Department of Crop Seeds of the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (MAFF), Phnom Penh, Cambodia – sequence: 6 givenname: Rodrigo surname: Manzanas fullname: Manzanas, Rodrigo organization: Meteorology Group, Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science, Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, Spain – sequence: 7 givenname: Gianluca surname: Franceschini fullname: Franceschini, Gianluca organization: Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations, Rome, Italy – sequence: 8 givenname: Ana surname: Heureux fullname: Heureux, Ana organization: Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations, Rome, Italy |
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| Cites_doi | 10.1007/s00382-011-1259-y 10.1016/j.scienta.2018.11.079 10.1016/j.tplants.2005.11.002 10.3390/agronomy8050066 10.1007/s13593-017-0461-7 10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.08.005 10.1007/s11099-018-0815-7 10.30852/sb.2018.436 10.1038/s41598-019-51443-y 10.5194/essd-12-2097-2020 10.1016/S0065-2113(09)01003-7 10.1007/s11738-016-2269-5 10.21273/HORTSCI12667-17 10.1016/j.envexpbot.2007.05.011 10.3390/plants10030449 10.1093/jexbot/52.357.701 10.1016/j.jphotobiol.2010.05.013 10.1146/annurev-environ-102014-021217 10.1111/j.1439-037X.2011.00477.x 10.1016/j.cropro.2018.10.015 10.3390/agriculture11050410 10.1007/s10584-011-0149-y 10.1016/j.cropro.2019.05.005 10.1002/qj.3803 10.1016/j.agrformet.2011.09.002 10.3390/agronomy10091257 10.1016/j.scienta.2009.12.033 10.1007/s40003-016-0238-2 10.1016/j.agwat.2013.05.012 10.1007/s12042-012-9096-7 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.03.181 |
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| Keywords | Climate change Irrigation methods Tomato Yard-long bean Pak choi |
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| Title | Climate change impacts on irrigated crops in Cambodia |
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