Anthropogenic and lightning‐started fires are becoming larger and more frequent over a longer season length in the U.S.A

Aim Over the past several decades, wildfires have become larger, more frequent, and/or more severe in many areas. Simultaneously, anthropogenic ignitions are steadily growing. We have little understanding of how increasing anthropogenic ignitions are changing modern fire regimes. Location Contermino...

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Vydáno v:Global ecology and biogeography Ročník 29; číslo 4; s. 668 - 681
Hlavní autoři: Cattau, Megan E., Wessman, Carol, Mahood, Adam, Balch, Jennifer K., Poulter, Benjamin
Médium: Journal Article
Jazyk:angličtina
Vydáno: Oxford Wiley Subscription Services, Inc 01.04.2020
Témata:
Anthropogenic factors
anthropogenic ignitions
climate
Climate change
coupled human–environment systems
disturbance ecology
Eastern United States
ecoregions
fire frequency
fire intensity
fire regime
fire season
Forest & brush fires
humans
Ignition
Land cover
Land use
Lightning
Physical characteristics
Physical properties
Remote sensing
satellite data
Seasons
space and time
spatial data
United States
vegetation
Wildfires
Eastern United States
ISSN:1466-822X, 1466-8238
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Shrnutí:Aim Over the past several decades, wildfires have become larger, more frequent, and/or more severe in many areas. Simultaneously, anthropogenic ignitions are steadily growing. We have little understanding of how increasing anthropogenic ignitions are changing modern fire regimes. Location Conterminous United States. Time period 1984–2016. Major taxa studied Vegetation. Methods We aggregated fire radiative power (FRP)‐based fire intensity, event size, burned area, frequency, season length, and ignition type data from > 1.8 million government records and remote sensing data at a 50‐km resolution. We evaluated the relationship between fire physical characteristics and ignition type to determine if and how modern U.S.A. fire regimes are changing sensu stricto given increased anthropogenic ignitions, and how those patterns vary over space and time. Results At a national scale, wildfires occur over longer fire seasons (17% increase) and have become larger (78%) and more frequent (12%), but not necessarily more intense. Further, human ignitions have increased 9% proportionally. The proportion of human ignitions has a negative relationship with fire size and FRP and a positive relationship with fire frequency and season length. Areas dominated by lightning ignitions experience fires that are 2.4 times more intense and 9.2 times larger. Areas dominated by human ignitions experience fires that are twice as frequent and have a fire season that is 2.4 times longer. The effect of human ignitions on fire characteristics varies regionally. Ecoregions in the eastern U.S.A. and in some parts of the coastal western U.S.A. have no areas dominated by lightning ignitions. For the remaining ecoregions, more intense and larger fires are associated with lightning ignitions, and longer season lengths are associated with human ignitions. Main conclusions Increasing anthropogenic ignitions – in tandem with climate and land cover change – are contributing to a ‘new normal’ of fire activity across continental scales.
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ISSN:1466-822X
1466-8238
DOI:10.1111/geb.13058