Automatic gap-filling of daily streamflow time series in data-scarce regions using a machine learning algorithm

•The MissForest algorithm is introduced for automatic gap-filling of daily streamflow time series.•The algorithm is applied in 122 gauges in a data-scarce region with multiple climates.•Results show that MissForest is a precise and reliable tool for simulation of the missing data in an automatic way...

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Vydané v:Journal of hydrology (Amsterdam) Ročník 598; s. 126454
Hlavní autori: Arriagada, Pedro, Karelovic, Bruno, Link, Oscar
Médium: Journal Article
Jazyk:English
Vydavateľské údaje: Elsevier B.V 01.07.2021
Predmet:
algorithms
Daily flow
Discharge records
energy
Gaps filling
hydrograph
hydrologic data
irrigation
MissForest
runoff
stream flow
time series analysis
urbanization
MissForest
Gaps filling
Daily flow
Discharge records
ISSN:0022-1694, 1879-2707
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Popis
Shrnutí:•The MissForest algorithm is introduced for automatic gap-filling of daily streamflow time series.•The algorithm is applied in 122 gauges in a data-scarce region with multiple climates.•Results show that MissForest is a precise and reliable tool for simulation of the missing data in an automatic way. Complete hydrological time series are crucial for water and energy resources management and modelling in a changing climate. The reliability of the non-parametric stochastic machine learning algorithm MissForest was assessed for gap-filling of daily streamflow time series in a data-scarce region with strong climatic variability. A total of 1,586 reconstructions of streamflows for 1970–2016 were analyzed. Overall, MissForest performed satisfactorily to well, allowing a precise and reliable simulation of the missing data quickly and automatically. MissForest performance increased with the number of predictor records and record length, achieving satisfactory results with 20 or more records having 15 or more years in length. Reconstructed daily streamflow time series of rivers with natural flow regimes were simulated with good performance, which slightly decreased for discharge magnitude alterations by runoff inputs from urbanized areas and water diversion for irrigation. In cases of severe alterations of the flow regime, such as by hydropeaking, MissForest failed at filling daily streamflow series gaps. Reconstructed hydrographs allow analysis of streamflow change and variability and their interactions with key climatic variables.
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ISSN:0022-1694
1879-2707
DOI:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126454