Effective wind power prediction using novel deep learning network: Stacked independently recurrent autoencoder

Accurate wind power prediction can improve the safety and reliability of power grid operation. In this study, a novel deep learning network stacked by independent recurrent autoencoder (IRAE) is designed according to the characteristics of ultra-short-term wind power data, hereafter called SIRAE (st...

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Vydáno v:Renewable energy Ročník 164; s. 642 - 655
Hlavní autoři: Wang, Lin, Tao, Rui, Hu, Huanling, Zeng, Yu-Rong
Médium: Journal Article
Jazyk:angličtina
Vydáno: Elsevier Ltd 01.02.2021
Témata:
energy
Independently recurrent neural network
Observational mode decomposition
prediction
Stacked auto encoder
Ultra-short-term
wind power
Wind power prediction
Observational mode decomposition
Independently recurrent neural network
Wind power prediction
Stacked auto encoder
Ultra-short-term
ISSN:0960-1481
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Shrnutí:Accurate wind power prediction can improve the safety and reliability of power grid operation. In this study, a novel deep learning network stacked by independent recurrent autoencoder (IRAE) is designed according to the characteristics of ultra-short-term wind power data, hereafter called SIRAE (staked independently recurrent autoencoder). This approach accommodates a sheer volume of data in the smart energy era and overcomes the effects of random changes in the natural environment. First, the original sequence is decomposed into sub-sequences through variational mode decomposition techniques. Second, each IRAE extracts the structural features and deep connections of the data through unsupervised pre-training and finds an appropriate initial state. Finally, all IRAEs are stacked into SIRAE and the parameters of each layer for SIRAE are adjusted through supervised training. The results of two comparative experiments show that SIRAE model outperforms the existing popular models. In the extended application, compared with the persistence model, SIRAE shows 18.46%, 31.16%, 9.06% and 34.24% improvements in terms of root mean square error for March, June, September, and December. Therefore, SIRAE is an appropriate tool for ultra-short-term wind power prediction on account of its effective and stable forecasting performance. •Propose a deep learning model (SIRAE) considering characteristics of wind power.•Propose new independently recurrent autoencoder to stack into deep learning network.•Effectively control the calculation cost through the SIRAE model.•Decompose original sequence into subsequences through VMD to remove noise from data.•SIRAE outperforms existing models for ultra-short-term wind power forecasting.
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ISSN:0960-1481
DOI:10.1016/j.renene.2020.09.108