Analyzing Household Expenditures with Generalized Random Forests

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Názov: Analyzing Household Expenditures with Generalized Random Forests
Autori: Isnanda, Eriski, Notodiputro, Khairil Anwar, Sadik, Kusman
Zdroj: CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi; Vol 10, No 1 (2025): CAUCHY: JURNAL MATEMATIKA MURNI DAN APLIKASI; 166-179 ; 2477-3344 ; 2086-0382
Informácie o vydavateľovi: Mathematics Department, Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang
Rok vydania: 2025
Zbierka: Jurnal Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang
Predmety: Sains, Statistika dan Sains Data, generalized linear mixed model, generalized random forest, household per capita expenditure, random forest, winsorization
Popis: This study investigates the performance of Generalized Random Forest (GRF), which has been known to be useful in understanding heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) and non-linear relationships in high-dimensional data. In this paper the performance of GRF was compared with Random Forest (RF), Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM) as continuation of previous study conducted by Athey (2019). The data utilized in this study is from the National Socioeconomic Survey (SUSENAS) to predict household per capita expenditure in West Java, Indonesia. The models are evaluated based on their ability to handle outliers using Winsorization. The results show that RF performed the best, yielding the smallest MSE values, followed by GRF with reasonably good performance, and GLMM with the highest MSE, indicating its limitations in handling non-linear data patterns. These findings indicate that RF is the most accurate method for modeling per capita expenditure in West Java, with recommendations for further research to develop hybrid methods or use more specific random effects in GLMM
Druh dokumentu: article in journal/newspaper
Popis súboru: application/pdf
Jazyk: English
Relation: http://ejournal.uin-malang.ac.id/index.php/Math/article/view/30104/pdf
DOI: 10.18860/cauchy.v10i1.30104
Dostupnosť: http://ejournal.uin-malang.ac.id/index.php/Math/article/view/30104
https://doi.org/10.18860/cauchy.v10i1.30104
Rights: Copyright (c) 2025 Eriski Isnanda, Khairil Anwar Notodiputro, Kusman Sadik ; https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
Prístupové číslo: edsbas.314DBE23
Databáza: BASE
Popis
Abstrakt:This study investigates the performance of Generalized Random Forest (GRF), which has been known to be useful in understanding heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) and non-linear relationships in high-dimensional data. In this paper the performance of GRF was compared with Random Forest (RF), Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM) as continuation of previous study conducted by Athey (2019). The data utilized in this study is from the National Socioeconomic Survey (SUSENAS) to predict household per capita expenditure in West Java, Indonesia. The models are evaluated based on their ability to handle outliers using Winsorization. The results show that RF performed the best, yielding the smallest MSE values, followed by GRF with reasonably good performance, and GLMM with the highest MSE, indicating its limitations in handling non-linear data patterns. These findings indicate that RF is the most accurate method for modeling per capita expenditure in West Java, with recommendations for further research to develop hybrid methods or use more specific random effects in GLMM
DOI:10.18860/cauchy.v10i1.30104