Analyzing Household Expenditures with Generalized Random Forests

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Bibliographic Details
Title: Analyzing Household Expenditures with Generalized Random Forests
Authors: Isnanda, Eriski, Notodiputro, Khairil Anwar, Sadik, Kusman
Source: CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi; Vol 10, No 1 (2025): CAUCHY: JURNAL MATEMATIKA MURNI DAN APLIKASI; 166-179 ; 2477-3344 ; 2086-0382
Publisher Information: Mathematics Department, Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang
Publication Year: 2025
Collection: Jurnal Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang
Subject Terms: Sains, Statistika dan Sains Data, generalized linear mixed model, generalized random forest, household per capita expenditure, random forest, winsorization
Description: This study investigates the performance of Generalized Random Forest (GRF), which has been known to be useful in understanding heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) and non-linear relationships in high-dimensional data. In this paper the performance of GRF was compared with Random Forest (RF), Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM) as continuation of previous study conducted by Athey (2019). The data utilized in this study is from the National Socioeconomic Survey (SUSENAS) to predict household per capita expenditure in West Java, Indonesia. The models are evaluated based on their ability to handle outliers using Winsorization. The results show that RF performed the best, yielding the smallest MSE values, followed by GRF with reasonably good performance, and GLMM with the highest MSE, indicating its limitations in handling non-linear data patterns. These findings indicate that RF is the most accurate method for modeling per capita expenditure in West Java, with recommendations for further research to develop hybrid methods or use more specific random effects in GLMM
Document Type: article in journal/newspaper
File Description: application/pdf
Language: English
Relation: http://ejournal.uin-malang.ac.id/index.php/Math/article/view/30104/pdf
DOI: 10.18860/cauchy.v10i1.30104
Availability: http://ejournal.uin-malang.ac.id/index.php/Math/article/view/30104
https://doi.org/10.18860/cauchy.v10i1.30104
Rights: Copyright (c) 2025 Eriski Isnanda, Khairil Anwar Notodiputro, Kusman Sadik ; https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0
Accession Number: edsbas.314DBE23
Database: BASE
Description
Abstract:This study investigates the performance of Generalized Random Forest (GRF), which has been known to be useful in understanding heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) and non-linear relationships in high-dimensional data. In this paper the performance of GRF was compared with Random Forest (RF), Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM) as continuation of previous study conducted by Athey (2019). The data utilized in this study is from the National Socioeconomic Survey (SUSENAS) to predict household per capita expenditure in West Java, Indonesia. The models are evaluated based on their ability to handle outliers using Winsorization. The results show that RF performed the best, yielding the smallest MSE values, followed by GRF with reasonably good performance, and GLMM with the highest MSE, indicating its limitations in handling non-linear data patterns. These findings indicate that RF is the most accurate method for modeling per capita expenditure in West Java, with recommendations for further research to develop hybrid methods or use more specific random effects in GLMM
DOI:10.18860/cauchy.v10i1.30104