Mixed Hydrometeorological Processes Explain Regional Landslide Potential

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Název: Mixed Hydrometeorological Processes Explain Regional Landslide Potential
Autoři: Chuxuan Li, Alexander L. Handwerger, Daniel E. Horton
Zdroj: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 52, Iss 14, Pp n/a-n/a (2025)
Geophysical Research Letters, vol 52, iss 14
Informace o vydavateli: American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2025.
Rok vydání: 2025
Témata: 37 Earth Sciences (for-2020), QC801-809, hydrologic modeling, regional landslide potential, Geophysics. Cosmic physics, atmospheric rivers, 3701 Atmospheric Sciences (for-2020), Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences (science-metrix), climate extremes
Popis: During December 2022–January 2023, nine atmospheric rivers (ARs) struck California consecutively, causing catastrophic flooding and 600+ landslides. The extensive footprints of landslide‐triggering storms and their diverse hydrometeorological forcings highlight the urgent need to incorporate regional‐scale hydrometeorology into landslide research. Here, using a meteorologically‐informed hydrologic model, we simulate the time‐evolving water budget during the nine‐AR event and identify hydrometeorological conditions that contributed to widespread landslide occurrences across California. Our analysis reveals that 89% of observed landslides occurred under excessively wet conditions, driven by precipitation exceeding the capacities of infiltration, storage, evapotranspiration, and soil drainage. Using K‐means clustering, we identify three distinct hydrometeorological pathways that increased landslide potential: intense precipitation‐induced runoff (∼32% of reported landslides), rain on pre‐wetted soils (∼53%), and snowmelt and soil ice thawing (∼15%). Our findings highlight the importance of constraining the compounding factors that influence slope stability over spatial scales consistent with landslide‐triggering weather systems.
Druh dokumentu: Article
Jazyk: English
ISSN: 1944-8007
0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2025gl115912
Přístupová URL adresa: https://doaj.org/article/f84553af14514caeb1da583295b10b3f
https://escholarship.org/uc/item/5s31z847
Rights: CC BY NC
Přístupové číslo: edsair.doi.dedup.....b163e90364aa13c0c43402adb8fb7238
Databáze: OpenAIRE
Popis
Abstrakt:During December 2022–January 2023, nine atmospheric rivers (ARs) struck California consecutively, causing catastrophic flooding and 600+ landslides. The extensive footprints of landslide‐triggering storms and their diverse hydrometeorological forcings highlight the urgent need to incorporate regional‐scale hydrometeorology into landslide research. Here, using a meteorologically‐informed hydrologic model, we simulate the time‐evolving water budget during the nine‐AR event and identify hydrometeorological conditions that contributed to widespread landslide occurrences across California. Our analysis reveals that 89% of observed landslides occurred under excessively wet conditions, driven by precipitation exceeding the capacities of infiltration, storage, evapotranspiration, and soil drainage. Using K‐means clustering, we identify three distinct hydrometeorological pathways that increased landslide potential: intense precipitation‐induced runoff (∼32% of reported landslides), rain on pre‐wetted soils (∼53%), and snowmelt and soil ice thawing (∼15%). Our findings highlight the importance of constraining the compounding factors that influence slope stability over spatial scales consistent with landslide‐triggering weather systems.
ISSN:19448007
00948276
DOI:10.1029/2025gl115912