Modeling Fire Risk in Hawai'i Using Satellite, Atmospheric and Geographic Data

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Název: Modeling Fire Risk in Hawai'i Using Satellite, Atmospheric and Geographic Data
Autoři: Spears, Tyler
Informace o vydavateli: Zenodo, 2024.
Rok vydání: 2024
Témata: Forest fire, Wildfires/statistics & numerical data
Popis: Wildfires threaten ecosystems, communities, and property, underscoring the need for accurate predictive models for disaster management. This project develops a Deep Neural Network (DNN) to estimate wildfire occurrence probability by integrating meteorological data, satellite fire detection records, and static environmental features like topography and vegetation classifications. Using data since 2011, the model builds a sample from each satellite pixel, using meteorological, topographical, and fuel conditions as features and fire presence as the label. Temporal aggregation captures historical trends through averaged meteorological features. The DNN optimizes predictions using cross-entropy loss, producing spatial risk maps to support emergency planning and land management. This research highlights machine learning's potential in wildfire prediction, offering a framework for integrating environmental data to mitigate fire risks and address global challenges.
Druh dokumentu: Report
Jazyk: English
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.14502960
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.14502961
Rights: CC BY
Přístupové číslo: edsair.doi.dedup.....9d58a11b33d2bd93d576d1135912e2e6
Databáze: OpenAIRE
Popis
Abstrakt:Wildfires threaten ecosystems, communities, and property, underscoring the need for accurate predictive models for disaster management. This project develops a Deep Neural Network (DNN) to estimate wildfire occurrence probability by integrating meteorological data, satellite fire detection records, and static environmental features like topography and vegetation classifications. Using data since 2011, the model builds a sample from each satellite pixel, using meteorological, topographical, and fuel conditions as features and fire presence as the label. Temporal aggregation captures historical trends through averaged meteorological features. The DNN optimizes predictions using cross-entropy loss, producing spatial risk maps to support emergency planning and land management. This research highlights machine learning's potential in wildfire prediction, offering a framework for integrating environmental data to mitigate fire risks and address global challenges.
DOI:10.5281/zenodo.14502960