An Extension of the Unified Skew-Normal Family of Distributions and its Application to Bayesian Binary Regression

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Název: An Extension of the Unified Skew-Normal Family of Distributions and its Application to Bayesian Binary Regression
Autoři: Paolo Onorati, Brunero Liseo
Zdroj: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. :1-14
Publication Status: Preprint
Informace o vydavateli: Informa UK Limited, 2025.
Rok vydání: 2025
Témata: Methodology (stat.ME), FOS: Computer and information sciences, 0502 economics and business, 05 social sciences, FOS: Mathematics, Mathematics - Statistics Theory, Statistics Theory (math.ST), 0101 mathematics, 01 natural sciences, Statistics - Methodology, Importance sampling, Kolmogorov distribution, Logistic regression, Scale mixture of Gaussian densities
Popis: We consider the Bayesian binary regression model and we introduce a new class of distributions, the Perturbed Unified Skew-Normal (pSUN, henceforth), which generalizes the Unified Skew-Normal (SUN) class. We show that the new class is conjugate to any binary regression model, provided that the link function may be expressed as a scale mixture of Gaussian CDFs. We discuss in detail the popular logit case, and we show that, when a logistic regression model is combined with a Gaussian prior, posterior summaries such as cumulants and normalizing constants can easily be obtained through the use of an importance sampling approach, opening the way to straightforward variable selection procedures. For more general prior distributions, the proposed methodology is based on a simple Gibbs sampler algorithm. We also claim that, in the p>n case, our proposal presents better performances - both in terms of mixing and accuracy - compared to the existing methods.
Druh dokumentu: Article
Popis souboru: application/pdf
Jazyk: English
ISSN: 1537-2715
1061-8600
DOI: 10.1080/10618600.2024.2444313
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2209.03474
Přístupová URL adresa: http://arxiv.org/abs/2209.03474
Rights: CC BY NC ND
Přístupové číslo: edsair.doi.dedup.....6720df20b7236c2c0295749a44ec2a16
Databáze: OpenAIRE
Popis
Abstrakt:We consider the Bayesian binary regression model and we introduce a new class of distributions, the Perturbed Unified Skew-Normal (pSUN, henceforth), which generalizes the Unified Skew-Normal (SUN) class. We show that the new class is conjugate to any binary regression model, provided that the link function may be expressed as a scale mixture of Gaussian CDFs. We discuss in detail the popular logit case, and we show that, when a logistic regression model is combined with a Gaussian prior, posterior summaries such as cumulants and normalizing constants can easily be obtained through the use of an importance sampling approach, opening the way to straightforward variable selection procedures. For more general prior distributions, the proposed methodology is based on a simple Gibbs sampler algorithm. We also claim that, in the p>n case, our proposal presents better performances - both in terms of mixing and accuracy - compared to the existing methods.
ISSN:15372715
10618600
DOI:10.1080/10618600.2024.2444313