Development of a variance-based deterministic algorithm for stochastic MST in distribution networks

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Název: Development of a variance-based deterministic algorithm for stochastic MST in distribution networks
Autoři: Anna Angela Sitinjak, Saib Suwilo, Mardiningsih Mardiningsih, Sutarman Sutarman
Zdroj: Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies; Vol. 3 No. 4 (135) (2025): Mathematics and Cybernetics-applied aspects; 42-51
Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies; Том 3 № 4 (135) (2025): Математика та кібернетика-прикладні аспекти; 42-51
Informace o vydavateli: Private Company Technology Center, 2025.
Rok vydání: 2025
Témata: uncertainty modeling, spanning tree, stochastic graph, детерміністичне перетворення, стохастичний граф, variance-based algorithm, алгоритм на основі дисперсії, deterministic transformation, network optimization, кістякове дерево, моделювання невизначеності, оптимізація мережі
Popis: This study addresses constructing Minimum Spanning Trees (MST) in stochastic weighted distribution networks, where edge costs have inherent uncertainties with known means and variances. Traditional deterministic methods often fail, and existing stochastic approaches are frequently unstable or computationally complex under high uncertainty. A novel variance-based deterministic transformation algorithm is proposed. Its core feature is transforming stochastic edge costs into robust deterministic equivalents by computing an aggregate variance term from the largest (n – 1) edge variances, enabling MST construction via classical algorithms. This method fundamentally enhances stability and ensures feasibility, particularly in high-variance scenarios, improving upon traditional confidence interval-based techniques. The algorithm’s efficacy was rigorously validated. Its performance was compared against a probabilistic Qij-based method under moderate variance, demonstrating consistent and accurate MSTs. It was then applied to a complex 21-edge distribution network with high variance parameters. Results confirm the algorithm’s broad applicability, precision, and capability to construct reliable spanning trees under both moderate and substantial uncertainty. The algorithm demonstrates significant computational efficiency (O(r log r)), ensuring practicality and scalability across varying uncertainty levels. Unlike iterative or constraint-heavy models, this algorithm simplifies optimization while preserving uncertainty representation. This makes it well-suited for large-scale networks and real-world systems where cost variability is critical. Future research includes expanding this approach to multi-objective optimization or dynamic networks
Druh dokumentu: Article
Popis souboru: application/pdf
ISSN: 1729-4061
1729-3774
DOI: 10.15587/1729-4061.2025.329685
Přístupová URL adresa: https://journals.uran.ua/eejet/article/view/329685
Rights: CC BY
Přístupové číslo: edsair.doi.dedup.....4a829f50ffa2a8ac48d7ae77a404fa17
Databáze: OpenAIRE
Popis
Abstrakt:This study addresses constructing Minimum Spanning Trees (MST) in stochastic weighted distribution networks, where edge costs have inherent uncertainties with known means and variances. Traditional deterministic methods often fail, and existing stochastic approaches are frequently unstable or computationally complex under high uncertainty. A novel variance-based deterministic transformation algorithm is proposed. Its core feature is transforming stochastic edge costs into robust deterministic equivalents by computing an aggregate variance term from the largest (n – 1) edge variances, enabling MST construction via classical algorithms. This method fundamentally enhances stability and ensures feasibility, particularly in high-variance scenarios, improving upon traditional confidence interval-based techniques. The algorithm’s efficacy was rigorously validated. Its performance was compared against a probabilistic Qij-based method under moderate variance, demonstrating consistent and accurate MSTs. It was then applied to a complex 21-edge distribution network with high variance parameters. Results confirm the algorithm’s broad applicability, precision, and capability to construct reliable spanning trees under both moderate and substantial uncertainty. The algorithm demonstrates significant computational efficiency (O(r log r)), ensuring practicality and scalability across varying uncertainty levels. Unlike iterative or constraint-heavy models, this algorithm simplifies optimization while preserving uncertainty representation. This makes it well-suited for large-scale networks and real-world systems where cost variability is critical. Future research includes expanding this approach to multi-objective optimization or dynamic networks
ISSN:17294061
17293774
DOI:10.15587/1729-4061.2025.329685