BIM-Based Machine Learning Framework for Early-Stage Building Energy Performance Prediction.

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Bibliographic Details
Title: BIM-Based Machine Learning Framework for Early-Stage Building Energy Performance Prediction.
Authors: de Paula, Liliane Magnavaca, Oloufa, Amr, Tatari, Omer
Source: Applied Sciences (2076-3417); Jan2026, Vol. 16 Issue 1, p320, 22p
Subject Terms: BUILDING information modeling, SUSTAINABLE design, MACHINE learning, PREDICTION models, DATA analysis, BUILDING design & construction, ENERGY consumption, EMPIRICAL research
Abstract: Featured Application: The proposed BIM-Machine Learning framework applies to early-stage assessment of building energy performance, providing an expeditious data-driven approach to support sustainable design decision-making. A Building Information Modeling (BIM)-based Machine Learning (ML) framework was developed to predict the energy performance of office buildings at the early design stage. The framework provides a reproducible and data-driven workflow that shortens simulation time while maintaining accuracy. Revit and Insight were integrated with statistical modeling in Weka to create an automated and regionally adaptable process derived from BIM-generated data. A reduced-factorial Design of Experiments (DOE) guided the generation of 210 parametric simulations representing base, generalization, and stress-test models for Orlando, Florida. Each model combined geometric, envelope, system, and operational variations, forming a dataset of 14 independent parameters and two dependent energy metrics: Energy Use Intensity (EUI) and Operational Energy (OE). Four regression algorithms—Linear Regression (LR), M5P, SMOReg, and Random Forest (RF)—were trained and validated through 10-fold cross-validation. All models achieved R2 values above 0.95, with the RF model reaching the highest overall accuracy under default parameter settings, with R2 > 0.97 and mean absolute errors below 5% across both metrics, EUI and OE. Feature-importance analysis identified HVAC system type, window-to-wall ratio, and operational schedule as the most influential variables. Results confirm that BIM-ML integration enables rapid and reliable energy-performance prediction, supporting informed, energy-efficient design decisions in the earliest phases of the building lifecycle. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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Database: Complementary Index
Description
Abstract:Featured Application: The proposed BIM-Machine Learning framework applies to early-stage assessment of building energy performance, providing an expeditious data-driven approach to support sustainable design decision-making. A Building Information Modeling (BIM)-based Machine Learning (ML) framework was developed to predict the energy performance of office buildings at the early design stage. The framework provides a reproducible and data-driven workflow that shortens simulation time while maintaining accuracy. Revit and Insight were integrated with statistical modeling in Weka to create an automated and regionally adaptable process derived from BIM-generated data. A reduced-factorial Design of Experiments (DOE) guided the generation of 210 parametric simulations representing base, generalization, and stress-test models for Orlando, Florida. Each model combined geometric, envelope, system, and operational variations, forming a dataset of 14 independent parameters and two dependent energy metrics: Energy Use Intensity (EUI) and Operational Energy (OE). Four regression algorithms—Linear Regression (LR), M5P, SMOReg, and Random Forest (RF)—were trained and validated through 10-fold cross-validation. All models achieved R<sup>2</sup> values above 0.95, with the RF model reaching the highest overall accuracy under default parameter settings, with R<sup>2</sup> > 0.97 and mean absolute errors below 5% across both metrics, EUI and OE. Feature-importance analysis identified HVAC system type, window-to-wall ratio, and operational schedule as the most influential variables. Results confirm that BIM-ML integration enables rapid and reliable energy-performance prediction, supporting informed, energy-efficient design decisions in the earliest phases of the building lifecycle. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
ISSN:20763417
DOI:10.3390/app16010320