An evolutionary game model of HEI and graduate aligning postgraduate expansion with sustainable development.
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| Titel: | An evolutionary game model of HEI and graduate aligning postgraduate expansion with sustainable development. |
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| Autoren: | Huang J; School of Systems Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China., Zhou G; College of P.E and Sports, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China., Zeng Y; China International IntellectechGroupCo., Ltd., Beijing, China., Zhou Y; School of Systems Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China. zhouya@bnu.edu.cn. |
| Quelle: | Scientific reports [Sci Rep] 2025 Oct 07; Vol. 15 (1), pp. 34978. Date of Electronic Publication: 2025 Oct 07. |
| Publikationsart: | Journal Article |
| Sprache: | English |
| Info zur Zeitschrift: | Publisher: Nature Publishing Group Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 101563288 Publication Model: Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 2045-2322 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 20452322 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Sci Rep Subsets: MEDLINE |
| Imprint Name(s): | Original Publication: London : Nature Publishing Group, copyright 2011- |
| MeSH-Schlagworte: | Sustainable Development* , Game Theory* , Education, Graduate*/economics, Humans ; China ; Universities/economics ; Models, Theoretical |
| Abstract: | Competing Interests: Declarations. Competing interests: The authors declare no competing interests. Ethical approval: Not applicable. Informed consent: Not applicable. This study employs an evolutionary game model to investigate the strategic dynamics between higher education institutions (HEIs) and bachelor's degree graduates (Graduates) amid China's postgraduate enrollment expansion and its concurrent employment challenges. We construct a model around these two stakeholders and propose two novel parameters to quantify their decision drivers: the Education Opportunity Cost Premium (EOCP) for graduates and the Return on an expansion policy (RREP) for HEIs. The findings reveal a bistable system with two potential equilibria: a "conservative coordination" (Not Expand, Employ) and a "progressive coordination" (Expand, Enroll). The system exhibits significant path dependency, indicating that the final outcome is highly sensitive to initial conditions. Graduates' strategies are primarily driven by the EOCP, while institutional choices are governed by the RREP. This research elucidates how individually rational decisions can converge towards a collectively suboptimal outcome, posing a challenge to sustainable development. By analyzing the model's sensitivity to key parameters, this study critically assesses the implications for educational equity and proposes a collaborative university-industry-government framework to better align postgraduate expansion with sustainable development goals. (© 2025. The Author(s).) |
| References: | Nature. 2016 Jun 15;534(7607):320-2. (PMID: 27306173) |
| Contributed Indexing: | Keywords: Enrollment expansion; Evolutionary game theory; Graduate employment; Postgraduate education; Sustainable development |
| Entry Date(s): | Date Created: 20251007 Date Completed: 20251007 Latest Revision: 20251010 |
| Update Code: | 20251010 |
| PubMed Central ID: | PMC12504676 |
| DOI: | 10.1038/s41598-025-18922-x |
| PMID: | 41057476 |
| Datenbank: | MEDLINE |
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Nájsť tento článok vo Web of Science | Abstract: | Competing Interests: Declarations. Competing interests: The authors declare no competing interests. Ethical approval: Not applicable. Informed consent: Not applicable.<br />This study employs an evolutionary game model to investigate the strategic dynamics between higher education institutions (HEIs) and bachelor's degree graduates (Graduates) amid China's postgraduate enrollment expansion and its concurrent employment challenges. We construct a model around these two stakeholders and propose two novel parameters to quantify their decision drivers: the Education Opportunity Cost Premium (EOCP) for graduates and the Return on an expansion policy (RREP) for HEIs. The findings reveal a bistable system with two potential equilibria: a "conservative coordination" (Not Expand, Employ) and a "progressive coordination" (Expand, Enroll). The system exhibits significant path dependency, indicating that the final outcome is highly sensitive to initial conditions. Graduates' strategies are primarily driven by the EOCP, while institutional choices are governed by the RREP. This research elucidates how individually rational decisions can converge towards a collectively suboptimal outcome, posing a challenge to sustainable development. By analyzing the model's sensitivity to key parameters, this study critically assesses the implications for educational equity and proposes a collaborative university-industry-government framework to better align postgraduate expansion with sustainable development goals.<br /> (© 2025. The Author(s).) |
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| ISSN: | 2045-2322 |
| DOI: | 10.1038/s41598-025-18922-x |