Why the Fermi paradox may not be well explained by Wong and Bartlett's theory of civilization collapse. A Comment on: 'Asymptotic burnout and homeostatic awakening: a possible solution to the Fermi paradox?' (2022) by Wong and Bartlett.
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| Názov: | Why the Fermi paradox may not be well explained by Wong and Bartlett's theory of civilization collapse. A Comment on: 'Asymptotic burnout and homeostatic awakening: a possible solution to the Fermi paradox?' (2022) by Wong and Bartlett. |
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| Autori: | Jackson CJ; School of Management and Governance, University of New South Wales, Australia., Criado-Perez C; School of Management and Governance, University of New South Wales, Australia. |
| Zdroj: | Journal of the Royal Society, Interface [J R Soc Interface] 2024 Oct; Vol. 21 (219), pp. 20240140. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Oct 23. |
| Spôsob vydávania: | Journal Article |
| Jazyk: | English |
| Informácie o časopise: | Publisher: Royal Society Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 101217269 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1742-5662 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 17425662 NLM ISO Abbreviation: J R Soc Interface Subsets: MEDLINE |
| Imprint Name(s): | Original Publication: London : Royal Society, [2004]- |
| Výrazy zo slovníka MeSH: | Civilization*, Humans ; Models, Theoretical |
| Abstrakt: | Wong and Bartlett explain the Fermi paradox by arguing that neither human nor extra-terrestrial civilizations can escape the time window singularity which, they claim, results from the way in which social characteristics of civilizations follow super-linear growth curves of cities. We question if data at the city level necessarily can lead to conclusions at the civilization level. More specifically, we suggest ways in which learnings from research, foresight, diversity and effective future government might act outside of their model to regulate super-linear growth curves of civilizations, and thus substantively increase the likelihood of civilizations progressing towards higher levels of the Kardashev scale. Moreover, we believe their claimed history of the collapse of terrestrial societies used to evidence their model is difficult to justify. Overall, we cast reasonable doubt on the ability of their proposed model to satisfactorily explain the Fermi paradox. |
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| Contributed Indexing: | Keywords: Fermi paradox; crisis; end of civilization; exo-civilization; growth curves; singularity |
| Entry Date(s): | Date Created: 20241023 Date Completed: 20241023 Latest Revision: 20241101 |
| Update Code: | 20250114 |
| PubMed Central ID: | PMC11523100 |
| DOI: | 10.1098/rsif.2024.0140 |
| PMID: | 39441171 |
| Databáza: | MEDLINE |
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Nájsť tento článok vo Web of Science | Abstrakt: | Wong and Bartlett explain the Fermi paradox by arguing that neither human nor extra-terrestrial civilizations can escape the time window singularity which, they claim, results from the way in which social characteristics of civilizations follow super-linear growth curves of cities. We question if data at the city level necessarily can lead to conclusions at the civilization level. More specifically, we suggest ways in which learnings from research, foresight, diversity and effective future government might act outside of their model to regulate super-linear growth curves of civilizations, and thus substantively increase the likelihood of civilizations progressing towards higher levels of the Kardashev scale. Moreover, we believe their claimed history of the collapse of terrestrial societies used to evidence their model is difficult to justify. Overall, we cast reasonable doubt on the ability of their proposed model to satisfactorily explain the Fermi paradox. |
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| ISSN: | 1742-5662 |
| DOI: | 10.1098/rsif.2024.0140 |