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The need for multi‐method extreme event attribution.

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Názov: The need for multi‐method extreme event attribution.
Autori: Thompson, Vikki1,2 (AUTHOR) vikki.thompson@ed.ac.uk, Ermis, Shirin3 (AUTHOR), Athanase, Marylou4 (AUTHOR)
Zdroj: Weather (00431656). Nov2025, p1. 6p. 3 Illustrations.
Predmety: *EXTREME weather, *RESEARCH questions, *RESEARCH methodology, *QUANTITATIVE research, *MULTIPLE comparisons (Statistics)
Abstrakt: Over the past 20 years, extreme event attribution has developed rapidly, providing a wide range of methods to attribute weather events – from unconditioned probabilistic to strongly conditioned storyline approaches. Advancing the field now requires combining results from multiple methods, allowing more robust conclusions drawn from various lines of evidence. Yet, doing so remains challenging. We call for closer interaction within the attribution field to develop approaches with method comparison in mind. We highlight the need to explicitly define the research questions answerable by specific methods, and to clearly outline the limitations of each method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Databáza: Academic Search Index
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Abstrakt:Over the past 20 years, extreme event attribution has developed rapidly, providing a wide range of methods to attribute weather events – from unconditioned probabilistic to strongly conditioned storyline approaches. Advancing the field now requires combining results from multiple methods, allowing more robust conclusions drawn from various lines of evidence. Yet, doing so remains challenging. We call for closer interaction within the attribution field to develop approaches with method comparison in mind. We highlight the need to explicitly define the research questions answerable by specific methods, and to clearly outline the limitations of each method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
ISSN:00431656
DOI:10.1002/wea.7779