Large potential reduction in economic damages under UN mitigation targets
International climate change agreements typically specify global warming thresholds as policy targets 1 , but the relative economic benefits of achieving these temperature targets remain poorly understood 2 , 3 . Uncertainties include the spatial pattern of temperature change, how global and regiona...
Saved in:
| Published in: | Nature (London) Vol. 557; no. 7706; pp. 549 - 553 |
|---|---|
| Main Authors: | , , |
| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
London
Nature Publishing Group UK
01.05.2018
Nature Publishing Group |
| Subjects: | |
| ISSN: | 0028-0836, 1476-4687, 1476-4687 |
| Online Access: | Get full text |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| Abstract | International climate change agreements typically specify global warming thresholds as policy targets
1
, but the relative economic benefits of achieving these temperature targets remain poorly understood
2
,
3
. Uncertainties include the spatial pattern of temperature change, how global and regional economic output will respond to these changes in temperature, and the willingness of societies to trade present for future consumption. Here we combine historical evidence
4
with national-level climate
5
and socioeconomic
6
projections to quantify the economic damages associated with the United Nations (UN) targets of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming, and those associated with current UN national-level mitigation commitments (which together approach 3 °C warming
7
). We find that by the end of this century, there is a more than 75% chance that limiting warming to 1.5 °C would reduce economic damages relative to 2 °C, and a more than 60% chance that the accumulated global benefits will exceed US$20 trillion under a 3% discount rate (2010 US dollars). We also estimate that 71% of countries—representing 90% of the global population—have a more than 75% chance of experiencing reduced economic damages at 1.5 °C, with poorer countries benefiting most. Our results could understate the benefits of limiting warming to 1.5 °C if unprecedented extreme outcomes, such as large-scale sea level rise
8
, occur for warming of 2 °C but not for warming of 1.5 °C. Inclusion of other unquantified sources of uncertainty, such as uncertainty in secular growth rates beyond that contained in existing socioeconomic scenarios, could also result in less precise impact estimates. We find considerably greater reductions in global economic output beyond 2 °C. Relative to a world that did not warm beyond 2000–2010 levels, we project 15%–25% reductions in per capita output by 2100 for the 2.5–3 °C of global warming implied by current national commitments
7
, and reductions of more than 30% for 4 °C warming. Our results therefore suggest that achieving the 1.5 °C target is likely to reduce aggregate damages and lessen global inequality, and that failing to meet the 2 °C target is likely to increase economic damages substantially.
If the world can meet the target of limiting global warming to 1.5 °C, economic damage will probably be greatly reduced, especially in poorer countries. |
|---|---|
| AbstractList | International climate change agreements typically specify global warming thresholds as policy targets.sup.1, but the relative economic benefits of achieving these temperature targets remain poorly understood.sup.2,3. Uncertainties include the spatial pattern of temperature change, how global and regional economic output will respond to these changes in temperature, and the willingness of societies to trade present for future consumption. Here we combine historical evidence.sup.4 with national-level climate.sup.5 and socioeconomic.sup.6 projections to quantify the economic damages associated with the United Nations (UN) targets of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming, and those associated with current UN national-level mitigation commitments (which together approach 3 °C warming.sup.7). We find that by the end of this century, there is a more than 75% chance that limiting warming to 1.5 °C would reduce economic damages relative to 2 °C, and a more than 60% chance that the accumulated global benefits will exceed US$20 trillion under a 3% discount rate (2010 US dollars). We also estimate that 71% of countries--representing 90% of the global population--have a more than 75% chance of experiencing reduced economic damages at 1.5 °C, with poorer countries benefiting most. Our results could understate the benefits of limiting warming to 1.5 °C if unprecedented extreme outcomes, such as large-scale sea level rise.sup.8, occur for warming of 2 °C but not for warming of 1.5 °C. Inclusion of other unquantified sources of uncertainty, such as uncertainty in secular growth rates beyond that contained in existing socioeconomic scenarios, could also result in less precise impact estimates. We find considerably greater reductions in global economic output beyond 2 °C. Relative to a world that did not warm beyond 2000-2010 levels, we project 15%-25% reductions in per capita output by 2100 for the 2.5-3 °C of global warming implied by current national commitments.sup.7, and reductions of more than 30% for 4 °C warming. Our results therefore suggest that achieving the 1.5 °C target is likely to reduce aggregate damages and lessen global inequality, and that failing to meet the 2 °C target is likely to increase economic damages substantially. International climate change agreements typically specify global warming thresholds as policy targets , but the relative economic benefits of achieving these temperature targets remain poorly understood . Uncertainties include the spatial pattern of temperature change, how global and regional economic output will respond to these changes in temperature, and the willingness of societies to trade present for future consumption. Here we combine historical evidence with national-level climate and socioeconomic projections to quantify the economic damages associated with the United Nations (UN) targets of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming, and those associated with current UN national-level mitigation commitments (which together approach 3 °C warming ). We find that by the end of this century, there is a more than 75% chance that limiting warming to 1.5 °C would reduce economic damages relative to 2 °C, and a more than 60% chance that the accumulated global benefits will exceed US$20 trillion under a 3% discount rate (2010 US dollars). We also estimate that 71% of countries-representing 90% of the global population-have a more than 75% chance of experiencing reduced economic damages at 1.5 °C, with poorer countries benefiting most. Our results could understate the benefits of limiting warming to 1.5 °C if unprecedented extreme outcomes, such as large-scale sea level rise , occur for warming of 2 °C but not for warming of 1.5 °C. Inclusion of other unquantified sources of uncertainty, such as uncertainty in secular growth rates beyond that contained in existing socioeconomic scenarios, could also result in less precise impact estimates. We find considerably greater reductions in global economic output beyond 2 °C. Relative to a world that did not warm beyond 2000-2010 levels, we project 15%-25% reductions in per capita output by 2100 for the 2.5-3 °C of global warming implied by current national commitments , and reductions of more than 30% for 4 °C warming. Our results therefore suggest that achieving the 1.5 °C target is likely to reduce aggregate damages and lessen global inequality, and that failing to meet the 2 °C target is likely to increase economic damages substantially. International climate change agreements typically specify global warming thresholds as policy targets 1 , but the relative economic benefits of achieving these temperature targets remain poorly understood 2 , 3 . Uncertainties include the spatial pattern of temperature change, how global and regional economic output will respond to these changes in temperature, and the willingness of societies to trade present for future consumption. Here we combine historical evidence 4 with national-level climate 5 and socioeconomic 6 projections to quantify the economic damages associated with the United Nations (UN) targets of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming, and those associated with current UN national-level mitigation commitments (which together approach 3 °C warming 7 ). We find that by the end of this century, there is a more than 75% chance that limiting warming to 1.5 °C would reduce economic damages relative to 2 °C, and a more than 60% chance that the accumulated global benefits will exceed US$20 trillion under a 3% discount rate (2010 US dollars). We also estimate that 71% of countries—representing 90% of the global population—have a more than 75% chance of experiencing reduced economic damages at 1.5 °C, with poorer countries benefiting most. Our results could understate the benefits of limiting warming to 1.5 °C if unprecedented extreme outcomes, such as large-scale sea level rise 8 , occur for warming of 2 °C but not for warming of 1.5 °C. Inclusion of other unquantified sources of uncertainty, such as uncertainty in secular growth rates beyond that contained in existing socioeconomic scenarios, could also result in less precise impact estimates. We find considerably greater reductions in global economic output beyond 2 °C. Relative to a world that did not warm beyond 2000–2010 levels, we project 15%–25% reductions in per capita output by 2100 for the 2.5–3 °C of global warming implied by current national commitments 7 , and reductions of more than 30% for 4 °C warming. Our results therefore suggest that achieving the 1.5 °C target is likely to reduce aggregate damages and lessen global inequality, and that failing to meet the 2 °C target is likely to increase economic damages substantially. If the world can meet the target of limiting global warming to 1.5 °C, economic damage will probably be greatly reduced, especially in poorer countries. International climate change agreements typically specify global warming thresholds as policy targets.sup.1, but the relative economic benefits of achieving these temperature targets remain poorly understood.sup.2,3. Uncertainties include the spatial pattern of temperature change, how global and regional economic output will respond to these changes in temperature, and the willingness of societies to trade present for future consumption. Here we combine historical evidence.sup.4 with national-level climate.sup.5 and socioeconomic.sup.6 projections to quantify the economic damages associated with the United Nations (UN) targets of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming, and those associated with current UN national-level mitigation commitments (which together approach 3 °C warming.sup.7). We find that by the end of this century, there is a more than 75% chance that limiting warming to 1.5 °C would reduce economic damages relative to 2 °C, and a more than 60% chance that the accumulated global benefits will exceed US$20 trillion under a 3% discount rate (2010 US dollars). We also estimate that 71% of countries--representing 90% of the global population--have a more than 75% chance of experiencing reduced economic damages at 1.5 °C, with poorer countries benefiting most. Our results could understate the benefits of limiting warming to 1.5 °C if unprecedented extreme outcomes, such as large-scale sea level rise.sup.8, occur for warming of 2 °C but not for warming of 1.5 °C. Inclusion of other unquantified sources of uncertainty, such as uncertainty in secular growth rates beyond that contained in existing socioeconomic scenarios, could also result in less precise impact estimates. We find considerably greater reductions in global economic output beyond 2 °C. Relative to a world that did not warm beyond 2000-2010 levels, we project 15%-25% reductions in per capita output by 2100 for the 2.5-3 °C of global warming implied by current national commitments.sup.7, and reductions of more than 30% for 4 °C warming. Our results therefore suggest that achieving the 1.5 °C target is likely to reduce aggregate damages and lessen global inequality, and that failing to meet the 2 °C target is likely to increase economic damages substantially.If the world can meet the target of limiting global warming to 1.5 °C, economic damage will probably be greatly reduced, especially in poorer countries. International climate change agreements typically specify global warming thresholds as policy targets 1 , but the relative economic benefits of achieving these temperature targets remain poorly understood2,3. Uncertainties include the spatial pattern of temperature change, how global and regional economic output will respond to these changes in temperature, and the willingness of societies to trade present for future consumption. Here we combine historical evidence 4 with national-level climate 5 and socioeconomic 6 projections to quantify the economic damages associated with the United Nations (UN) targets of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming, and those associated with current UN national-level mitigation commitments (which together approach 3 °C warming 7 ). We find that by the end of this century, there is a more than 75% chance that limiting warming to 1.5 °C would reduce economic damages relative to 2 °C, and a more than 60% chance that the accumulated global benefits will exceed US$20 trillion under a 3% discount rate (2010 US dollars). We also estimate that 71% of countries-representing 90% of the global population-have a more than 75% chance of experiencing reduced economic damages at 1.5 °C, with poorer countries benefiting most. Our results could understate the benefits of limiting warming to 1.5 °C if unprecedented extreme outcomes, such as large-scale sea level rise 8 , occur for warming of 2 °C but not for warming of 1.5 °C. Inclusion of other unquantified sources of uncertainty, such as uncertainty in secular growth rates beyond that contained in existing socioeconomic scenarios, could also result in less precise impact estimates. We find considerably greater reductions in global economic output beyond 2 °C. Relative to a world that did not warm beyond 2000-2010 levels, we project 15%-25% reductions in per capita output by 2100 for the 2.5-3 °C of global warming implied by current national commitments 7 , and reductions of more than 30% for 4 °C warming. Our results therefore suggest that achieving the 1.5 °C target is likely to reduce aggregate damages and lessen global inequality, and that failing to meet the 2 °C target is likely to increase economic damages substantially.International climate change agreements typically specify global warming thresholds as policy targets 1 , but the relative economic benefits of achieving these temperature targets remain poorly understood2,3. Uncertainties include the spatial pattern of temperature change, how global and regional economic output will respond to these changes in temperature, and the willingness of societies to trade present for future consumption. Here we combine historical evidence 4 with national-level climate 5 and socioeconomic 6 projections to quantify the economic damages associated with the United Nations (UN) targets of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming, and those associated with current UN national-level mitigation commitments (which together approach 3 °C warming 7 ). We find that by the end of this century, there is a more than 75% chance that limiting warming to 1.5 °C would reduce economic damages relative to 2 °C, and a more than 60% chance that the accumulated global benefits will exceed US$20 trillion under a 3% discount rate (2010 US dollars). We also estimate that 71% of countries-representing 90% of the global population-have a more than 75% chance of experiencing reduced economic damages at 1.5 °C, with poorer countries benefiting most. Our results could understate the benefits of limiting warming to 1.5 °C if unprecedented extreme outcomes, such as large-scale sea level rise 8 , occur for warming of 2 °C but not for warming of 1.5 °C. Inclusion of other unquantified sources of uncertainty, such as uncertainty in secular growth rates beyond that contained in existing socioeconomic scenarios, could also result in less precise impact estimates. We find considerably greater reductions in global economic output beyond 2 °C. Relative to a world that did not warm beyond 2000-2010 levels, we project 15%-25% reductions in per capita output by 2100 for the 2.5-3 °C of global warming implied by current national commitments 7 , and reductions of more than 30% for 4 °C warming. Our results therefore suggest that achieving the 1.5 °C target is likely to reduce aggregate damages and lessen global inequality, and that failing to meet the 2 °C target is likely to increase economic damages substantially. International climate change agreements typically specify global warming thresholds as policy targets, but the relative economic benefits of achieving these temperature targets remain poorly understood. Uncertainties include the spatial pattern of temperature change, how global and regional economic output will respond to these changes in temperature, and the willingness of societies to trade present for future consumption. Here we combine historical evidence with national-level climate and socioeconomic projections to quantify the economic damages associated with the United Nations (UN) targets of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming, and those associated with current UN national-level mitigation commitments (which together approach 3 °C warming). We find that by the end of this century, there is a more than 75% chance that limiting warming to 1.5 °C would reduce economic damages relative to 2 °C, and a more than 60% chance that the accumulated global benefits will exceed US$20 trillion under a 3% discount rate (2010 US dollars). We also estimate that 71% of countries-representing 90% of the global population-have a more than 75% chance of experiencing reduced economic damages at 1.5 °C, with poorer countries benefiting most. Our results could understate the benefits of limiting warming to 1.5 °C if unprecedented extreme outcomes, such as large-scale sea level rise, occur for warming of 2 °C but not for warming of 1.5 °C. Inclusion of other unquantified sources of uncertainty, such as uncertainty in secular growth rates beyond that contained in existing socioeconomic scenarios, could also result in less precise impact estimates. We find considerably greater reductions in global economic output beyond 2 °C. Relative to a world that did not warm beyond 2000-2010 levels, we project 15%-25% reductions in per capita output by 2100 for the 2.5-3 °C of global warming implied by current national commitments, and reductions of more than 30% for 4 °C warming. Our results therefore suggest that achieving the 1.5 °C target is likely to reduce aggregate damages and lessen global inequality, and that failing to meet the 2 °C target is likely to increase economic damages substantially. |
| Audience | Academic |
| Author | Alampay Davis, W. Matthew Diffenbaugh, Noah S. Burke, Marshall |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Marshall surname: Burke fullname: Burke, Marshall email: mburke@stanford.edu organization: Department of Earth System Science, Stanford University, Center on Food Security and the Environment, Stanford University, National Bureau of Economic Research – sequence: 2 givenname: W. Matthew surname: Alampay Davis fullname: Alampay Davis, W. Matthew organization: Center on Food Security and the Environment, Stanford University – sequence: 3 givenname: Noah S. surname: Diffenbaugh fullname: Diffenbaugh, Noah S. organization: Department of Earth System Science, Stanford University, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University |
| BackLink | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29795251$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed |
| BookMark | eNp90lFr1TAUB_AgE3c3_QC-SNGXiXQmadImj5fL1AuXCbrhY0jT05LRpndJCvrtTXc35h13kodC-juHQ87_BB250QFCbwk-J7gQnwMjXJQ5JiLHuCK5fIEWhFVlzkpRHaEFxjT9EUV5jE5CuMEYc1KxV-iYykpyyskCrTfad5BtxwguWt1nHprJRDu6zLoMzOjGwZqs0YPuIGSTa8Bn15fZYKPt9J2Lc4cYXqOXre4DvLn_nqLrLxdXq2_55vvX9Wq5yU0pi5jLkjcYJMdE8hZqUQBITbAklJK6FqIq6lZwDgC6kbihpm0wkwVjUlQSt7w4RWe7vls_3k4QohpsMND32sE4BUUx47RiJZGJfnhCb8bJuzRdUiVhkpeYPqpO96Csa8fotZmbqiWvaFmk2VhS-QHVgQOv-7SW1qbrPf_-gDdbe6v-RecHUDoNpFc_2PXjXkEyEX7HTk8hqPXPH_v20_N2efVrdbmv392_1VQP0Kitt4P2f9RDVBKodsD4MQQPrTI23iUgzWx7RbCaQ6l2oVQplGoOpZrXQJ5UPjT_Xw3d1YRkXQf-cXXPF_0F6z_seA |
| CitedBy_id | crossref_primary_10_1016_j_joule_2019_07_010 crossref_primary_10_1080_19368623_2024_2359597 crossref_primary_10_1007_s10584_022_03387_y crossref_primary_10_1080_00963402_2022_2062933 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_eneco_2025_108705 crossref_primary_10_1007_s11156_024_01247_7 crossref_primary_10_1038_s43017_020_0079_1 crossref_primary_10_1007_s10584_018_2348_2 crossref_primary_10_1002_joc_6682 crossref_primary_10_1017_sus_2021_2 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41467_021_25520_8 crossref_primary_10_1146_annurev_environ_102017_025835 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_trd_2021_102797 crossref_primary_10_5194_acp_20_2353_2020 crossref_primary_10_1093_epolic_eiab007 crossref_primary_10_1093_qopen_qoac031 crossref_primary_10_1007_s10666_021_09761_x crossref_primary_10_1038_s41467_022_30145_6 crossref_primary_10_1007_s10584_025_03917_4 crossref_primary_10_1017_sus_2022_20 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_gloenvcha_2019_101942 crossref_primary_10_1088_2752_5295_ad9b44 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_apgeog_2025_103720 crossref_primary_10_1093_oxfclm_kgac003 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_techfore_2020_119981 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_watres_2020_116001 crossref_primary_10_1386_jem_00132_1 crossref_primary_10_1007_s10584_021_02989_2 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_actaastro_2025_05_031 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41467_019_13961_1 crossref_primary_10_1007_s10668_023_03346_2 crossref_primary_10_3390_s22176521 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_accre_2022_10_001 crossref_primary_10_1073_pnas_2017524118 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41558_021_01217_0 crossref_primary_10_1088_2634_4505_adc0bc crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jeca_2024_e00376 crossref_primary_10_3389_fenvs_2024_1439927 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jclepro_2025_146385 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41558_021_01218_z crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jwpe_2021_102137 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jhydrol_2025_134016 crossref_primary_10_1177_00104140241283014 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41598_024_70260_6 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41893_020_0512_y crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jclepro_2022_131090 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_ijdrr_2021_102351 crossref_primary_10_3390_su11082228 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41558_023_01803_4 crossref_primary_10_1007_s00376_024_3193_z crossref_primary_10_1002_jcaf_22572 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_eap_2023_09_028 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41467_019_10399_3 crossref_primary_10_17016_feds_2021_054 crossref_primary_10_1080_14693062_2022_2028597 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_compag_2021_106501 crossref_primary_10_15446_ga_v22n2_82227 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_scitotenv_2024_171014 crossref_primary_10_1111_ajae_12200 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41467_021_23613_y crossref_primary_10_1038_s41558_019_0578_6 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_eneco_2019_07_006 crossref_primary_10_1007_s10584_019_02521_7 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_agsy_2024_104087 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_sftr_2025_100552 crossref_primary_10_1146_annurev_resource_101623_102715 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_eswa_2023_122858 crossref_primary_10_1088_1748_9326_ac843b crossref_primary_10_1038_s43247_024_01274_1 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41558_018_0223_9 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_apenergy_2019_113397 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_eja_2019_03_004 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_biortech_2023_130066 crossref_primary_10_1088_2515_7620_acd514 crossref_primary_10_3389_fenvs_2019_00151 crossref_primary_10_1080_14693062_2021_1978053 crossref_primary_10_1177_27538931241240845 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_rser_2020_110337 crossref_primary_10_1038_s43247_023_01173_x crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pclm_0000318 crossref_primary_10_1038_s43247_023_00809_2 crossref_primary_10_1007_s10669_022_09864_0 crossref_primary_10_1017_S0266267122000116 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41467_021_27490_3 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41558_020_0826_9 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_apenergy_2020_115079 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_heliyon_2024_e37186 crossref_primary_10_1007_s00168_022_01204_z crossref_primary_10_1038_s41467_025_57292_w crossref_primary_10_1287_mnsc_2022_4472 crossref_primary_10_1007_s10669_019_09730_6 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jclepro_2019_118475 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_renene_2024_121716 crossref_primary_10_1088_2515_7620_abb413 crossref_primary_10_1007_s10584_020_02785_4 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_eurpolymj_2021_110929 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_oneear_2022_06_005 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_igd_2023_100115 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jcorpfin_2025_102829 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41467_019_13957_x crossref_primary_10_1016_j_energy_2025_134692 crossref_primary_10_1146_annurev_resource_110119_031134 crossref_primary_10_1080_21606544_2023_2248074 crossref_primary_10_1080_09669582_2022_2112202 crossref_primary_10_1088_1748_9326_ad29a9 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_ecolind_2020_106125 crossref_primary_10_1088_1748_9326_acac41 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jeem_2021_102445 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_accre_2022_04_005 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_heliyon_2024_e35134 crossref_primary_10_5194_esd_11_697_2020 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_biortech_2019_03_040 crossref_primary_10_1093_rfs_hhz144 crossref_primary_10_1002_sd_3098 crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pone_0239520 crossref_primary_10_1007_s00382_019_04860_8 crossref_primary_10_1088_2753_3751_adef5e crossref_primary_10_1038_s41558_020_0714_3 crossref_primary_10_3934_GF_2019_3_249 crossref_primary_10_1088_1748_9326_ac1223 crossref_primary_10_1029_2022EF002767 crossref_primary_10_1088_1748_9326_ad0a1d crossref_primary_10_1038_s41558_024_02232_7 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_strueco_2023_05_009 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41467_023_41551_9 crossref_primary_10_1002_joc_6971 crossref_primary_10_1007_s10584_023_03528_x crossref_primary_10_2208_jscejj_24_27004 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jmateco_2025_103103 crossref_primary_10_1088_1748_9326_ac42fd crossref_primary_10_1016_j_ecolecon_2021_107250 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_heliyon_2024_e39288 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jag_2024_104086 crossref_primary_10_1080_10286608_2022_2093348 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_eneco_2024_107758 crossref_primary_10_1038_d41586_018_05198_7 crossref_primary_10_1039_D1CY00650A crossref_primary_10_1016_j_apenergy_2024_122638 crossref_primary_10_1134_S1075700721050130 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_ecolecon_2019_05_012 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_gloenvcha_2024_102891 crossref_primary_10_3390_su132312998 crossref_primary_10_1007_s10668_022_02135_7 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_ecolecon_2019_106529 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_intfin_2022_101683 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jclepro_2019_03_225 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jfs_2021_100872 crossref_primary_10_1088_1757_899X_1094_1_012018 crossref_primary_10_1007_s10584_024_03724_3 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_eap_2024_10_025 crossref_primary_10_5194_esd_11_1073_2020 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_annals_2019_05_007 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_crsus_2025_100487 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41558_020_0699_y crossref_primary_10_1016_j_geoen_2025_214143 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_scitotenv_2019_136190 crossref_primary_10_1111_all_15702 crossref_primary_10_1126_science_adf2983 crossref_primary_10_1088_1748_9326_ab281e crossref_primary_10_1057_s41308_023_00203_0 crossref_primary_10_3390_su11051280 crossref_primary_10_1134_S102485601902012X crossref_primary_10_1108_JES_10_2024_0679 crossref_primary_10_1175_WCAS_D_20_0029_1 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_worlddev_2020_105116 crossref_primary_10_1080_09557571_2020_1825334 crossref_primary_10_1126_science_aat5982 crossref_primary_10_1080_09669582_2020_1757683 crossref_primary_10_1007_s10584_019_02558_8 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_nxener_2025_100395 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_oneear_2020_05_016 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_apenergy_2019_01_085 crossref_primary_10_3389_frsus_2022_980583 crossref_primary_10_1073_pnas_1816020116 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_actaastro_2021_04_035 crossref_primary_10_1177_1087724X18807219 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41586_024_07219_0 crossref_primary_10_1073_pnas_2207183120 crossref_primary_10_1088_1748_9326_ac5561 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_eiar_2023_107094 crossref_primary_10_1287_mnsc_2022_4635 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_gloenvcha_2019_101958 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_powtec_2021_08_080 crossref_primary_10_1111_nyas_14497 crossref_primary_10_1007_s10018_020_00269_4 crossref_primary_10_1080_14693062_2022_2070119 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41558_018_0282_y crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jenvman_2020_110069 crossref_primary_10_1155_2022_6294436 crossref_primary_10_3390_su151511744 crossref_primary_10_1080_23311932_2025_2559977 crossref_primary_10_1088_2515_7620_abffa3 crossref_primary_10_1029_2020EF001617 crossref_primary_10_1002_cssc_201901744 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_apenergy_2023_120914 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_strueco_2024_03_001 |
| Cites_doi | 10.1093/reep/reu008 10.1002/jae.937 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1 10.1126/science.aad9837 10.2307/j.ctt1npzkh 10.1126/science.aaf7894 10.1073/pnas.1009510107 10.1038/nclimate2964 10.1142/S2010007812500248 10.1038/nature18307 10.1257/mac.4.3.66 10.1016/S0095-0696(02)00031-1 10.1093/reep/res015 10.1007/s10584-008-9434-9 10.1126/science.aal4369 10.1038/nclimate3096 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004 10.1038/nature15725 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009 10.1257/jel.45.3.703 10.1038/537585b 10.1016/j.envsci.2017.02.008 10.1073/pnas.0906865106 10.1007/s10584-011-0178-6 10.3386/w20750 10.1016/j.jeem.2017.11.001 10.1038/nclimate3057 10.1038/nature11787 10.1016/S0065-308X(05)62004-0 10.1126/science.aad9634 10.1038/nature16542 10.1257/aer.102.2.994 |
| ContentType | Journal Article |
| Copyright | Macmillan Publishers Ltd., part of Springer Nature 2018 COPYRIGHT 2018 Nature Publishing Group Copyright Nature Publishing Group May 24, 2018 |
| Copyright_xml | – notice: Macmillan Publishers Ltd., part of Springer Nature 2018 – notice: COPYRIGHT 2018 Nature Publishing Group – notice: Copyright Nature Publishing Group May 24, 2018 |
| DBID | AAYXX CITATION NPM ATWCN 3V. 7QG 7QL 7QP 7QR 7RV 7SN 7SS 7ST 7T5 7TG 7TK 7TM 7TO 7U9 7X2 7X7 7XB 88A 88E 88G 88I 8AF 8AO 8C1 8FD 8FE 8FG 8FH 8FI 8FJ 8FK 8G5 ABJCF ABUWG AEUYN AFKRA ARAPS ATCPS AZQEC BBNVY BEC BENPR BGLVJ BHPHI BKSAR C1K CCPQU D1I DWQXO FR3 FYUFA GHDGH GNUQQ GUQSH H94 HCIFZ K9. KB. KB0 KL. L6V LK8 M0K M0S M1P M2M M2O M2P M7N M7P M7S MBDVC NAPCQ P5Z P62 P64 PATMY PCBAR PDBOC PHGZM PHGZT PJZUB PKEHL PPXIY PQEST PQGLB PQQKQ PQUKI PRINS PSYQQ PTHSS PYCSY Q9U R05 RC3 S0X SOI 7X8 |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41586-018-0071-9 |
| DatabaseName | CrossRef PubMed Gale In Context: Middle School ProQuest Central (Corporate) Animal Behavior Abstracts Bacteriology Abstracts (Microbiology B) Calcium & Calcified Tissue Abstracts Chemoreception Abstracts Nursing & Allied Health Database Ecology Abstracts Entomology Abstracts (Full archive) Environment Abstracts Immunology Abstracts Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts Neurosciences Abstracts Nucleic Acids Abstracts Oncogenes and Growth Factors Abstracts Virology and AIDS Abstracts Agricultural Science Collection Health & Medical Collection ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016) Biology Database (Alumni Edition) Medical Database (Alumni Edition) Psychology Database (Alumni) Science Database (Alumni Edition) STEM Database ProQuest Pharma Collection Public Health Database Technology Research Database ProQuest SciTech Collection ProQuest Technology Collection ProQuest Natural Science Collection ProQuest Hospital Collection Hospital Premium Collection (Alumni Edition) ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016) Research Library (Alumni) ProQuest Materials Science & Engineering ProQuest Central (Alumni) ProQuest One Sustainability ProQuest Central UK/Ireland Advanced Technologies & Computer Science Collection Agricultural & Environmental Science Collection ProQuest Central Essentials Biological Science Collection eLibrary ProQuest Central Technology Collection Natural Science Collection ProQuest SciTech Premium Collection Natural Science Collection Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Collection Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management ProQuest One ProQuest Materials Science Collection ProQuest Central Engineering Research Database Health Research Premium Collection Health Research Premium Collection (Alumni) ProQuest Central Student Research Library Prep AIDS and Cancer Research Abstracts SciTech Premium Collection ProQuest Health & Medical Complete (Alumni) Materials Science Database Nursing & Allied Health Database (Alumni Edition) Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts - Academic ProQuest Engineering Collection ProQuest Biological Science Collection Agricultural Science Database ProQuest Health & Medical Collection Medical Database Psychology Database (Proquest) ProQuest research library Science Database Algology Mycology and Protozoology Abstracts (Microbiology C) Biological Science Database Engineering Database Research Library (Corporate) Nursing & Allied Health Premium ProQuest advanced technologies & aerospace journals ProQuest Advanced Technologies & Aerospace Collection Biotechnology and BioEngineering Abstracts Environmental Science Database Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Database Materials Science Collection ProQuest Central Premium ProQuest One Academic ProQuest Health & Medical Research Collection ProQuest One Academic Middle East (New) ProQuest One Health & Nursing ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE) ProQuest One Applied & Life Sciences ProQuest One Academic (retired) ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition ProQuest Central China ProQuest One Psychology Engineering collection Environmental Science Collection ProQuest Central Basic University of Michigan Genetics Abstracts SIRS Editorial Environment Abstracts MEDLINE - Academic |
| DatabaseTitle | CrossRef PubMed Agricultural Science Database ProQuest One Psychology Research Library Prep ProQuest Central Student Oncogenes and Growth Factors Abstracts ProQuest Advanced Technologies & Aerospace Collection ProQuest Central Essentials Nucleic Acids Abstracts elibrary ProQuest AP Science SciTech Premium Collection ProQuest Central China Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management ProQuest One Applied & Life Sciences ProQuest One Sustainability Health Research Premium Collection Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts Natural Science Collection Health & Medical Research Collection Biological Science Collection Chemoreception Abstracts ProQuest Central (New) ProQuest Medical Library (Alumni) Engineering Collection Advanced Technologies & Aerospace Collection Engineering Database Virology and AIDS Abstracts ProQuest Science Journals (Alumni Edition) ProQuest Biological Science Collection ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Database Agricultural Science Collection ProQuest Hospital Collection ProQuest Technology Collection Health Research Premium Collection (Alumni) Biological Science Database Ecology Abstracts Neurosciences Abstracts ProQuest Hospital Collection (Alumni) Biotechnology and BioEngineering Abstracts Environmental Science Collection Entomology Abstracts Nursing & Allied Health Premium ProQuest Health & Medical Complete ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition Environmental Science Database ProQuest Nursing & Allied Health Source (Alumni) Engineering Research Database ProQuest One Academic Calcium & Calcified Tissue Abstracts Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts - Academic ProQuest One Academic (New) University of Michigan Technology Collection Technology Research Database ProQuest One Academic Middle East (New) SIRS Editorial Materials Science Collection ProQuest Health & Medical Complete (Alumni) ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition) ProQuest One Community College ProQuest One Health & Nursing Research Library (Alumni Edition) ProQuest Natural Science Collection ProQuest Pharma Collection ProQuest Biology Journals (Alumni Edition) ProQuest Central Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Collection ProQuest Health & Medical Research Collection Genetics Abstracts ProQuest Engineering Collection Health and Medicine Complete (Alumni Edition) ProQuest Central Korea Bacteriology Abstracts (Microbiology B) Algology Mycology and Protozoology Abstracts (Microbiology C) Agricultural & Environmental Science Collection AIDS and Cancer Research Abstracts Materials Science Database ProQuest Research Library ProQuest Materials Science Collection ProQuest Public Health ProQuest Central Basic ProQuest Science Journals ProQuest Nursing & Allied Health Source ProQuest Psychology Journals (Alumni) ProQuest SciTech Collection Advanced Technologies & Aerospace Database ProQuest Medical Library ProQuest Psychology Journals Animal Behavior Abstracts Materials Science & Engineering Collection Immunology Abstracts Environment Abstracts ProQuest Central (Alumni) MEDLINE - Academic |
| DatabaseTitleList | PubMed MEDLINE - Academic Agricultural Science Database |
| Database_xml | – sequence: 1 dbid: NPM name: PubMed url: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?db=PubMed sourceTypes: Index Database – sequence: 2 dbid: PATMY name: Environmental Science Database url: http://search.proquest.com/environmentalscience sourceTypes: Aggregation Database |
| DeliveryMethod | fulltext_linktorsrc |
| Discipline | Sciences (General) Physics Economics |
| EISSN | 1476-4687 |
| EndPage | 553 |
| ExternalDocumentID | A572639124 29795251 10_1038_s41586_018_0071_9 |
| Genre | Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Journal Article |
| GeographicLocations | United States--US |
| GeographicLocations_xml | – name: United States--US |
| GroupedDBID | --- --Z -DZ -ET -~X .55 .CO .XZ 07C 0R~ 0WA 123 186 1OL 1VR 29M 2KS 2XV 39C 41X 53G 5RE 6TJ 70F 7RV 7X2 7X7 7XC 85S 88E 88I 8AF 8AO 8C1 8CJ 8FE 8FG 8FH 8FI 8FJ 8G5 8R4 8R5 8WZ 97F 97L A6W A7Z AAHBH AAHTB AAIKC AAKAB AAMNW AARCD AASDW AAYEP AAYZH ABDQB ABFSG ABFSI ABIVO ABJCF ABJNI ABLJU ABOCM ABPEJ ABPPZ ABUWG ABWJO ABZEH ACBEA ACBWK ACGFO ACGFS ACGOD ACIWK ACKOT ACMFV ACMJI ACNCT ACPRK ACSTC ACWUS ADBBV ADFRT ADUKH ADXHL AENEX AEUYN AFANA AFFNX AFKRA AFLOW AFRAH AFSHS AGAYW AGHSJ AGNAY AGSOS AHMBA AHSBF AIDAL AIDUJ ALFFA ALIPV ALMA_UNASSIGNED_HOLDINGS ALPWD AMTXH ARAPS ARMCB ASPBG ATCPS ATHPR ATWCN AVWKF AXYYD AZFZN AZQEC BBNVY BCU BEC BENPR BGLVJ BHPHI BIN BKEYQ BKKNO BKSAR BPHCQ BVXVI CCPQU CJ0 CS3 D1I D1J D1K DU5 DWQXO E.- E.L EAP EBS EE. EJD EMH EPS ESX EX3 EXGXG F5P FEDTE FQGFK FSGXE FYUFA GNUQQ GUQSH HCIFZ HG6 HMCUK HVGLF HZ~ I-F IAO ICQ IEA IEP IGS IH2 IHR INH INR IOF IPY ISR ITC K6- KB. KOO L6V L7B LK5 LK8 LSO M0K M1P M2M M2O M2P M7P M7R M7S N9A NAPCQ NEJ NEPJS O9- OBC OES OHH OMK OVD P2P P62 PATMY PCBAR PDBOC PHGZM PHGZT PQQKQ PROAC PSQYO PSYQQ PTHSS PYCSY Q2X R05 RND RNS RNT RNTTT RXW S0X SC5 SHXYY SIXXV SJFOW SJN SNYQT SOJ SV3 TAE TAOOD TBHMF TDRGL TEORI TN5 TSG TWZ U5U UKHRP UKR UMD UQL VVN WH7 WOW X7M XIH XKW XZL Y6R YAE YFH YNT YOC YQT YR2 YR5 YXB YZZ ZCA ZE2 ~02 ~7V ~88 ~KM AAYXX ABUFD AFFHD AGSTI CITATION PJZUB PPXIY PQGLB TUS .-4 .GJ .HR 00M 08P 1CY 1VW 354 3EH 3O- 4.4 41~ 42X 4R4 663 79B 9M8 A8Z AAJYS AAKAS AAVBQ ABAWZ ABDBF ABDPE ABEFU ABNNU ACBNA ACBTR ACRPL ACTDY ACUHS ADGHP ADNMO ADRHT ADYSU ADZCM AETEA AEZWR AFBBN AFFDN AFHIU AFHKK AGCDD AGGDT AGQPQ AHWEU AIXLP AIYXT AJUXI APEBS ARTTT B0M BCR BDKGC BES BKOMP BLC DB5 DO4 EAD EAS EAZ EBC EBD EBO ECC EMB EMF EMK EMOBN EPL ESE ESN FA8 FAC J5H L-9 LGEZI LOTEE MVM N4W NADUK NFIDA NPM NXXTH ODYON OHT P-O PEA PM3 PV9 QS- R4F RHI SKT TH9 TUD UBY UHB USG VOH X7L XOL YJ6 YQI YQJ YV5 YXA YYP YYQ ZCG ZGI ZHY ZKB ZY4 ~8M ~G0 AEIIB PMFND 3V. 7QG 7QL 7QP 7QR 7SN 7SS 7ST 7T5 7TG 7TK 7TM 7TO 7U9 7XB 88A 8FD 8FK C1K FR3 H94 K9. KL. M7N MBDVC P64 PKEHL PQEST PQUKI PRINS Q9U RC3 SOI 7X8 PUEGO |
| ID | FETCH-LOGICAL-c693t-965d0e950195feb83ee9a1091221bb8873bf855eeead90d2cfd04934498790f53 |
| IEDL.DBID | M7P |
| ISICitedReferencesCount | 209 |
| ISICitedReferencesURI | http://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=Summon&SrcAuth=ProQuest&DestLinkType=CitingArticles&DestApp=WOS_CPL&KeyUT=000432794900045&url=https%3A%2F%2Fcvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com%2F%23%21%2Fsearch%3Fho%3Df%26include.ft.matches%3Dt%26l%3Dnull%26q%3D |
| ISSN | 0028-0836 1476-4687 |
| IngestDate | Fri Sep 05 14:40:39 EDT 2025 Sat Nov 29 14:41:42 EST 2025 Tue Nov 11 10:38:06 EST 2025 Sat Nov 29 11:40:21 EST 2025 Tue Jun 10 15:34:47 EDT 2025 Tue Nov 04 18:04:08 EST 2025 Thu Nov 13 15:50:55 EST 2025 Thu Nov 13 15:25:36 EST 2025 Mon Jul 21 06:08:41 EDT 2025 Sat Nov 29 07:51:37 EST 2025 Tue Nov 18 21:48:51 EST 2025 Sat Jun 21 01:10:20 EDT 2025 |
| IsPeerReviewed | true |
| IsScholarly | true |
| Issue | 7706 |
| Language | English |
| LinkModel | DirectLink |
| MergedId | FETCHMERGED-LOGICAL-c693t-965d0e950195feb83ee9a1091221bb8873bf855eeead90d2cfd04934498790f53 |
| Notes | ObjectType-Article-1 SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1 ObjectType-Feature-2 content type line 14 content type line 23 |
| PMID | 29795251 |
| PQID | 2061495602 |
| PQPubID | 40569 |
| PageCount | 5 |
| ParticipantIDs | proquest_miscellaneous_2045274619 proquest_journals_2061495602 gale_infotracmisc_A572639124 gale_infotracgeneralonefile_A572639124 gale_infotraccpiq_572639124 gale_infotracacademiconefile_A572639124 gale_incontextgauss_ISR_A572639124 gale_incontextgauss_ATWCN_A572639124 pubmed_primary_29795251 crossref_citationtrail_10_1038_s41586_018_0071_9 crossref_primary_10_1038_s41586_018_0071_9 springer_journals_10_1038_s41586_018_0071_9 |
| PublicationCentury | 2000 |
| PublicationDate | 2018-05-00 |
| PublicationDateYYYYMMDD | 2018-05-01 |
| PublicationDate_xml | – month: 05 year: 2018 text: 2018-05-00 |
| PublicationDecade | 2010 |
| PublicationPlace | London |
| PublicationPlace_xml | – name: London – name: England |
| PublicationSubtitle | International weekly journal of science |
| PublicationTitle | Nature (London) |
| PublicationTitleAbbrev | Nature |
| PublicationTitleAlternate | Nature |
| PublicationYear | 2018 |
| Publisher | Nature Publishing Group UK Nature Publishing Group |
| Publisher_xml | – name: Nature Publishing Group UK – name: Nature Publishing Group |
| References | C Tebaldi (71_CR27) 2007; 365 W Schlenker (71_CR12) 2009; 106 M Burke (71_CR4) 2015; 527 LH Goulder (71_CR33) 2012; 3 71_CR1 M Burke (71_CR20) 2016; 352 KJ Arrow (71_CR34) 2014; 8 M Dell (71_CR11) 2012; 4 Nature Editorial Board (71_CR2) 2016; 537 SM Hsiang (71_CR13) 2010; 107 B Groom (71_CR36) 2007; 22 C-F Schleussner (71_CR8) 2016; 6 D Balk (71_CR28) 2006; 62 P Zhang (71_CR17) 2018; 88 71_CR29 BC O’Neill (71_CR19) 2017; 42 Y Cai (71_CR22) 2016; 6 71_CR26 J Rogelj (71_CR7) 2016; 534 J Quiggin (71_CR38) 2008; 89 MD Mastrandrea (71_CR25) 2011; 108 S Hsiang (71_CR23) 2017; 356 K Riahi (71_CR6) 2017; 42 TA Carleton (71_CR14) 2016; 353 KE Taylor (71_CR18) 2012; 93 M Greenstone (71_CR37) 2013; 7 M Weitzman (71_CR31) 2007; 45 JV Henderson (71_CR39) 2012; 102 N Jean (71_CR40) 2016; 353 S Hallegatte (71_CR3) 2016; 6 WD Nordhaus (71_CR32) 2008 71_CR15 71_CR16 N Stern (71_CR30) 2006 71_CR5 SI Seneviratne (71_CR21) 2016; 529 AF Hof (71_CR24) 2017; 71 J Rogelj (71_CR9) 2013; 493 RG Newell (71_CR35) 2003; 46 71_CR10 29789745 - Nature. 2018 May;557(7706):498-499. doi: 10.1038/d41586-018-05198-7. |
| References_xml | – volume: 8 start-page: 145 year: 2014 ident: 71_CR34 publication-title: Rev. Environ. Econ. Policy doi: 10.1093/reep/reu008 – volume: 22 start-page: 641 year: 2007 ident: 71_CR36 publication-title: J. Appl. Econ. doi: 10.1002/jae.937 – ident: 71_CR29 – volume: 93 start-page: 485 year: 2012 ident: 71_CR18 publication-title: Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1 – volume: 353 start-page: aad9837 year: 2016 ident: 71_CR14 publication-title: Science doi: 10.1126/science.aad9837 – volume-title: A Question of Balance: Weighing the Options on Global Warming Policies year: 2008 ident: 71_CR32 doi: 10.2307/j.ctt1npzkh – ident: 71_CR10 – volume: 353 start-page: 790 year: 2016 ident: 71_CR40 publication-title: Science doi: 10.1126/science.aaf7894 – volume: 107 start-page: 15367 year: 2010 ident: 71_CR13 publication-title: Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA doi: 10.1073/pnas.1009510107 – volume: 6 start-page: 520 year: 2016 ident: 71_CR22 publication-title: Nat. Clim. Chang. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2964 – volume: 3 start-page: 1250024 year: 2012 ident: 71_CR33 publication-title: Clim. Change Econ. doi: 10.1142/S2010007812500248 – volume: 534 start-page: 631 year: 2016 ident: 71_CR7 publication-title: Nature doi: 10.1038/nature18307 – volume: 4 start-page: 66 year: 2012 ident: 71_CR11 publication-title: Am. Econ. J. Macroecon. doi: 10.1257/mac.4.3.66 – volume: 46 start-page: 52 year: 2003 ident: 71_CR35 publication-title: J. Environ. Econ. Manage. doi: 10.1016/S0095-0696(02)00031-1 – volume: 7 start-page: 23 year: 2013 ident: 71_CR37 publication-title: Rev. Environ. Econ. Policy doi: 10.1093/reep/res015 – volume: 365 start-page: 2053 year: 2007 ident: 71_CR27 publication-title: Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. A – volume: 89 start-page: 195 year: 2008 ident: 71_CR38 publication-title: Clim. Change doi: 10.1007/s10584-008-9434-9 – volume: 356 start-page: 1362 year: 2017 ident: 71_CR23 publication-title: Science doi: 10.1126/science.aal4369 – ident: 71_CR26 – volume: 6 start-page: 827 year: 2016 ident: 71_CR8 publication-title: Nat. Clim. Chang. doi: 10.1038/nclimate3096 – volume: 42 start-page: 169 year: 2017 ident: 71_CR19 publication-title: Glob. Environ. Change doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004 – volume: 527 start-page: 235 year: 2015 ident: 71_CR4 publication-title: Nature doi: 10.1038/nature15725 – volume: 42 start-page: 153 year: 2017 ident: 71_CR6 publication-title: Glob. Environ. Change doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009 – ident: 71_CR5 – ident: 71_CR16 – volume: 45 start-page: 703 year: 2007 ident: 71_CR31 publication-title: J. Econ. Lit. doi: 10.1257/jel.45.3.703 – volume: 537 start-page: 585 year: 2016 ident: 71_CR2 publication-title: Nature doi: 10.1038/537585b – volume: 71 start-page: 30 year: 2017 ident: 71_CR24 publication-title: Environ. Sci. Policy doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2017.02.008 – volume: 106 start-page: 15594 year: 2009 ident: 71_CR12 publication-title: Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA doi: 10.1073/pnas.0906865106 – volume: 108 start-page: 675 year: 2011 ident: 71_CR25 publication-title: Clim. Change doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0178-6 – ident: 71_CR15 doi: 10.3386/w20750 – volume: 88 start-page: 1 year: 2018 ident: 71_CR17 publication-title: J. Environ. Econ. Manage. doi: 10.1016/j.jeem.2017.11.001 – volume: 6 start-page: 663 year: 2016 ident: 71_CR3 publication-title: Nat. Clim. Chang. doi: 10.1038/nclimate3057 – volume: 493 start-page: 79 year: 2013 ident: 71_CR9 publication-title: Nature doi: 10.1038/nature11787 – volume: 62 start-page: 119 year: 2006 ident: 71_CR28 publication-title: Adv. Parasitol. doi: 10.1016/S0065-308X(05)62004-0 – volume-title: The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review year: 2006 ident: 71_CR30 – volume: 352 start-page: 292 year: 2016 ident: 71_CR20 publication-title: Science doi: 10.1126/science.aad9634 – volume: 529 start-page: 477 year: 2016 ident: 71_CR21 publication-title: Nature doi: 10.1038/nature16542 – ident: 71_CR1 – volume: 102 start-page: 994 year: 2012 ident: 71_CR39 publication-title: Am. Econ. Rev. doi: 10.1257/aer.102.2.994 – reference: 29789745 - Nature. 2018 May;557(7706):498-499. doi: 10.1038/d41586-018-05198-7. |
| SSID | ssj0005174 |
| Score | 2.6501775 |
| Snippet | International climate change agreements typically specify global warming thresholds as policy targets
1
, but the relative economic benefits of achieving these... International climate change agreements typically specify global warming thresholds as policy targets , but the relative economic benefits of achieving these... International climate change agreements typically specify global warming thresholds as policy targets.sup.1, but the relative economic benefits of achieving... International climate change agreements typically specify global warming thresholds as policy targets, but the relative economic benefits of achieving these... International climate change agreements typically specify global warming thresholds as policy targets 1 , but the relative economic benefits of achieving these... |
| SourceID | proquest gale pubmed crossref springer |
| SourceType | Aggregation Database Index Database Enrichment Source Publisher |
| StartPage | 549 |
| SubjectTerms | 704/106/694 704/844/2739 Climate change Climate change mitigation Constraining Costs Discount rates Economic aspects Economic growth Economics Environmental aspects Environmental policy Equality GDP General circulation models Global economy Global temperature changes Global temperatures Global warming Gross Domestic Product Humanities and Social Sciences Impact analysis Interest rates Letter multidisciplinary Profits Regional development Retirement benefits Science Science (multidisciplinary) Sea level rise Socioeconomics Temperature changes Temperature effects Uncertainty |
| Title | Large potential reduction in economic damages under UN mitigation targets |
| URI | https://link.springer.com/article/10.1038/s41586-018-0071-9 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29795251 https://www.proquest.com/docview/2061495602 https://www.proquest.com/docview/2045274619 |
| Volume | 557 |
| WOSCitedRecordID | wos000432794900045&url=https%3A%2F%2Fcvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com%2F%23%21%2Fsearch%3Fho%3Df%26include.ft.matches%3Dt%26l%3Dnull%26q%3D |
| hasFullText | 1 |
| inHoldings | 1 |
| isFullTextHit | |
| isPrint | |
| journalDatabaseRights | – providerCode: PRVAQT databaseName: Nature (UW-Madison Shared) customDbUrl: eissn: 1476-4687 dateEnd: 99991231 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0005174 issn: 0028-0836 databaseCode: RNT dateStart: 19970101 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: https://www.nature.com providerName: Nature Publishing – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: Advanced Technologies & Aerospace Database customDbUrl: eissn: 1476-4687 dateEnd: 20241207 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0005174 issn: 0028-0836 databaseCode: P5Z dateStart: 19880107 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: https://search.proquest.com/hightechjournals providerName: ProQuest – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: Agriculture Science Database customDbUrl: eissn: 1476-4687 dateEnd: 20241207 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0005174 issn: 0028-0836 databaseCode: M0K dateStart: 19880107 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: https://search.proquest.com/agriculturejournals providerName: ProQuest – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: Biological Science Database customDbUrl: eissn: 1476-4687 dateEnd: 20241207 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0005174 issn: 0028-0836 databaseCode: M7P dateStart: 19880107 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: http://search.proquest.com/biologicalscijournals providerName: ProQuest – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Database customDbUrl: eissn: 1476-4687 dateEnd: 20241207 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0005174 issn: 0028-0836 databaseCode: PCBAR dateStart: 19880107 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: https://search.proquest.com/eaasdb providerName: ProQuest – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: Engineering Database customDbUrl: eissn: 1476-4687 dateEnd: 20241207 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0005174 issn: 0028-0836 databaseCode: M7S dateStart: 19880107 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: http://search.proquest.com providerName: ProQuest – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: Environmental Science Database customDbUrl: eissn: 1476-4687 dateEnd: 20241207 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0005174 issn: 0028-0836 databaseCode: PATMY dateStart: 19880107 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: http://search.proquest.com/environmentalscience providerName: ProQuest – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: Health & Medical Collection customDbUrl: eissn: 1476-4687 dateEnd: 20241207 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0005174 issn: 0028-0836 databaseCode: 7X7 dateStart: 19880107 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: https://search.proquest.com/healthcomplete providerName: ProQuest – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: Materials Science Database customDbUrl: eissn: 1476-4687 dateEnd: 20241207 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0005174 issn: 0028-0836 databaseCode: KB. dateStart: 19880107 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: http://search.proquest.com/materialsscijournals providerName: ProQuest – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: Nursing & Allied Health Database customDbUrl: eissn: 1476-4687 dateEnd: 20241207 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0005174 issn: 0028-0836 databaseCode: 7RV dateStart: 19880107 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: https://search.proquest.com/nahs providerName: ProQuest – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: ProQuest Central customDbUrl: eissn: 1476-4687 dateEnd: 20241207 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0005174 issn: 0028-0836 databaseCode: BENPR dateStart: 19880107 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: https://www.proquest.com/central providerName: ProQuest – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: Psychology Database customDbUrl: eissn: 1476-4687 dateEnd: 20241207 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0005174 issn: 0028-0836 databaseCode: M2M dateStart: 19880107 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: https://www.proquest.com/psychology providerName: ProQuest – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: Public Health Database customDbUrl: eissn: 1476-4687 dateEnd: 20241207 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0005174 issn: 0028-0836 databaseCode: 8C1 dateStart: 19880107 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: https://search.proquest.com/publichealth providerName: ProQuest – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: Research Library customDbUrl: eissn: 1476-4687 dateEnd: 20241207 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0005174 issn: 0028-0836 databaseCode: M2O dateStart: 19880107 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: https://search.proquest.com/pqrl providerName: ProQuest – providerCode: PRVPQU databaseName: Science Database customDbUrl: eissn: 1476-4687 dateEnd: 20241207 omitProxy: false ssIdentifier: ssj0005174 issn: 0028-0836 databaseCode: M2P dateStart: 19880107 isFulltext: true titleUrlDefault: https://search.proquest.com/sciencejournals providerName: ProQuest |
| link | http://cvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwpR1db9Mw0GIbCF6Aja-wUQU08alAmsSJ_YS6ahPTaIm6DgovVhI7UyWWdk3L7-fOcdqlGnvh5dTqzpaTO99HfL4jZD9ROZNg-R2PytwJwpQ7aeJLR7IwC9p5O6RZqptNRP0-G414bD64lSatstaJWlHLSYbfyCFIDytn3vs8vXSwaxSerpoWGhtkC6sk-Dp1L16leKxVYa5PNX32qQTDxTCWBgxYWYc37NK6dr5intbOS7UZOnrwvw_wkNw3DqjdqSRmm9xSxQ65W99PLnfIHZ0Uir-2zcYv7bemOvW7R-T4K-aO29PJHPOMYKYZFn9F9trjwlZmHlsmF6CpShvvqM3ss759Ma6qeQBdlX1ePiZnR4fD7hfH9GNwspD7c4eHVLqKU7xjmKuU-UrxBAuLel47TUFb-WnOKFUKpJO70styCfGHHwScRdzNqf-EbBaTQj0jdkIjRUMpKQSgEHOlCbgZESgDlYOD5CfUIm7NDZGZYuXYM-O30IfmPhMVAwUwUCADBbfI--WQaVWp4ybifWSxwAoYBabYnCeLshSd4Y9uX3RgVeC4wZIs8uo6suPTQYPojSHKJ7DGLDEXG-BJsbZWg3K3QZlNx5fiCvZ1A3tecfa6afYahKAQsia6FkBhFFIpVtJnkZdLNI7EJLtCTRZIE1AvCiCktsjTSt6Xb9LjEafgC1vkQ70BVpP_8zU_v3kpu-Sep3cg5o_ukc35bKFekNvZn_m4nLXIRjT4jnAUacgAsm67RbYODvvxAP6dHHwE2HNPEHo9Db9pGLe0JtDwFGBMf8G4uDPs_fwLBh5WpQ |
| linkProvider | ProQuest |
| linkToHtml | http://cvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMw1V1Lb9NAEB5VBVQuQMvLtMCCylsW8WNt7wGhqFA1aohQSaG3xd5dV5GoncYJiD_Fb2TGj6SOSm89cLO049V6dp7eb2cAtmOTRho9v-1yndp-kAg7iT1t6yhQvpM6AVdJ2WwiHAyioyPxeQX-NHdhCFbZ2MTSUOtc0T9yTNKDKph3349PbeoaRaerTQuNSiz2ze9fmLIV73ofcH-fue7ux-HOnl13FbBVILypLQKuO0ZwuimXmiTyjBExlcd0XSdJUOe8JI04NwZ5LDraVanGKNrzfczORSelLhFo8q-gHXcIQhYefF1ASpaqPjenqF70tkBHGVHujiPo1W3R8oPL3uCMO1w6ny3d3u7N_41ht-BGHWCzbqUR67Bisg1Ya-5fFxtwrQS90tN6bdgK9rKuvv3qNvT6hI1n43xKOCqcaULFbUl82Shjpp6H6fgELXHB6A7ehB0O2MmoqlaCdBW6vrgDh5fyoXdhNcszcx9YzEPDA605JtiYUyYxhlEhGjuTYgDoxdyCTrP7UtXF2KknyA9ZggK8SFYCI1FgJAmMFBa8nr8yriqRXES8TSIlqcJHRhCi43hWFLI7_LYzkF1cFQamuCQLnp5H1vty0CJ6UROlOa5RxfXFDfxSqh3WotxsUarx6FSeGX3eGj2udva8abZahGjwVHu4EXhZG9xCLqTdgifzYXqTQISZyWdE43M39AMH2XOv0q85J10RCo6xvgVvGoVbTP5PNj-4eCmPYW1v-Kkv-73B_iZcd0vtJ6zsFqxOJzPzEK6qn9NRMXlU2hEG3y9bD_8ClvmlPA |
| linkToPdf | http://cvtisr.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMw1V1Zb9NAEB5V5XwBWi7TAgsqt6wmttf2PiAUpURErayKtqJvi727riJRO40TEH-NX8eMjzSOSt_6wFukHa_W42-u7BwAW7FJQ42W33a4Tm3PT4SdxK62degrr5t2fa6ScthEEEXh8bHYX4E_TS0MpVU2OrFU1DpX9B85Bul-5cw722mdFrG_M_g0PrNpghTdtDbjNCqI7JrfvzB8Kz4Od_Bbv3KcwefD_he7njBgK1-4U1v4XHeM4FQ1l5okdI0RMbXKdJxukqD8uUkacm4M8lt0tKNSjR6163kYqYtOShMjUP1fC1xEMVWp9xfSS5Y6QDc3qm64XaDRDCmOxxW08LZo2cRly7BgGpfuaksTOLj7PzPvHtypHW_WqyRlDVZMtg63mrrsYh1ulMmw9GutVngFe1t35X53H4Z7lDPPxvmU8qtwpwk1vSVYs1HGTL0P0_EpauiCUW3ehB1F7HRUdTFBuirrvngAR1fyog9hNcsz8xhYzAPDfa05Bt4YayYxulcBKkGTomPoxtyCToMEqeom7TQr5IcskwXcUFbgkQgeSeCRwoL380fGVYeSy4i3CF6SOn9kBIOTeFYUsnf4rR_JHp4KHVY8kgUvLyIbHnxtEb2pidIcz6jiuqAD35R6irUoN1qUajw6kwurr1urJ9WXvWibzRYhKkLVXm7AL2tFXMhz5FvwYr5MT1JyYWbyGdF43Ak8v4vseVTJ2pyTjggExxjAgg-N8J1v_k82P7n8KM_hJoqf3BtGuxtw2ykVAaXQbsLqdDIzT-G6-jkdFZNnpUph8P2qxfAvEwetlw |
| openUrl | ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info%3Aofi%2Fenc%3AUTF-8&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fsummon.serialssolutions.com&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Large+potential+reduction+in+economic+damages+under+UN+mitigation+targets&rft.jtitle=Nature+%28London%29&rft.au=Burke%2C+Marshall&rft.au=Davis%2C+W.+Matthew&rft.au=Diffenbaugh%2C+Noah+S&rft.date=2018-05-01&rft.pub=Nature+Publishing+Group&rft.issn=0028-0836&rft.volume=557&rft.issue=7706&rft.spage=549&rft_id=info:doi/10.1038%2Fs41586-018-0071-9&rft.externalDBID=ISR&rft.externalDocID=A572639124 |
| thumbnail_l | http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/lc.gif&issn=0028-0836&client=summon |
| thumbnail_m | http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/mc.gif&issn=0028-0836&client=summon |
| thumbnail_s | http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/sc.gif&issn=0028-0836&client=summon |