Demographic and life history traits explain patterns in species vulnerability to extinction

As ecosystems face disruption of community dynamics and habitat loss, the idea of determining ahead of time which species can become extinct is an important subject in conservation biology. A species’ vulnerability to extinction is dependent upon both intrinsic (life-history strategies, genetics) an...

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Vydané v:PloS one Ročník 17; číslo 2; s. e0263504
Hlavní autori: Hernández-Yáñez, Haydée, Kim, Su Yeon, Che-Castaldo, Judy P.
Médium: Journal Article
Jazyk:English
Vydavateľské údaje: United States Public Library of Science 23.02.2022
Public Library of Science (PLoS)
Predmet:
Animals
Anthropogenic factors
Bias
Biodiversity
Biodiversity hot spots
Biology and Life Sciences
Birds
Birds - classification
Climate change
Computer and Information Sciences
Conservation
Conservation biology
Conservation of Natural Resources
Databases, Factual
Demographics
Demography
Ecology and Environmental Sciences
Endangered & extinct species
Endangered Species
Evaluation
Extinct species
Extinction
Extinction (Biology)
Extinction, Biological
Genetics
Habitat loss
Juveniles
Life history
Life History Traits
Mammals
Mammals - classification
Mathematical analysis
Models, Biological
Phylogenetics
Phylogeny
Population biology
Population growth
Prevention
Projection model
Protection and preservation
Reproduction
Risk
Species extinction
Survival
Threatened species
Trees - classification
Wildlife conservation
United States
Chicago Illinois
California
United States > US
Illinois
ISSN:1932-6203, 1932-6203
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Abstract As ecosystems face disruption of community dynamics and habitat loss, the idea of determining ahead of time which species can become extinct is an important subject in conservation biology. A species’ vulnerability to extinction is dependent upon both intrinsic (life-history strategies, genetics) and extrinsic factors (environment, anthropogenic threats). Studies linking intrinsic traits to extinction risk have shown variable results, and to our knowledge, there has not been a systematic analysis looking at how demographic patterns in stage-specific survival and reproductive rates correlate to extinction risk. We used matrix projection models from the COMPADRE and COMADRE matrix databases and IUCN Red List status as our proxy of extinction risk to investigate if some demographic patterns are more vulnerable to extinction than others. We obtained data on demographic rates, phylogeny, and IUCN status for 159 species of herbaceous plants, trees, mammals, and birds. We calculated 14 demographic metrics related to different aspects of life history and elasticity values and analyzed whether they differ based on IUCN categories using conditional random forest analysis and phylogenetic generalized least square regressions. We mapped all species within the database, both with IUCN assessment and without, and overlaid them with biodiversity hotspots to investigate if there is bias within the assessed species and how many of the non-assessed species could use the demographic information recorded in COMPADRE and COMADRE for future IUCN assessments. We found that herbaceous perennials are more vulnerable when they mature early and have high juvenile survival rates; birds are more vulnerable with high progressive growth and reproduction; mammals are more vulnerable when they have longer generation times. These patterns may be used to assess relative vulnerability across species when lacking abundance or trend data.
AbstractList As ecosystems face disruption of community dynamics and habitat loss, the idea of determining ahead of time which species can become extinct is an important subject in conservation biology. A species’ vulnerability to extinction is dependent upon both intrinsic (life-history strategies, genetics) and extrinsic factors (environment, anthropogenic threats). Studies linking intrinsic traits to extinction risk have shown variable results, and to our knowledge, there has not been a systematic analysis looking at how demographic patterns in stage-specific survival and reproductive rates correlate to extinction risk. We used matrix projection models from the COMPADRE and COMADRE matrix databases and IUCN Red List status as our proxy of extinction risk to investigate if some demographic patterns are more vulnerable to extinction than others. We obtained data on demographic rates, phylogeny, and IUCN status for 159 species of herbaceous plants, trees, mammals, and birds. We calculated 14 demographic metrics related to different aspects of life history and elasticity values and analyzed whether they differ based on IUCN categories using conditional random forest analysis and phylogenetic generalized least square regressions. We mapped all species within the database, both with IUCN assessment and without, and overlaid them with biodiversity hotspots to investigate if there is bias within the assessed species and how many of the non-assessed species could use the demographic information recorded in COMPADRE and COMADRE for future IUCN assessments. We found that herbaceous perennials are more vulnerable when they mature early and have high juvenile survival rates; birds are more vulnerable with high progressive growth and reproduction; mammals are more vulnerable when they have longer generation times. These patterns may be used to assess relative vulnerability across species when lacking abundance or trend data.
As ecosystems face disruption of community dynamics and habitat loss, the idea of determining ahead of time which species can become extinct is an important subject in conservation biology. A species' vulnerability to extinction is dependent upon both intrinsic (life-history strategies, genetics) and extrinsic factors (environment, anthropogenic threats). Studies linking intrinsic traits to extinction risk have shown variable results, and to our knowledge, there has not been a systematic analysis looking at how demographic patterns in stage-specific survival and reproductive rates correlate to extinction risk. We used matrix projection models from the COMPADRE and COMADRE matrix databases and IUCN Red List status as our proxy of extinction risk to investigate if some demographic patterns are more vulnerable to extinction than others. We obtained data on demographic rates, phylogeny, and IUCN status for 159 species of herbaceous plants, trees, mammals, and birds. We calculated 14 demographic metrics related to different aspects of life history and elasticity values and analyzed whether they differ based on IUCN categories using conditional random forest analysis and phylogenetic generalized least square regressions. We mapped all species within the database, both with IUCN assessment and without, and overlaid them with biodiversity hotspots to investigate if there is bias within the assessed species and how many of the non-assessed species could use the demographic information recorded in COMPADRE and COMADRE for future IUCN assessments. We found that herbaceous perennials are more vulnerable when they mature early and have high juvenile survival rates; birds are more vulnerable with high progressive growth and reproduction; mammals are more vulnerable when they have longer generation times. These patterns may be used to assess relative vulnerability across species when lacking abundance or trend data.As ecosystems face disruption of community dynamics and habitat loss, the idea of determining ahead of time which species can become extinct is an important subject in conservation biology. A species' vulnerability to extinction is dependent upon both intrinsic (life-history strategies, genetics) and extrinsic factors (environment, anthropogenic threats). Studies linking intrinsic traits to extinction risk have shown variable results, and to our knowledge, there has not been a systematic analysis looking at how demographic patterns in stage-specific survival and reproductive rates correlate to extinction risk. We used matrix projection models from the COMPADRE and COMADRE matrix databases and IUCN Red List status as our proxy of extinction risk to investigate if some demographic patterns are more vulnerable to extinction than others. We obtained data on demographic rates, phylogeny, and IUCN status for 159 species of herbaceous plants, trees, mammals, and birds. We calculated 14 demographic metrics related to different aspects of life history and elasticity values and analyzed whether they differ based on IUCN categories using conditional random forest analysis and phylogenetic generalized least square regressions. We mapped all species within the database, both with IUCN assessment and without, and overlaid them with biodiversity hotspots to investigate if there is bias within the assessed species and how many of the non-assessed species could use the demographic information recorded in COMPADRE and COMADRE for future IUCN assessments. We found that herbaceous perennials are more vulnerable when they mature early and have high juvenile survival rates; birds are more vulnerable with high progressive growth and reproduction; mammals are more vulnerable when they have longer generation times. These patterns may be used to assess relative vulnerability across species when lacking abundance or trend data.
Audience Academic
Author Che-Castaldo, Judy P.
Kim, Su Yeon
Hernández-Yáñez, Haydée
AuthorAffiliation Alexander Center for Applied Population Biology, Conservation & Science Dept., Lincoln Park Zoo, Chicago, Illinois, United States of America
Texas A&M University, UNITED STATES
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BackLink https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35196342$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed
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Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
Current address: Evolution Ecology and Organismal Biology, University of California Riverside, Riverside, California, United States of America
Current address: Woodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, Massachusetts, United States of America
Current address: Branch of SSA Science Support, US Fish and Wildlife Service, Bailey’s Crossroads, Virginia, United States of America
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SubjectTerms Animals
Anthropogenic factors
Bias
Biodiversity
Biodiversity hot spots
Biology and Life Sciences
Birds
Birds - classification
Climate change
Computer and Information Sciences
Conservation
Conservation biology
Conservation of Natural Resources
Databases, Factual
Demographics
Demography
Ecology and Environmental Sciences
Endangered & extinct species
Endangered Species
Evaluation
Extinct species
Extinction
Extinction (Biology)
Extinction, Biological
Genetics
Habitat loss
Juveniles
Life history
Life History Traits
Mammals
Mammals - classification
Mathematical analysis
Models, Biological
Phylogenetics
Phylogeny
Population biology
Population growth
Prevention
Projection model
Protection and preservation
Reproduction
Risk
Species extinction
Survival
Threatened species
Trees - classification
Wildlife conservation
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Title Demographic and life history traits explain patterns in species vulnerability to extinction
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