Mapping changes in housing in sub-Saharan Africa from 2000 to 2015

Access to adequate housing is a fundamental human right, essential to human security, nutrition and health, and a core objective of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals 1 , 2 . Globally, the housing need is most acute in Africa, where the population will more than double by 2050. However...

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Published in:Nature (London) Vol. 568; no. 7752; pp. 391 - 394
Main Authors: Tusting, Lucy S., Bisanzio, Donal, Alabaster, Graham, Cameron, Ewan, Cibulskis, Richard, Davies, Michael, Flaxman, Seth, Gibson, Harry S., Knudsen, Jakob, Mbogo, Charles, Okumu, Fredros O., von Seidlein, Lorenz, Weiss, Daniel J., Lindsay, Steve W., Gething, Peter W., Bhatt, Samir
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: London Nature Publishing Group UK 01.04.2019
Nature Publishing Group
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ISSN:0028-0836, 1476-4687, 1476-4687
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Abstract Access to adequate housing is a fundamental human right, essential to human security, nutrition and health, and a core objective of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals 1 , 2 . Globally, the housing need is most acute in Africa, where the population will more than double by 2050. However, existing data on housing quality across Africa are limited primarily to urban areas and are mostly recorded at the national level. Here we quantify changes in housing in sub-Saharan Africa from 2000 to 2015 by combining national survey data within a geostatistical framework. We show a marked transformation of housing in urban and rural sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2015, with the prevalence of improved housing (with improved water and sanitation, sufficient living area and durable construction) doubling from 11% (95% confidence interval, 10–12%) to 23% (21–25%). However, 53 (50–57) million urban Africans (47% (44–50%) of the urban population analysed) were living in unimproved housing in 2015. We provide high-resolution, standardized estimates of housing conditions across sub-Saharan Africa. Our maps provide a baseline for measuring change and a mechanism to guide interventions during the era of the Sustainable Development Goals. The prevalence of improved housing (with improved drinking water and sanitation, sufficient living area and durable construction) in urban and rural sub-Saharan Africa doubled between 2000 and 2015.
AbstractList Access to adequate housing is a fundamental human right, essential to human security, nutrition and health, and a core objective of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals.sup.1,2. Globally, the housing need is most acute in Africa, where the population will more than double by 2050. However, existing data on housing quality across Africa are limited primarily to urban areas and are mostly recorded at the national level. Here we quantify changes in housing in sub-Saharan Africa from 2000 to 2015 by combining national survey data within a geostatistical framework. We show a marked transformation of housing in urban and rural sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2015, with the prevalence of improved housing (with improved water and sanitation, sufficient living area and durable construction) doubling from 11% (95% confidence interval, 10-12%) to 23% (21-25%). However, 53 (50-57) million urban Africans (47% (44-50%) of the urban population analysed) were living in unimproved housing in 2015. We provide high-resolution, standardized estimates of housing conditions across sub-Saharan Africa. Our maps provide a baseline for measuring change and a mechanism to guide interventions during the era of the Sustainable Development Goals.
Access to adequate housing is a fundamental human right, essential to human security, nutrition and health, and a core objective of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals1,2. Globally, the housing need is most acute in Africa, where the population will more than double by 2050. However, existing data on housing quality across Africa are limited primarily to urban areas and are mostly recorded at the national level. Here we quantify changes in housing in sub-Saharan Africa from 2000 to 2015 by combining national survey data within a geostatistical framework. We show a marked transformation of housing in urban and rural sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2015, with the prevalence of improved housing (with improved water and sanitation, sufficient living area and durable construction) doubling from 11% (95% confidence interval, 10-12%) to 23% (21-25%). However, 53 (50-57) million urban Africans (47% (44-50%) of the urban population analysed) were living in unimproved housing in 2015. We provide high-resolution, standardized estimates of housing conditions across sub-Saharan Africa. Our maps provide a baseline for measuring change and a mechanism to guide interventions during the era of the Sustainable Development Goals.Access to adequate housing is a fundamental human right, essential to human security, nutrition and health, and a core objective of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals1,2. Globally, the housing need is most acute in Africa, where the population will more than double by 2050. However, existing data on housing quality across Africa are limited primarily to urban areas and are mostly recorded at the national level. Here we quantify changes in housing in sub-Saharan Africa from 2000 to 2015 by combining national survey data within a geostatistical framework. We show a marked transformation of housing in urban and rural sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2015, with the prevalence of improved housing (with improved water and sanitation, sufficient living area and durable construction) doubling from 11% (95% confidence interval, 10-12%) to 23% (21-25%). However, 53 (50-57) million urban Africans (47% (44-50%) of the urban population analysed) were living in unimproved housing in 2015. We provide high-resolution, standardized estimates of housing conditions across sub-Saharan Africa. Our maps provide a baseline for measuring change and a mechanism to guide interventions during the era of the Sustainable Development Goals.
Access to adequate housing is a fundamental human right, essential to human security, nutrition and health, and a core objective of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals 1 , 2 . Globally, the housing need is most acute in Africa, where the population will more than double by 2050. However, existing data on housing quality across Africa are limited primarily to urban areas and are mostly recorded at the national level. Here we quantify changes in housing in sub-Saharan Africa from 2000 to 2015 by combining national survey data within a geostatistical framework. We show a marked transformation of housing in urban and rural sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2015, with the prevalence of improved housing (with improved water and sanitation, sufficient living area and durable construction) doubling from 11% (95% confidence interval, 10–12%) to 23% (21–25%). However, 53 (50–57) million urban Africans (47% (44–50%) of the urban population analysed) were living in unimproved housing in 2015. We provide high-resolution, standardized estimates of housing conditions across sub-Saharan Africa. Our maps provide a baseline for measuring change and a mechanism to guide interventions during the era of the Sustainable Development Goals. The prevalence of improved housing (with improved drinking water and sanitation, sufficient living area and durable construction) in urban and rural sub-Saharan Africa doubled between 2000 and 2015.
Access to adequate housing is a fundamental human right, essential to human security, nutrition and health, and a core objective of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals . Globally, the housing need is most acute in Africa, where the population will more than double by 2050. However, existing data on housing quality across Africa are limited primarily to urban areas and are mostly recorded at the national level. Here we quantify changes in housing in sub-Saharan Africa from 2000 to 2015 by combining national survey data within a geostatistical framework. We show a marked transformation of housing in urban and rural sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2015, with the prevalence of improved housing (with improved water and sanitation, sufficient living area and durable construction) doubling from 11% (95% confidence interval, 10-12%) to 23% (21-25%). However, 53 (50-57) million urban Africans (47% (44-50%) of the urban population analysed) were living in unimproved housing in 2015. We provide high-resolution, standardized estimates of housing conditions across sub-Saharan Africa. Our maps provide a baseline for measuring change and a mechanism to guide interventions during the era of the Sustainable Development Goals.
Access to adequate housing is a fundamental human right, essential to human security, nutrition and health, and a core objective of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. Globally, the housing need is most acute in Africa, where the population will more than double by 2050. However, existing data on housing quality across Africa are limited primarily to urban areas and are mostly recorded at the national level. Here we quantify changes in housing in sub-Saharan Africa from 2000 to 2015 by combining national survey data within a geostatistical framework. We show a marked transformation of housing in urban and rural sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2015, with the prevalence of improved housing (with improved water and sanitation, sufficient living area and durable construction) doubling from 11% (95% confidence interval, 10-12%) to 23% (21-25%). However, 53 (50-57) million urban Africans (47% (44-50%) of the urban population analysed) were living in unimproved housing in 2015. We provide high-resolution, standardized estimates of housing conditions across sub-Saharan Africa. Our maps provide a baseline for measuring change and a mechanism to guide interventions during the era of the Sustainable Development Goals.
Access to adequate housing is a fundamental human right, essential to human security, nutrition and health, and a core objective of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals.sup.1,2. Globally, the housing need is most acute in Africa, where the population will more than double by 2050. However, existing data on housing quality across Africa are limited primarily to urban areas and are mostly recorded at the national level. Here we quantify changes in housing in sub-Saharan Africa from 2000 to 2015 by combining national survey data within a geostatistical framework. We show a marked transformation of housing in urban and rural sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2015, with the prevalence of improved housing (with improved water and sanitation, sufficient living area and durable construction) doubling from 11% (95% confidence interval, 10-12%) to 23% (21-25%). However, 53 (50-57) million urban Africans (47% (44-50%) of the urban population analysed) were living in unimproved housing in 2015. We provide high-resolution, standardized estimates of housing conditions across sub-Saharan Africa. Our maps provide a baseline for measuring change and a mechanism to guide interventions during the era of the Sustainable Development Goals. The prevalence of improved housing (with improved drinking water and sanitation, sufficient living area and durable construction) in urban and rural sub-Saharan Africa doubled between 2000 and 2015.
Access to adequate housing is a fundamental human right, essential to human security, nutrition and health, and a core objective of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals1,2. Globally, the housing need is most acute in Africa, where the population will more than double by 2050. However, existing data on housing quality across Africa are limited primarily to urban areas and are mostly recorded at the national level. Here we quantify changes in housing in sub-Saharan Africa from 2000 to 2015 by combining national survey data within a geostatistical framework. We show a marked transformation of housing in urban and rural sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2015, with the prevalence of improved housing (with improved water and sanitation, sufficient living area and durable construction) doubling from 11% (95% confidence interval, 10–12%) to 23% (21–25%). However, 53 (50–57) million urban Africans (47% (44–50%) of the urban population analysed) were living in unimproved housing in 2015. We provide high-resolution, standardized estimates of housing conditions across sub-Saharan Africa. Our maps provide a baseline for measuring change and a mechanism to guide interventions during the era of the Sustainable Development Goals. The prevalence of improved housing (with improved drinking water and sanitation, sufficient living area and durable construction) in urban and rural sub-Saharan Africa doubled between 2000 and 2015.
Audience Academic
Author Mbogo, Charles
Okumu, Fredros O.
Alabaster, Graham
Cibulskis, Richard
Gibson, Harry S.
Lindsay, Steve W.
Flaxman, Seth
Weiss, Daniel J.
Tusting, Lucy S.
Knudsen, Jakob
Davies, Michael
Gething, Peter W.
Cameron, Ewan
Bhatt, Samir
von Seidlein, Lorenz
Bisanzio, Donal
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  surname: Tusting
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  organization: Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
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  surname: Bisanzio
  fullname: Bisanzio, Donal
  organization: RTI International, Division of Epidemiology and Public Health, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham
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  surname: Alabaster
  fullname: Alabaster, Graham
  organization: United Nations Human Settlements Programme
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  givenname: Ewan
  surname: Cameron
  fullname: Cameron, Ewan
  organization: Big Data Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford
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  surname: Cibulskis
  fullname: Cibulskis, Richard
  organization: Health Metrics and Measurement Cluster, World Health Organization
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  surname: Davies
  fullname: Davies, Michael
  organization: UCL Institute for Environmental Design and Engineering (IEDE), University College London
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  surname: Flaxman
  fullname: Flaxman, Seth
  organization: Department of Mathematics and Data Science Institute, Imperial College London
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  surname: Gibson
  fullname: Gibson, Harry S.
  organization: Big Data Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford
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  givenname: Jakob
  surname: Knudsen
  fullname: Knudsen, Jakob
  organization: School of Architecture, The Royal Danish Academy of Fine Arts
– sequence: 10
  givenname: Charles
  surname: Mbogo
  fullname: Mbogo, Charles
  organization: Kenya Medical Research Institute, KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Program
– sequence: 11
  givenname: Fredros O.
  surname: Okumu
  fullname: Okumu, Fredros O.
  organization: Environmental Health and Ecological Sciences Department, Ifakara Health Institute, School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow
– sequence: 12
  givenname: Lorenz
  surname: von Seidlein
  fullname: von Seidlein, Lorenz
  organization: Mahidol-Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit (MORU), Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University
– sequence: 13
  givenname: Daniel J.
  surname: Weiss
  fullname: Weiss, Daniel J.
  organization: Big Data Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford
– sequence: 14
  givenname: Steve W.
  surname: Lindsay
  fullname: Lindsay, Steve W.
  organization: Department of Biosciences, Durham University
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  givenname: Peter W.
  surname: Gething
  fullname: Gething, Peter W.
  organization: Big Data Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford
– sequence: 16
  givenname: Samir
  surname: Bhatt
  fullname: Bhatt, Samir
  organization: Big Data Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London
BackLink https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30918405$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed
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ContentType Journal Article
Copyright The Author(s) 2019
COPYRIGHT 2019 Nature Publishing Group
Copyright Nature Publishing Group Apr 18, 2019
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References_xml – reference: UN Habitat. UN-Habitat Urban Datahttp://urbandata.unhabitat.org/ (UN Habitat, 2018).
– reference: Farha, L. Adequate Housing as a Component of the Right to an Adequate Standard of Living. (UN General Assembly, 2015).
– reference: Kingma, D. P. & Ba, J. Adam: a method for stochastic optimization. Preprint at https://arxiv.org/abs/1412.6980 (2017).
– reference: ICF International. Demographic and Health Surveys Methodology. (ICF International, 2011).
– reference: RekJCRapid improvements to rural Ugandan housing and their association with malaria from intense to reduced transmission: a cohort studyLancet Planet. Health20182e83e9410.1016/S2542-5196(18)30010-X
– reference: EschTBreaking new ground in mapping human settlements from space — The Global Urban FootprintISPRS J. Photogramm. Remote Sens.201713430422017JPRS..134...30E10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2017.10.012
– reference: GneitingTRafteryAEStrictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimationJ. Am. Stat. Assoc.20071023593781:CAS:528:DC%2BD2sXisVyqsb4%3D234554810.1198/016214506000001437
– reference: ParbyJIStocktaking of the Housing Sector in Sub-Saharan Africa: Challenges and Opportunities2015Washington DCWorld Bank
– reference: DHS Program. Survey Searchhttps://dhsprogram.com/what-we-do/survey-search.cfm (ICF International, 2015).
– reference: LloydCTSorichettaATatemAJHigh resolution global gridded data for use in population studiesSci. Data2017410.1038/sdata.2017.1
– reference: UN Habitat. State of African Cities 2014: Re-imagining Sustainable Urban Transitions. (UN Habitat, 2014).
– reference: UNICEF. Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey List. (United Nations Childrens’ Fund, 2015).
– reference: CAHF. Housing Finance inAfrica: A Review of Africa’s Housing Finance Markets. (The Centre for Affordable Housing Finance in Africa, 2018).
– reference: WeissDJA global map of travel time to cities to assess inequalities in accessibility in 2015Nature20185533333361:CAS:528:DC%2BC1cXntVGgtg%3D%3D2018Natur.553..333W10.1038/nature25181
– reference: UNDESA. Methodology Sheets: Proportion of Urban Population Living in Slums. (United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, 2007).
– reference: NewtonMARafteryAEApproximate Bayesian inference with the Weighted Likelihood BootstrapJ. R. Stat. Soc. B19945632612577930788.62026
– reference: WilsonALBenefit of insecticide-treated nets, curtains and screening on vector borne diseases, excluding malaria: a systematic review and meta-analysisPLoS Negl. Trop. Dis.20148e322810.1371/journal.pntd.0003228
– reference: ClasenTFInterventions to improve disposal of human excreta for preventing diarrhoeaCochrane Database Syst. Rev.20106CD007180
– reference: WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme. Drinking-Water and Sanitation Categories for Monitoring Purposes. (WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme, 2016).
– reference: United Nations. Progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals. Report of the Secretary-General. (UN Economic and Social Council, 2016).
– reference: EschTDimensioning urbanization — an advanced procedure for characterizing human settlement properties and patterns using spatial network analysisAppl. Geogr.20145521222810.1016/j.apgeog.2014.09.009
– reference: United Nations. Indicators for Monitoring the Millennium Development Goals: 7.10 Proportion of Urban Population Living in Slums. (United Nations, 2012).
– reference: Rutstein, S. O. Steps to Constructing the New DHS Wealth Index (ICF International, 2015).
– reference: United Nations. Millennium Development Goals Indicators: Data Downloadhttps://unstats.un.org/UNSD/MDG/Data.aspx (United Nations, 2018).
– reference: Bughin, J. et al. Lions on the Move II: Realizing the Potential of Africa’s Economies. (McKinsey Global Institute, 2016).
– reference: TenenbaumJBde SilvaVLangfordJCA global geometric framework for nonlinear dimensionality reductionScience2000290231923231:STN:280:DC%2BD3M%2Fnt1yitQ%3D%3D2000Sci...290.2319T10.1126/science.290.5500.2319
– reference: Trabucco, A. & Zomer, R. J. Global Aridity Index (Global-Aridity) and Global Potential Evapo-Transpiration (Global-PET) Geospatial Databasehttps://cgiarcsi.community/ (CGIAR Consortium for Spatial Information, 2009).
– reference: United Nations. New Urban Agenda. In The United Nations Conference on Housing and Sustainable Urban Development Habitat III. (United Nations, 2016).
– reference: Gal, Y., Hron, J. & Kendall, A. Concrete dropout. Preprint at https://arxiv.org/abs/1705.07832 (2017).
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Snippet Access to adequate housing is a fundamental human right, essential to human security, nutrition and health, and a core objective of the United Nations...
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SubjectTerms 692/308/174
692/499
704/844/2787
706/134
706/689/159
Affordable housing
Africa South of the Sahara
Africans
Confidence intervals
Economic aspects
Educational Status
Family Characteristics
Flooring
Geographic Mapping
Geostatistics
Ghettos
Houses
Housing
Housing - economics
Housing - statistics & numerical data
Housing - supply & distribution
Housing conditions
Housing development
Human rights
Human security
Humanities and Social Sciences
Letter
Mapping
Metropolitan areas
multidisciplinary
Nutrition
Planning
Population
Principal components analysis
Rural areas
Rural housing
Sanitation
Science
Science (multidisciplinary)
Socioeconomic Factors
Sustainable development
Sustainable Development - economics
Urban areas
Urban population
Urban populations
Water
Water resource management
Title Mapping changes in housing in sub-Saharan Africa from 2000 to 2015
URI https://link.springer.com/article/10.1038/s41586-019-1050-5
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30918405
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2216251089
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2199185491
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/PMC6784864
Volume 568
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