The vulnerability of Indo-Pacific mangrove forests to sea-level rise

Assessment of mangrove forest surface elevation changes across the Indo-Pacific coastal region finds that almost 70 per cent of the sites studied do not have enough sediment availability to offset predicted sea-level rise; modelling indicates that such sites could be submerged as early as 2070. Mang...

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Vydáno v:	Nature (London) Ročník 526; číslo 7574; s. 559 - 563
Hlavní autoři:	Lovelock, Catherine E., Cahoon, Donald R., Friess, Daniel A., Guntenspergen, Glenn R., Krauss, Ken W., Reef, Ruth, Rogers, Kerrylee, Saunders, Megan L., Sidik, Frida, Swales, Andrew, Saintilan, Neil, Thuyen, Le Xuan, Triet, Tran
Médium:	Journal Article
Jazyk:	angličtina
Vydáno:	London Nature Publishing Group UK 22.10.2015 Nature Publishing Group
Témata:	704/158/2165 704/172 Accretion Altitude Anthropogenic factors Avicennia - physiology Climate Change - statistics & numerical data Coasts Coral reefs Ecosystems Environmental aspects Forests Geologic Sediments - analysis Humanities and Social Sciences Indian Ocean Land degradation letter Mangrove swamps Mangroves multidisciplinary Pacific Ocean Plant growth Rhizophoraceae - physiology River ecology Science Sea level Seawater - analysis Sediments Shoreline protection Soil Soil surfaces Tidal range Wetlands Indonesia
ISSN:	0028-0836, 1476-4687
On-line přístup:	Získat plný text
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Abstract	Assessment of mangrove forest surface elevation changes across the Indo-Pacific coastal region finds that almost 70 per cent of the sites studied do not have enough sediment availability to offset predicted sea-level rise; modelling indicates that such sites could be submerged as early as 2070. Mangrove forests on the verge Intertidal mangrove forests provide a wide range of ecosystem services, including coastal protection and carbon storage. Their survival can be threatened by sea-level rise, but the forests can avoid inundation if there is sufficient sediment supply to allow them to maintain soil elevations suitable for plant growth. This study analyses recent trends in mangrove surface elevation changes across the Indo-Pacific region and finds that sediment availability is important to maintaining rates of soil-surface elevation gain that matched or exceeded that of sea-level rise, but that 69% of the forest study sites had rates of soil-surface elevation gain less than that of sea-level rise. Numerical modelling based on the field data suggests that mangrove forests at sites with low tidal range and low sediment supply could be submerged as early as 2070. Sea-level rise can threaten the long-term sustainability of coastal communities and valuable ecosystems such as coral reefs, salt marshes and mangroves 1 , 2 . Mangrove forests have the capacity to keep pace with sea-level rise and to avoid inundation through vertical accretion of sediments, which allows them to maintain wetland soil elevations suitable for plant growth 3 . The Indo-Pacific region holds most of the world’s mangrove forests 4 , but sediment delivery in this region is declining, owing to anthropogenic activities such as damming of rivers 5 . This decline is of particular concern because the Indo-Pacific region is expected to have variable, but high, rates of future sea-level rise 6 , 7 . Here we analyse recent trends in mangrove surface elevation changes across the Indo-Pacific region using data from a network of surface elevation table instruments 8 , 9 , 10 . We find that sediment availability can enable mangrove forests to maintain rates of soil-surface elevation gain that match or exceed that of sea-level rise, but for 69 per cent of our study sites the current rate of sea-level rise exceeded the soil surface elevation gain. We also present a model based on our field data, which suggests that mangrove forests at sites with low tidal range and low sediment supply could be submerged as early as 2070.
AbstractList	Sea-level rise can threaten the long-term sustainability of coastal communities and valuable ecosystems such as coral reefs, salt marshes and mangroves. Mangrove forests have the capacity to keep pace with sea-level rise and to avoid inundation through vertical accretion of sediments, which allows them to maintain wetland soil elevations suitable for plant growth. The Indo-Pacific region holds most of the world's mangrove forests, but sediment delivery in this region is declining, owing to anthropogenic activities such as damming of rivers. This decline is of particular concern because the Indo-Pacific region is expected to have variable, but high, rates of future sea-level rise. Here we analyse recent trends in mangrove surface elevation changes across the Indo-Pacific region using data from a network of surface elevation table instruments. We find that sediment availability can enable mangrove forests to maintain rates of soil-surface elevation gain that match or exceed that of sea-level rise, but for 69 per cent of our study sites the current rate of sea-level rise exceeded the soil surface elevation gain. We also present a model based on our field data, which suggests that mangrove forests at sites with low tidal range and low sediment supply could be submerged as early as 2070. Assessment of mangrove forest surface elevation changes across the Indo-Pacific coastal region finds that almost 70 per cent of the sites studied do not have enough sediment availability to offset predicted sea-level rise; modelling indicates that such sites could be submerged as early as 2070. Mangrove forests on the verge Intertidal mangrove forests provide a wide range of ecosystem services, including coastal protection and carbon storage. Their survival can be threatened by sea-level rise, but the forests can avoid inundation if there is sufficient sediment supply to allow them to maintain soil elevations suitable for plant growth. This study analyses recent trends in mangrove surface elevation changes across the Indo-Pacific region and finds that sediment availability is important to maintaining rates of soil-surface elevation gain that matched or exceeded that of sea-level rise, but that 69% of the forest study sites had rates of soil-surface elevation gain less than that of sea-level rise. Numerical modelling based on the field data suggests that mangrove forests at sites with low tidal range and low sediment supply could be submerged as early as 2070. Sea-level rise can threaten the long-term sustainability of coastal communities and valuable ecosystems such as coral reefs, salt marshes and mangroves 1 , 2 . Mangrove forests have the capacity to keep pace with sea-level rise and to avoid inundation through vertical accretion of sediments, which allows them to maintain wetland soil elevations suitable for plant growth 3 . The Indo-Pacific region holds most of the world’s mangrove forests 4 , but sediment delivery in this region is declining, owing to anthropogenic activities such as damming of rivers 5 . This decline is of particular concern because the Indo-Pacific region is expected to have variable, but high, rates of future sea-level rise 6 , 7 . Here we analyse recent trends in mangrove surface elevation changes across the Indo-Pacific region using data from a network of surface elevation table instruments 8 , 9 , 10 . We find that sediment availability can enable mangrove forests to maintain rates of soil-surface elevation gain that match or exceed that of sea-level rise, but for 69 per cent of our study sites the current rate of sea-level rise exceeded the soil surface elevation gain. We also present a model based on our field data, which suggests that mangrove forests at sites with low tidal range and low sediment supply could be submerged as early as 2070.
Audience	Academic
Author	Guntenspergen, Glenn R. Cahoon, Donald R. Triet, Tran Saintilan, Neil Reef, Ruth Swales, Andrew Krauss, Ken W. Lovelock, Catherine E. Saunders, Megan L. Sidik, Frida Friess, Daniel A. Rogers, Kerrylee Thuyen, Le Xuan
Author_xml	– sequence: 1 givenname: Catherine E. surname: Lovelock fullname: Lovelock, Catherine E. email: c.lovelock@uq.edu.au organization: School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, Global Change Institute, The University of Queensland – sequence: 2 givenname: Donald R. surname: Cahoon fullname: Cahoon, Donald R. organization: Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, United States Geological Survey – sequence: 3 givenname: Daniel A. surname: Friess fullname: Friess, Daniel A. organization: Department of Geography, National University of Singapore – sequence: 4 givenname: Glenn R. surname: Guntenspergen fullname: Guntenspergen, Glenn R. organization: Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, United States Geological Survey – sequence: 5 givenname: Ken W. surname: Krauss fullname: Krauss, Ken W. organization: National Wetlands Research Center, United States Geological Survey – sequence: 6 givenname: Ruth surname: Reef fullname: Reef, Ruth organization: School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, Global Change Institute, The University of Queensland, Department of Geography, Cambridge Coastal Research Unit, University of Cambridge – sequence: 7 givenname: Kerrylee surname: Rogers fullname: Rogers, Kerrylee organization: School of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Wollongong – sequence: 8 givenname: Megan L. surname: Saunders fullname: Saunders, Megan L. organization: Global Change Institute, The University of Queensland – sequence: 9 givenname: Frida surname: Sidik fullname: Sidik, Frida organization: The Institute for Marine Research and Observation, Ministry of Marine Affairs and Fisheries – sequence: 10 givenname: Andrew surname: Swales fullname: Swales, Andrew organization: School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research – sequence: 11 givenname: Neil surname: Saintilan fullname: Saintilan, Neil organization: Department of Environmental Sciences, Macquarie University – sequence: 12 givenname: Le Xuan surname: Thuyen fullname: Thuyen, Le Xuan organization: University of Science, Vietnam National University – sequence: 13 givenname: Tran surname: Triet fullname: Triet, Tran organization: University of Science, Vietnam National University, International Crane Foundation
BackLink	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26466567$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed
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ContentType	Journal Article
Copyright	Springer Nature Limited 2015 COPYRIGHT 2015 Nature Publishing Group Copyright Nature Publishing Group Oct 22, 2015
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Snippet	Assessment of mangrove forest surface elevation changes across the Indo-Pacific coastal region finds that almost 70 per cent of the sites studied do not have... Sea-level rise can threaten the long-term sustainability of coastal communities and valuable ecosystems such as coral reefs, salt marshes and mangroves....
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SubjectTerms	704/158/2165 704/172 Accretion Altitude Anthropogenic factors Avicennia - physiology Climate Change - statistics & numerical data Coasts Coral reefs Ecosystems Environmental aspects Forests Geologic Sediments - analysis Humanities and Social Sciences Indian Ocean Land degradation letter Mangrove swamps Mangroves multidisciplinary Pacific Ocean Plant growth Rhizophoraceae - physiology River ecology Science Sea level Seawater - analysis Sediments Shoreline protection Soil Soil surfaces Tidal range Wetlands
Title	The vulnerability of Indo-Pacific mangrove forests to sea-level rise
URI	https://link.springer.com/article/10.1038/nature15538 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26466567 https://www.proquest.com/docview/1726816808 https://www.proquest.com/docview/1727434278
Volume	526
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