Climate refugia: joint inference from fossil records, species distribution models and phylogeography

CONTENTS: 38 I. 38 II. Approaches for reconstructing refugia: strengths, limitations and recent advances 39 III. 46 IV. 47 V. 48 VI. 49 49 References 49 SUMMARY: Climate refugia, locations where taxa survive periods of regionally adverse climate, are thought to be critical for maintaining biodiversi...

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Published in:The New phytologist Vol. 204; no. 1; pp. 37 - 54
Main Authors: Gavin, Daniel G, Fitzpatrick, Matthew C, Gugger, Paul F, Heath, Katy D, Rodríguez‐Sánchez, Francisco, Dobrowski, Solomon Z, Hampe, Arndt, Hu, Feng Sheng, Ashcroft, Michael B, Bartlein, Patrick J, Blois, Jessica L, Carstens, Bryan C, Davis, Edward B, Lafontaine, Guillaume, Edwards, Mary E, Fernandez, Matias, Henne, Paul D, Herring, Erin M, Holden, Zachary A, Kong, Woo‐seok, Liu, Jianquan, Magri, Donatella, Matzke, Nicholas J, McGlone, Matt S, Saltré, Frédérik, Stigall, Alycia L, Tsai, Yi‐Hsin Erica, Williams, John W
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: England William Wesley and Son 01.10.2014
New Phytologist Trust
Wiley Subscription Services, Inc
Wiley
Subjects:
Beech
Biodiversity
Biogeography
Biological taxonomies
Case studies
China
Climate
Climate change
Climate models
Climatic zones
Distribution
Ecological genetics
Ecological modeling
Fagus - physiology
Fagus sylvatica subsp. sylvatica
Fossils
Geographical distribution
Geographical locations
Ice Cover
Interglacial periods
Last Glacial Maximum
Life Sciences
migration
Model testing
Models, Theoretical
New records
Paleoclimatology
paleoecology
Phylogeography
Picea
Picea - physiology
Plants
Pseudotsuga - physiology
Quaternary
range dynamics
Records
Refuge habitats
Refugia
Species
species distribution modeling
Statistical analysis
Surveys
Survival
Tansley reviews
China
Last Glacial Maximum
paleoecology
range dynamics
migration
species distribution modeling
climate change
phylogeography
ISSN:0028-646X, 1469-8137, 1469-8137
Online Access:Get full text
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Summary:CONTENTS: 38 I. 38 II. Approaches for reconstructing refugia: strengths, limitations and recent advances 39 III. 46 IV. 47 V. 48 VI. 49 49 References 49 SUMMARY: Climate refugia, locations where taxa survive periods of regionally adverse climate, are thought to be critical for maintaining biodiversity through the glacial–interglacial climate changes of the Quaternary. A critical research need is to better integrate and reconcile the three major lines of evidence used to infer the existence of past refugia – fossil records, species distribution models and phylogeographic surveys – in order to characterize the complex spatiotemporal trajectories of species and populations in and out of refugia. Here we review the complementary strengths, limitations and new advances for these three approaches. We provide case studies to illustrate their combined application, and point the way towards new opportunities for synthesizing these disparate lines of evidence. Case studies with European beech, Qinghai spruce and Douglas‐fir illustrate how the combination of these three approaches successfully resolves complex species histories not attainable from any one approach. Promising new statistical techniques can capitalize on the strengths of each method and provide a robust quantitative reconstruction of species history. Studying past refugia can help identify contemporary refugia and clarify their conservation significance, in particular by elucidating the fine‐scale processes and the particular geographic locations that buffer species against rapidly changing climate.
Bibliography:http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/nph.12929
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ISSN:0028-646X
1469-8137
1469-8137
DOI:10.1111/nph.12929