Time, space and social interactions: exit mechanisms for the Covid-19 epidemics

We develop a minimalist compartmental model to study the impact of mobility restrictions in Italy during the Covid-19 outbreak. We show that, while an early lockdown shifts the contagion in time, beyond a critical value of lockdown strength the epidemic tends to restart after lifting the restriction...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:	Scientific reports Vol. 10; no. 1; p. 13764
Main Authors:	Scala, Antonio, Flori, Andrea, Spelta, Alessandro, Brugnoli, Emanuele, Cinelli, Matteo, Quattrociocchi, Walter, Pammolli, Fabio
Format:	Journal Article
Language:	English
Published:	London Nature Publishing Group UK 13.08.2020 Nature Publishing Group
Subjects:	639/766/259 639/766/530/2803 Adolescent Adult Age composition Age Factors Aged Betacoronavirus Child Child, Preschool Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology Coronavirus Infections - prevention & control Coronavirus Infections - transmission Coronavirus Infections - virology Coronaviruses COVID-19 Demography Disease transmission Epidemics Geography Heterogeneity Humanities and Social Sciences Humans Infant Infant, Newborn Interpersonal Relations Italy - epidemiology Middle Aged Mobility Models, Statistical multidisciplinary Pandemics - prevention & control Pneumonia, Viral - epidemiology Pneumonia, Viral - prevention & control Pneumonia, Viral - transmission Pneumonia, Viral - virology Quarantine - methods Regions SARS-CoV-2 Science Science (multidisciplinary) Social Behavior Social interactions Time Factors Travel Young Adult Italy
ISSN:	2045-2322, 2045-2322
Online Access:	Get full text
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