Evaluating the effect of viral posts on social media engagement

As virality has become increasingly central in shaping information sources’ strategies, it raises concerns about its consequences for society, particularly when referring to the impact of viral news on the public discourse. Nonetheless, there has been little consideration of whether these viral even...

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Vydané v:Scientific reports Ročník 15; číslo 1; s. 639 - 11
Hlavní autori: Sangiorgio, Emanuele, Di Marco, Niccolò, Etta, Gabriele, Cinelli, Matteo, Cerqueti, Roy, Quattrociocchi, Walter
Médium: Journal Article
Jazyk:English
Vydavateľské údaje: London Nature Publishing Group UK 03.01.2025
Nature Publishing Group
Nature Portfolio
Predmet:
639/705/1042
639/705/258
639/705/531
Attention
Attention economy
Bayes Theorem
Bayesian analysis
Datasets
Economics and Finance
Humanities and Social Sciences
Humans
Information Dissemination - methods
Information sources
multidisciplinary
Science
Science (multidisciplinary)
Social Media
Social networks
Time series
Virality
Virality
Social media
Attention economy
FOS: Computer and information sciences
Social and Information Networks (cs.SI)
ISSN:2045-2322, 2045-2322
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Shrnutí:As virality has become increasingly central in shaping information sources’ strategies, it raises concerns about its consequences for society, particularly when referring to the impact of viral news on the public discourse. Nonetheless, there has been little consideration of whether these viral events genuinely boost the attention received by the source. To address this gap, we analyze content timelines from over 1000 European news outlets from 2018 to 2023 on Facebook and YouTube, employing a Bayesian structural time series model to evaluate the impact of viral posts. Our results show that most viral events do not significantly increase engagement and rarely lead to sustained growth. We identify two primary types of viral effects corresponding to different mechanisms of collective attention response. A ‘loaded-type’ virality manifests after a sustained growth phase, representing its final burst, followed by a decline in attention. A ‘sudden-type’ virality, with news emerging unexpectedly, reactivates the collective response process. Moreover, quick viral effects fade faster, while slower processes lead to more persistent growth. These findings highlight the transient nature of viral events and underscore the importance of consistent, steady attention-building strategies to establish a solid connection with the user base rather than relying on sudden visibility spikes.
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ISSN:2045-2322
2045-2322
DOI:10.1038/s41598-024-84960-6