Regional and landscape-scale variability of Landsat-observed vegetation dynamics in northwest Siberian tundra
Widespread increases in Arctic tundra productivity have been documented for decades using coarse-scale satellite observations, but finer-scale observations indicate that changes have been very uneven, with a high degree of landscape- and regional-scale heterogeneity. Here we analyze time-series of t...
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| Vydáno v: | Environmental research letters Ročník 9; číslo 2; s. 25004 - 11 |
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| ISSN: | 1748-9326, 1748-9326 |
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| Abstract | Widespread increases in Arctic tundra productivity have been documented for decades using coarse-scale satellite observations, but finer-scale observations indicate that changes have been very uneven, with a high degree of landscape- and regional-scale heterogeneity. Here we analyze time-series of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) observed by Landsat (1984-2012), to assess landscape- and regional-scale variability of tundra vegetation dynamics in the northwest Siberian Low Arctic, a little-studied region with varied soils, landscape histories, and permafrost attributes. We also estimate spatio-temporal rates of land-cover change associated with expansion of tall alder (Alnus) shrublands, by integrating Landsat time-series with very-high-resolution imagery dating to the mid-1960s. We compiled Landsat time-series for eleven widely-distributed landscapes, and performed linear regression of NDVI values on a per-pixel basis. We found positive net NDVI trends ('greening') in nine of eleven landscapes. Net greening occurred in alder shrublands in all landscapes, and strong greening tended to correspond to shrublands that developed since the 1960s. Much of the spatial variability of greening within landscapes was linked to landscape physiography and permafrost attributes, while between-landscape variability largely corresponded to differences in surficial geology. We conclude that continued increases in tundra productivity in the region are likely in upland tundra landscapes with fine-textured, cryoturbated soils; these areas currently tend to support discontinuous vegetation cover, but are highly susceptible to rapid increases in vegetation cover, as well as land-cover changes associated with the development of tall shrublands. |
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| AbstractList | Widespread increases in Arctic tundra productivity have been documented for decades using coarse-scale satellite observations, but finer-scale observations indicate that changes have been very uneven, with a high degree of landscape- and regional-scale heterogeneity. Here we analyze time-series of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) observed by Landsat (1984–2012), to assess landscape- and regional-scale variability of tundra vegetation dynamics in the northwest Siberian Low Arctic, a little-studied region with varied soils, landscape histories, and permafrost attributes. We also estimate spatio-temporal rates of land-cover change associated with expansion of tall alder (Alnus) shrublands, by integrating Landsat time-series with very-high-resolution imagery dating to the mid-1960s. We compiled Landsat time-series for eleven widely-distributed landscapes, and performed linear regression of NDVI values on a per-pixel basis. We found positive net NDVI trends (‘greening’) in nine of eleven landscapes. Net greening occurred in alder shrublands in all landscapes, and strong greening tended to correspond to shrublands that developed since the 1960s. Much of the spatial variability of greening within landscapes was linked to landscape physiography and permafrost attributes, while between-landscape variability largely corresponded to differences in surficial geology. We conclude that continued increases in tundra productivity in the region are likely in upland tundra landscapes with fine-textured, cryoturbated soils; these areas currently tend to support discontinuous vegetation cover, but are highly susceptible to rapid increases in vegetation cover, as well as land-cover changes associated with the development of tall shrublands. |
| Author | Epstein, Howard E Walker, Donald A Frost, Gerald V |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Gerald V surname: Frost fullname: Frost, Gerald V email: gvf5y@virginia.edu, jfrost@abrinc.com organization: University of Virginia Department of Environmental Sciences, PO Box 400123, Charlottesville, VA 22903, USA – sequence: 2 givenname: Howard E surname: Epstein fullname: Epstein, Howard E email: hee2b@virginia.edu organization: University of Virginia Department of Environmental Sciences, PO Box 400123, Charlottesville, VA 22903, USA – sequence: 3 givenname: Donald A surname: Walker fullname: Walker, Donald A email: dawalker@alaska.edu organization: University of Alaska Alaska Geobotany Center, PO Box 757000, Fairbanks, AK 99775, USA |
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| References | 22 25 26 Frost G V (10) 2013; 8 28 Ermokhina K A (6) 2012 CAVM Team (2) 2003 Shur Y (23) 2009 Walker D A (31) 2009 12 13 14 15 16 Epstein H E (5) 2012; 7 18 19 Myers-Smith I H (17) 2011; 6 Walker D A (32) 2012; 7 1 Walker D A (29) 2008; 113 3 4 Fraser R H (9) 2011; 6 7 8 Frost G V (11) 2014 Stammler F (24) 2005 Walker D A (27) 2004; 15 Walker D A (30) 2009; 4 20 21 |
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| SubjectTerms | Alnus climate change Geology Greening Heterogeneity Image resolution Land cover Landsat Landsat satellites normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) Normalized difference vegetative index Permafrost Productivity Regional analysis Remote sensing Satellite imagery Satellite observation shrub expansion Shrublands Siberia Soils Taiga & tundra Time series Tundra Variability Vegetation Vegetation cover vegetation dynamics Vegetation index |
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| Title | Regional and landscape-scale variability of Landsat-observed vegetation dynamics in northwest Siberian tundra |
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