A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests

Greenhouse gas emissions have significantly altered global climate, and will continue to do so in the future. Increases in the frequency, duration, and/or severity of drought and heat stress associated with climate change could fundamentally alter the composition, structure, and biogeography of fore...

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Vydané v:	Forest ecology and management Ročník 259; číslo 4; s. 660 - 684
Hlavní autori:	Allen, Craig D., Macalady, Alison K., Chenchouni, Haroun, Bachelet, Dominique, McDowell, Nate, Vennetier, Michel, Kitzberger, Thomas, Rigling, Andreas, Breshears, David D., Hogg, E.H. (Ted), Gonzalez, Patrick, Fensham, Rod, Zhang, Zhen, Castro, Jorge, Demidova, Natalia, Lim, Jong-Hwan, Allard, Gillian, Running, Steven W., Semerci, Akkin, Cobb, Neil
Médium:	Journal Article
Jazyk:	English
Vydavateľské údaje:	Elsevier B.V 05.02.2010 Elsevier
Predmet:	Climate change climatic factors drought Drought effects Droughts Ecosystems Environmental Sciences Forest die-off forest ecosystems forest health Forest mortality forest trees Forests geographical distribution geographical variation Global patterns global warming Heat stress information Mortality Risk Tree mortality Trees Tree mortality Climate change Global patterns Forest mortality Forest die-off Drought effects DEGATS CLIMATIQUES CHANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE MORTALITE STRESS HYDRIQUE SECHERESSE DEGATS DE SECHERESSE
ISSN:	0378-1127, 1872-7042
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Abstract	Greenhouse gas emissions have significantly altered global climate, and will continue to do so in the future. Increases in the frequency, duration, and/or severity of drought and heat stress associated with climate change could fundamentally alter the composition, structure, and biogeography of forests in many regions. Of particular concern are potential increases in tree mortality associated with climate-induced physiological stress and interactions with other climate-mediated processes such as insect outbreaks and wildfire. Despite this risk, existing projections of tree mortality are based on models that lack functionally realistic mortality mechanisms, and there has been no attempt to track observations of climate-driven tree mortality globally. Here we present the first global assessment of recent tree mortality attributed to drought and heat stress. Although episodic mortality occurs in the absence of climate change, studies compiled here suggest that at least some of the world's forested ecosystems already may be responding to climate change and raise concern that forests may become increasingly vulnerable to higher background tree mortality rates and die-off in response to future warming and drought, even in environments that are not normally considered water-limited. This further suggests risks to ecosystem services, including the loss of sequestered forest carbon and associated atmospheric feedbacks. Our review also identifies key information gaps and scientific uncertainties that currently hinder our ability to predict tree mortality in response to climate change and emphasizes the need for a globally coordinated observation system. Overall, our review reveals the potential for amplified tree mortality due to drought and heat in forests worldwide.
AbstractList	Les émissions de gaz à effet de serre ont significativement changé le climat mondial et continueront à le faire dans l'avenir. L'augmentation de la fréquence, la durée ou la sévérité des sécheresses et des canicules pourraient fondamentalement changer la composition, la structure et la biogéographie des forêts de nombreuses régions. Il en résulte un accroissement potentiel de la mortalité des arbres, associée aux stress physiologiques et aux interactions avec d'autres processus comme des explosions démographiques d'insectes et les incendies. Malgré ce risque, les prévisions actuelles de mortalité d'arbre sont basées sur des modèles qui manquent fonctionnellement de réalismes. Il n'y a eu à ce jour aucune tentative de suivi global de la mortalité forestière induite par le climat. Nous présentons dans cet article la première évaluation mondiale des mortalités récentes d'arbres attribuées aux stress thermiques et hydriques. / Greenhouse gas emissions have significantly altered global climate, and will continue to do so in the future. Increases in the frequency, duration, and/or severity of drought and heat stress associated with climate change could fundamentally alter the composition, structure, and biogeography of forests in many regions. Of particular concern are potential increases in tree mortality associated with climate-induced physiological stress and interactions with other climate-mediated processes such as insect outbreaks and wildfire. Despite this risk, existing projections of tree mortality are based on models that lack functionally realistic mortality mechanisms, and there has been no attempt to track observations of climate-driven tree mortality globally. Here we present the first global assessment of recent tree mortality attributed to drought and heat stress. Greenhouse gas emissions have significantly altered global climate, and will continue to do so in the future. Increases in the frequency, duration, and/or severity of drought and heat stress associated with climate change could fundamentally alter the composition, structure, and biogeography of forests in many regions. Of particular concern are potential increases in tree mortality associated with climate-induced physiological stress and interactions with other climate-mediated processes such as insect outbreaks and wildfire. Despite this risk, existing projections of tree mortality are based on models that lack functionally realistic mortality mechanisms, and there has been no attempt to track observations of climate-driven tree mortality globally. Here we present the first global assessment of recent tree mortality attributed to drought and heat stress. Although episodic mortality occurs in the absence of climate change, studies compiled here suggest that at least some of the world's forested ecosystems already may be responding to climate change and raise concern that forests may become increasingly vulnerable to higher background tree mortality rates and die-off in response to future warming and drought, even in environments that are not normally considered water-limited. This further suggests risks to ecosystem services, including the loss of sequestered forest carbon and associated atmospheric feedbacks. Our review also identifies key information gaps and scientific uncertainties that currently hinder our ability to predict tree mortality in response to climate change and emphasizes the need for a globally coordinated observation system. Overall, our review reveals the potential for amplified tree mortality due to drought and heat in forests worldwide.
Author	Chenchouni, Haroun Zhang, Zhen Bachelet, Dominique Breshears, David D. Lim, Jong-Hwan Vennetier, Michel Macalady, Alison K. Cobb, Neil Fensham, Rod Allen, Craig D. Rigling, Andreas Running, Steven W. Hogg, E.H. (Ted) Castro, Jorge Demidova, Natalia Semerci, Akkin Allard, Gillian Gonzalez, Patrick McDowell, Nate Kitzberger, Thomas
Author_xml	– sequence: 1 givenname: Craig D. surname: Allen fullname: Allen, Craig D. email: craig_allen@usgs.gov organization: U.S. Geological Survey, Fort Collins Science Center, Jemez Mountains Field Station, Los Alamos, NM 87544, USA – sequence: 2 givenname: Alison K. surname: Macalady fullname: Macalady, Alison K. organization: School of Geography and Development and Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA – sequence: 3 givenname: Haroun surname: Chenchouni fullname: Chenchouni, Haroun organization: Department of Biology, University of Batna, 05000 Batna, Algeria – sequence: 4 givenname: Dominique surname: Bachelet fullname: Bachelet, Dominique organization: Department of Biological and Ecological Engineering, Oregon State University, Corvalllis, OR 97330, USA – sequence: 5 givenname: Nate surname: McDowell fullname: McDowell, Nate organization: Earth and Environmental Sciences, MS J495, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87544,USA – sequence: 6 givenname: Michel surname: Vennetier fullname: Vennetier, Michel organization: CEMAGREF, ECCOREV FR 3098, Aix-Marseille University, Aix-en-Provence, France – sequence: 7 givenname: Thomas surname: Kitzberger fullname: Kitzberger, Thomas organization: Laboratorio Ecotono, INIBIOMA-CONICET and Univ. Nacional del Comahue, Quintral 1250, 8400 Bariloche, Argentina – sequence: 8 givenname: Andreas surname: Rigling fullname: Rigling, Andreas organization: Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Zurcherstr. 111, CH-8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland – sequence: 9 givenname: David D. surname: Breshears fullname: Breshears, David D. organization: School of Natural Resources and the Environment, and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA – sequence: 10 givenname: E.H. (Ted) surname: Hogg fullname: Hogg, E.H. (Ted) organization: Northern Forestry Centre, Canadian Forest Service, 5320-122 Street, Edmonton, Alberta T6H 3S5, Canada – sequence: 11 givenname: Patrick surname: Gonzalez fullname: Gonzalez, Patrick organization: Center for Forestry, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA – sequence: 12 givenname: Rod surname: Fensham fullname: Fensham, Rod organization: Queensland Herbarium, Environmental Protection Agency, Mt Coot-tha Road, Toowong, Queensland 4066, Australia – sequence: 13 givenname: Zhen surname: Zhang fullname: Zhang, Zhen organization: Research Institute of Forest Ecology, Environment and Protection, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Key Laboratory of Forest Protection of State Forestry Administration, Beijing 100091, China – sequence: 14 givenname: Jorge surname: Castro fullname: Castro, Jorge organization: Grupo de Ecología Terrestre, Departamento de Ecología, Universidad de Granada, Granada E-18071, Spain – sequence: 15 givenname: Natalia surname: Demidova fullname: Demidova, Natalia organization: Northern Research Institute of Forestry, Nikitov St., 13, Arkhangelsk 163062, Russian Federation – sequence: 16 givenname: Jong-Hwan surname: Lim fullname: Lim, Jong-Hwan organization: Division of Forest Ecology, Department of Forest Conservation, Korea Forest Research Institute #57, Hoegi-ro, Dongdaemun-gu, Seoul 130-712, Republic of Korea – sequence: 17 givenname: Gillian surname: Allard fullname: Allard, Gillian organization: Forestry Department, Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), Viale delle Terme di Caracalla, 00100 Rome, Italy – sequence: 18 givenname: Steven W. surname: Running fullname: Running, Steven W. organization: Numerical Terradynamics Simulation Group, University of Montana, Missoula, MT 59812, USA – sequence: 19 givenname: Akkin surname: Semerci fullname: Semerci, Akkin organization: Central Anatolia Forestry Research Institute, P.K. 24, 06501 Bahcelievler-Ankara, Turkey – sequence: 20 givenname: Neil surname: Cobb fullname: Cobb, Neil organization: Department of Biological Sciences and Merriam Powell Center for Environmental Research, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ 86011, USA
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Snippet	Greenhouse gas emissions have significantly altered global climate, and will continue to do so in the future. Increases in the frequency, duration, and/or... Les émissions de gaz à effet de serre ont significativement changé le climat mondial et continueront à le faire dans l'avenir. L'augmentation de la fréquence,...
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SubjectTerms	Climate change climatic factors drought Drought effects Droughts Ecosystems Environmental Sciences Forest die-off forest ecosystems forest health Forest mortality forest trees Forests geographical distribution geographical variation Global patterns global warming Heat stress information Mortality Risk Tree mortality Trees
Title	A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests
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