Range shifts in a foundation sedge potentially induce large Arctic ecosystem carbon losses and gains
Foundation species have disproportionately large impacts on ecosystem structure and function. As a result, future changes to their distribution may be important determinants of ecosystem carbon (C) cycling in a warmer world. We assessed the role of a foundation tussock sedge ( Eriophorum vaginatum )...
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| Vydáno v: | Environmental research letters Ročník 17; číslo 4; s. 45024 - 45036 |
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| Hlavní autoři: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
| Médium: | Journal Article |
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
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Bristol
IOP Publishing
01.04.2022
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| ISSN: | 1748-9326, 1748-9326 |
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| Abstract | Foundation species have disproportionately large impacts on ecosystem structure and function. As a result, future changes to their distribution may be important determinants of ecosystem carbon (C) cycling in a warmer world. We assessed the role of a foundation tussock sedge (
Eriophorum vaginatum
) as a climatically vulnerable C stock using field data, a machine learning ecological niche model, and an ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs). Field data indicated that tussock density has decreased by ∼0.97 tussocks per m
2
over the past ∼38 years on Alaska’s North Slope from ∼1981 to 2019. This declining trend is concerning because tussocks are a large Arctic C stock, which enhances soil organic layer C stocks by 6.9% on average and represents 745 Tg C across our study area. By 2100, we project that changes in tussock density may decrease the tussock C stock by 41% in regions where tussocks are currently abundant (e.g. −0.8 tussocks per m
2
and −85 Tg C on the North Slope) and may increase the tussock C stock by 46% in regions where tussocks are currently scarce (e.g. +0.9 tussocks per m
2
and +81 Tg C on Victoria Island). These climate-induced changes to the tussock C stock were comparable to, but sometimes opposite in sign, to vegetation C stock changes predicted by an ensemble of TBMs. Our results illustrate the important role of tussocks as a foundation species in determining future Arctic C stocks and highlight the need for better representation of this species in TBMs. |
|---|---|
| AbstractList | Foundation species have disproportionately large impacts on ecosystem structure and function. As a result, future changes to their distribution may be important determinants of ecosystem carbon (C) cycling in a warmer world. We assessed the role of a foundation tussock sedge (Eriophorum vaginatum) as a climatically vulnerable C stock using field data, a machine learning ecological niche model, and an ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs). Field data indicated that tussock density has decreased by ∼0.97 tussocks per m2 over the past ∼38 years on Alaska’s North Slope from ∼1981 to 2019. This declining trend is concerning because tussocks are a large Arctic C stock, which enhances soil organic layer C stocks by 6.9% on average and represents 745 Tg C across our study area. By 2100, we project that changes in tussock density may decrease the tussock C stock by 41% in regions where tussocks are currently abundant (e.g. −0.8 tussocks per m2 and −85 Tg C on the North Slope) and may increase the tussock C stock by 46% in regions where tussocks are currently scarce (e.g. +0.9 tussocks per m2 and +81 Tg C on Victoria Island). These climate-induced changes to the tussock C stock were comparable to, but sometimes opposite in sign, to vegetation C stock changes predicted by an ensemble of TBMs. Our results illustrate the important role of tussocks as a foundation species in determining future Arctic C stocks and highlight the need for better representation of this species in TBMs. Foundation species have disproportionately large impacts on ecosystem structure and function. As a result, future changes to their distribution may be important determinants of ecosystem carbon (C) cycling in a warmer world. We assessed the role of a foundation tussock sedge ( Eriophorum vaginatum ) as a climatically vulnerable C stock using field data, a machine learning ecological niche model, and an ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs). Field data indicated that tussock density has decreased by ∼0.97 tussocks per m ^2 over the past ∼38 years on Alaska’s North Slope from ∼1981 to 2019. This declining trend is concerning because tussocks are a large Arctic C stock, which enhances soil organic layer C stocks by 6.9% on average and represents 745 Tg C across our study area. By 2100, we project that changes in tussock density may decrease the tussock C stock by 41% in regions where tussocks are currently abundant (e.g. −0.8 tussocks per m ^2 and −85 Tg C on the North Slope) and may increase the tussock C stock by 46% in regions where tussocks are currently scarce (e.g. +0.9 tussocks per m ^2 and +81 Tg C on Victoria Island). These climate-induced changes to the tussock C stock were comparable to, but sometimes opposite in sign, to vegetation C stock changes predicted by an ensemble of TBMs. Our results illustrate the important role of tussocks as a foundation species in determining future Arctic C stocks and highlight the need for better representation of this species in TBMs. Foundation species have disproportionately large impacts on ecosystem structure and function. As a result, future changes to their distribution may be important determinants of ecosystem carbon (C) cycling in a warmer world. We assessed the role of a foundation tussock sedge ( Eriophorum vaginatum ) as a climatically vulnerable C stock using field data, a machine learning ecological niche model, and an ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs). Field data indicated that tussock density has decreased by ∼0.97 tussocks per m 2 over the past ∼38 years on Alaska’s North Slope from ∼1981 to 2019. This declining trend is concerning because tussocks are a large Arctic C stock, which enhances soil organic layer C stocks by 6.9% on average and represents 745 Tg C across our study area. By 2100, we project that changes in tussock density may decrease the tussock C stock by 41% in regions where tussocks are currently abundant (e.g. −0.8 tussocks per m 2 and −85 Tg C on the North Slope) and may increase the tussock C stock by 46% in regions where tussocks are currently scarce (e.g. +0.9 tussocks per m 2 and +81 Tg C on Victoria Island). These climate-induced changes to the tussock C stock were comparable to, but sometimes opposite in sign, to vegetation C stock changes predicted by an ensemble of TBMs. Our results illustrate the important role of tussocks as a foundation species in determining future Arctic C stocks and highlight the need for better representation of this species in TBMs. Foundation species have disproportionately large impacts on ecosystem structure and function. As a result, future changes to their distribution may be important determinants of ecosystem carbon (C) cycling in a warmer world. We assessed the role of a foundation tussock sedge (Eriophorum vaginatum) as a climatically vulnerable C stock using field data, a machine learning ecological niche model, and an ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs). Field data indicated that tussock density has decreased by ~0.97 tussocks per m2 over the past ~38 years on Alaska's North Slope from ~1981 to 2019. This declining trend is concerning because tussocks are a large Arctic C stock, which enhances soil organic layer C stocks by 6.9% on average and represents 745 Tg C across our study area. By 2100, we project that changes in tussock density may decrease the tussock C stock by 41% in regions where tussocks are currently abundant (e.g. -0.8 tussocks per m2 and -85 Tg C on the North Slope) and may increase the tussock C stock by 46% in regions where tussocks are currently scarce (e.g. +0.9 tussocks per m2 and +81 Tg C on Victoria Island). These climate-induced changes to the tussock C stock were comparable to, but sometimes opposite in sign, to vegetation C stock changes predicted by an ensemble of TBMs. Our results illustrate the important role of tussocks as a foundation species in determining future Arctic C stocks and highlight the need for better representation of this species in TBMs.. |
| Author | Myers-Smith, Isla H Vargas Zesati, Sergio A Rocha, Adrian V Wullschleger, Stan D May, Jeremy L Curasi, Salvatore R Fetcher, Ned Hewitt, Rebecca E Parker, Thomas C Lafleur, Peter M Sonnentag, Oliver Loranty, Michael M Mack, Michelle C Natali, Susan M Oberbauer, Steven F |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Salvatore R orcidid: 0000-0002-4534-3344 surname: Curasi fullname: Curasi, Salvatore R organization: University of Notre Dame Department of Biology, Notre Dame, IN 46556, United States of America – sequence: 2 givenname: Ned orcidid: 0000-0003-2604-299X surname: Fetcher fullname: Fetcher, Ned organization: Institute for Environmental Science and Sustainability, Wilkes University , Wilkes-Barre, PA 18766, United States of America – sequence: 3 givenname: Rebecca E surname: Hewitt fullname: Hewitt, Rebecca E organization: Amherst College Department of Environmental Studies, Amherst, MA 01002, United States of America – sequence: 4 givenname: Peter M orcidid: 0000-0003-0347-9128 surname: Lafleur fullname: Lafleur, Peter M organization: School of the Environment, Trent University , Peterborough, ON K9L 0G2, Canada – sequence: 5 givenname: Michael M orcidid: 0000-0001-8851-7386 surname: Loranty fullname: Loranty, Michael M organization: Colgate University , 13 Oak Drive, Hamilton, NY 13346, United States of America – sequence: 6 givenname: Michelle C surname: Mack fullname: Mack, Michelle C organization: Northern Arizona University Center for Ecosystem Science and Society and Department of Biological Sciences, Flagstaff, AZ 86001, United States of America – sequence: 7 givenname: Jeremy L surname: May fullname: May, Jeremy L organization: Florida International University Department of Biological Sciences, Miami, FL 33199, United States of America – sequence: 8 givenname: Isla H surname: Myers-Smith fullname: Myers-Smith, Isla H organization: School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh , Edinburgh EH9 3FF, United Kingdom – sequence: 9 givenname: Susan M orcidid: 0000-0002-3010-2994 surname: Natali fullname: Natali, Susan M organization: Woodwell Climate Research Center , 149 Woods Hole Road, Falmouth, MA 02540-1644, United States of America – sequence: 10 givenname: Steven F surname: Oberbauer fullname: Oberbauer, Steven F organization: Florida International University Department of Biological Sciences, Miami, FL 33199, United States of America – sequence: 11 givenname: Thomas C surname: Parker fullname: Parker, Thomas C organization: Ecological Sciences, The James Hutton Institute, Craigiebuckler , Aberdeen AB15 8QH, United Kingdom – sequence: 12 givenname: Oliver surname: Sonnentag fullname: Sonnentag, Oliver organization: Université de Montréal Département de géographie, Montréal, Québec H2V 2B8, Canada – sequence: 13 givenname: Sergio A orcidid: 0000-0002-0052-8580 surname: Vargas Zesati fullname: Vargas Zesati, Sergio A organization: University of Texas at El Paso Department of Biological Sciences, 500 West University Ave., El Paso, TX 79968, United States of America – sequence: 14 givenname: Stan D orcidid: 0000-0002-9869-0446 surname: Wullschleger fullname: Wullschleger, Stan D organization: Oak Ridge National Laboratory Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge, TN 37831, United States of America – sequence: 15 givenname: Adrian V orcidid: 0000-0002-4618-2407 surname: Rocha fullname: Rocha, Adrian V organization: University of Notre Dame Department of Biology, Notre Dame, IN 46556, United States of America |
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| SubjectTerms | Arctic Biosphere Carbon Carbon cycle carbon stocks Climate change Density Ecological niches Ecosystem structure Ecosystems Environmental impact ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Eriophorum vaginatum Machine learning Soil layers Species Structure-function relationships tundra |
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| Title | Range shifts in a foundation sedge potentially induce large Arctic ecosystem carbon losses and gains |
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