The Signature of Southern Hemisphere Atmospheric Circulation Patterns in Antarctic Precipitation

We provide the first comprehensive analysis of the relationships between large‐scale patterns of Southern Hemisphere climate variability and the detailed structure of Antarctic precipitation. We examine linkages between the high spatial resolution precipitation from a regional atmospheric model and...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Geophysical research letters Jg. 44; H. 22; S. 11,580 - 11,589
Hauptverfasser:	Marshall, Gareth J., Thompson, David W. J., Broeke, Michiel R.
Format:	Journal Article
Sprache:	Englisch
Veröffentlicht:	United States John Wiley & Sons, Inc 28.11.2017 John Wiley and Sons Inc
Schlagworte:	Antarctic climate Antarctic Oscillation Antarctic precipitation Antarctica Arctic and Antarctic oceanography Atmospheric circulation Atmospheric circulation patterns Atmospheric models Atmospheric Processes Atmospheric variability Biogeosciences circulation Circulation patterns Climate Climate and Interannual Variability Climate Change and Variability Climate Dynamics Climate models Climate Variability Climatology Cryosphere Decadal Ocean Variability Extreme weather Fluxes Geodesy and Gravity Geographic Location Global Change Mass Balance Ocean/Earth/atmosphere/hydrosphere/cryosphere interactions Oceanography: General Oceanography: Physical Oceans Precipitation Precipitation variability Research Letter Research Letters Southern Hemisphere Spatial discrimination Spatial resolution Teleconnection patterns Variability precipitation Antarctica climate mass balance circulation
ISSN:	0094-8276, 1944-8007
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Abstract	We provide the first comprehensive analysis of the relationships between large‐scale patterns of Southern Hemisphere climate variability and the detailed structure of Antarctic precipitation. We examine linkages between the high spatial resolution precipitation from a regional atmospheric model and four patterns of large‐scale Southern Hemisphere climate variability: the southern baroclinic annular mode, the southern annular mode, and the two Pacific‐South American teleconnection patterns. Variations in all four patterns influence the spatial configuration of precipitation over Antarctica, consistent with their signatures in high‐latitude meridional moisture fluxes. They impact not only the mean but also the incidence of extreme precipitation events. Current coupled‐climate models are able to reproduce all four patterns of atmospheric variability but struggle to correctly replicate their regional impacts on Antarctic climate. Thus, linking these patterns directly to Antarctic precipitation variability may allow a better estimate of future changes in precipitation than using model output alone. Key Points The primary Southern Hemisphere extratropical circulation patterns all influence the spatial distribution of Antarctic precipitation They impact not only the mean but also the incidence of extreme precipitation events Locally, extreme precipitation may be associated especially with one polarity of a circulation pattern
AbstractList	We provide the first comprehensive analysis of the relationships between large-scale patterns of Southern Hemisphere climate variability and the detailed structure of Antarctic precipitation. We examine linkages between the high spatial resolution precipitation from a regional atmospheric model and four patterns of large-scale Southern Hemisphere climate variability: the southern baroclinic annular mode, the southern annular mode, and the two Pacific-South American teleconnection patterns. Variations in all four patterns influence the spatial configuration of precipitation over Antarctica, consistent with their signatures in high-latitude meridional moisture fluxes. They impact not only the mean but also the incidence of extreme precipitation events. Current coupled-climate models are able to reproduce all four patterns of atmospheric variability but struggle to correctly replicate their regional impacts on Antarctic climate. Thus, linking these patterns directly to Antarctic precipitation variability may allow a better estimate of future changes in precipitation than using model output alone.We provide the first comprehensive analysis of the relationships between large-scale patterns of Southern Hemisphere climate variability and the detailed structure of Antarctic precipitation. We examine linkages between the high spatial resolution precipitation from a regional atmospheric model and four patterns of large-scale Southern Hemisphere climate variability: the southern baroclinic annular mode, the southern annular mode, and the two Pacific-South American teleconnection patterns. Variations in all four patterns influence the spatial configuration of precipitation over Antarctica, consistent with their signatures in high-latitude meridional moisture fluxes. They impact not only the mean but also the incidence of extreme precipitation events. Current coupled-climate models are able to reproduce all four patterns of atmospheric variability but struggle to correctly replicate their regional impacts on Antarctic climate. Thus, linking these patterns directly to Antarctic precipitation variability may allow a better estimate of future changes in precipitation than using model output alone. We provide the first comprehensive analysis of the relationships between large-scale patterns of Southern Hemisphere climate variability and the detailed structure of Antarctic precipitation. We examine linkages between the high spatial resolution precipitation from a regional atmospheric model and four patterns of large-scale Southern Hemisphere climate variability: the southern baroclinic annular mode, the southern annular mode, and the two Pacific-South American teleconnection patterns. Variations in all four patterns influence the spatial configuration of precipitation over Antarctica, consistent with their signatures in high-latitude meridional moisture fluxes. They impact not only the mean but also the incidence of extreme precipitation events. Current coupled-climate models are able to reproduce all four patterns of atmospheric variability but struggle to correctly replicate their regional impacts on Antarctic climate. Thus, linking these patterns directly to Antarctic precipitation variability may allow a better estimate of future changes in precipitation than using model output alone. We provide the first comprehensive analysis of the relationships between large‐scale patterns of Southern Hemisphere climate variability and the detailed structure of Antarctic precipitation. We examine linkages between the high spatial resolution precipitation from a regional atmospheric model and four patterns of large‐scale Southern Hemisphere climate variability: the southern baroclinic annular mode, the southern annular mode, and the two Pacific‐South American teleconnection patterns. Variations in all four patterns influence the spatial configuration of precipitation over Antarctica, consistent with their signatures in high‐latitude meridional moisture fluxes. They impact not only the mean but also the incidence of extreme precipitation events. Current coupled‐climate models are able to reproduce all four patterns of atmospheric variability but struggle to correctly replicate their regional impacts on Antarctic climate. Thus, linking these patterns directly to Antarctic precipitation variability may allow a better estimate of future changes in precipitation than using model output alone. The primary Southern Hemisphere extratropical circulation patterns all influence the spatial distribution of Antarctic precipitation They impact not only the mean but also the incidence of extreme precipitation events Locally, extreme precipitation may be associated especially with one polarity of a circulation pattern We provide the first comprehensive analysis of the relationships between large‐scale patterns of Southern Hemisphere climate variability and the detailed structure of Antarctic precipitation. We examine linkages between the high spatial resolution precipitation from a regional atmospheric model and four patterns of large‐scale Southern Hemisphere climate variability: the southern baroclinic annular mode, the southern annular mode, and the two Pacific‐South American teleconnection patterns. Variations in all four patterns influence the spatial configuration of precipitation over Antarctica, consistent with their signatures in high‐latitude meridional moisture fluxes. They impact not only the mean but also the incidence of extreme precipitation events. Current coupled‐climate models are able to reproduce all four patterns of atmospheric variability but struggle to correctly replicate their regional impacts on Antarctic climate. Thus, linking these patterns directly to Antarctic precipitation variability may allow a better estimate of future changes in precipitation than using model output alone. The primary Southern Hemisphere extratropical circulation patterns all influence the spatial distribution of Antarctic precipitationThey impact not only the mean but also the incidence of extreme precipitation eventsLocally, extreme precipitation may be associated especially with one polarity of a circulation pattern We provide the first comprehensive analysis of the relationships between large‐scale patterns of Southern Hemisphere climate variability and the detailed structure of Antarctic precipitation. We examine linkages between the high spatial resolution precipitation from a regional atmospheric model and four patterns of large‐scale Southern Hemisphere climate variability: the southern baroclinic annular mode, the southern annular mode, and the two Pacific‐South American teleconnection patterns. Variations in all four patterns influence the spatial configuration of precipitation over Antarctica, consistent with their signatures in high‐latitude meridional moisture fluxes. They impact not only the mean but also the incidence of extreme precipitation events. Current coupled‐climate models are able to reproduce all four patterns of atmospheric variability but struggle to correctly replicate their regional impacts on Antarctic climate. Thus, linking these patterns directly to Antarctic precipitation variability may allow a better estimate of future changes in precipitation than using model output alone. Key Points The primary Southern Hemisphere extratropical circulation patterns all influence the spatial distribution of Antarctic precipitation They impact not only the mean but also the incidence of extreme precipitation events Locally, extreme precipitation may be associated especially with one polarity of a circulation pattern
Author	Broeke, Michiel R. Marshall, Gareth J. Thompson, David W. J.
AuthorAffiliation	2 Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University Fort Collins CO USA 1 British Antarctic Survey Natural Environment Research Council Cambridge UK 3 Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht University Utrecht Netherlands
AuthorAffiliation_xml	– name: 2 Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University Fort Collins CO USA – name: 3 Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht University Utrecht Netherlands – name: 1 British Antarctic Survey Natural Environment Research Council Cambridge UK
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Copyright	2017. The Authors. 2017. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
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Snippet	We provide the first comprehensive analysis of the relationships between large‐scale patterns of Southern Hemisphere climate variability and the detailed... We provide the first comprehensive analysis of the relationships between large-scale patterns of Southern Hemisphere climate variability and the detailed...
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SubjectTerms	Antarctic climate Antarctic Oscillation Antarctic precipitation Antarctica Arctic and Antarctic oceanography Atmospheric circulation Atmospheric circulation patterns Atmospheric models Atmospheric Processes Atmospheric variability Biogeosciences circulation Circulation patterns Climate Climate and Interannual Variability Climate Change and Variability Climate Dynamics Climate models Climate Variability Climatology Cryosphere Decadal Ocean Variability Extreme weather Fluxes Geodesy and Gravity Geographic Location Global Change Mass Balance Ocean/Earth/atmosphere/hydrosphere/cryosphere interactions Oceanography: General Oceanography: Physical Oceans Precipitation Precipitation variability Research Letter Research Letters Southern Hemisphere Spatial discrimination Spatial resolution Teleconnection patterns Variability
Title	The Signature of Southern Hemisphere Atmospheric Circulation Patterns in Antarctic Precipitation
URI	https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002%2F2017GL075998 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29398735 https://www.proquest.com/docview/1979351332 https://www.proquest.com/docview/1994359382 https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/PMC5784396
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