Glacier retreat reorganizes river habitats leaving refugia for Alpine invertebrate biodiversity poorly protected

Alpine river biodiversity around the world is under threat from glacier retreat driven by rapid warming, yet our ability to predict the future distributions of specialist cold-water species is currently limited. Here we link future glacier projections, hydrological routing methods and species distri...

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Vydáno v:Nature ecology & evolution Ročník 7; číslo 6; s. 841 - 851
Hlavní autoři: Wilkes, M. A., Carrivick, J. L., Castella, E., Ilg, C., Cauvy-Fraunié, S., Fell, S. C., Füreder, L., Huss, M., James, W., Lencioni, V., Robinson, C., Brown, L. E.
Médium: Journal Article
Jazyk:angličtina
Vydáno: London Nature Publishing Group UK 01.06.2023
Nature Publishing Group
Nature
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ISSN:2397-334X, 2397-334X
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Shrnutí:Alpine river biodiversity around the world is under threat from glacier retreat driven by rapid warming, yet our ability to predict the future distributions of specialist cold-water species is currently limited. Here we link future glacier projections, hydrological routing methods and species distribution models to quantify the changing influence of glaciers on population distributions of 15 alpine river invertebrate species across the entire European Alps, from 2020 to 2100. Glacial influence on rivers is projected to decrease steadily, with river networks expanding into higher elevations at a rate of 1% per decade. Species are projected to undergo upstream distribution shifts where glaciers persist but become functionally extinct where glaciers disappear completely. Several alpine catchments are predicted to offer climate refugia for cold-water specialists. However, present-day protected area networks provide relatively poor coverage of these future refugia, suggesting that alpine conservation strategies must change to accommodate the future effects of global warming. Organisms living at high elevations are particularly vulnerable to climate warming. Here the authors combine hydrological and glacier modelling with species distribution models to show how glacier retreat in the European Alps could impact the biodiversity and distributions of invertebrates in alpine rivers.
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ISSN:2397-334X
2397-334X
DOI:10.1038/s41559-023-02061-5