Regional GDP in the UK, 1861-1911: new estimates

This article compares the Geary-Stark method for distributing known GDP totals across regions with a variation suggested by Crafts. Tests of the Geary-Stark method confirm that it generates accurate estimates of regional GDP. There are practical and conceptual problems with Crafts' extension, a...

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Published in:The Economic history review Vol. 68; no. 1; pp. 123 - 144
Main Authors: Geary, Frank, Stark, Tom
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Oxford Blackwell Publishing Ltd 01.02.2015
John Wiley & Sons Ltd
Blackwell
Subjects:
1861-1911
Economic conditions
Economic history
Famine
GDP
Gross Domestic Product
Handicrafts
Inequality
Ireland
Labor force
Labor productivity
Labour force
Production functions
Productivity
Productivity growth
Purchasing power parity
Regions
Studies
United Kingdom
United Kingdom > UK
Ireland
ISSN:0013-0117, 1468-0289
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Abstract This article compares the Geary-Stark method for distributing known GDP totals across regions with a variation suggested by Crafts. Tests of the Geary-Stark method confirm that it generates accurate estimates of regional GDP. There are practical and conceptual problems with Crafts' extension, and it is not tested nor is it testable. New estimates of regional GDP for the period 1861 to 1911 contradict Crafts's suggestion of rising regional inequality. Purchasing power parity adjustments do not alter this trend. The new estimates confirm Ireland's post-Famine catch-up. The great bulk of Irish labour productivity growth can be accounted for by an upward shifting production function, though it can be argued that that portion of growth that represents catch-up may be attributable to labour force decline.
AbstractList This article compares the Geary-Stark method for distributing known GDP totals across regions with a variation suggested by Crafts. Tests of the Geary-Stark method confirm that it generates accurate estimates of regional GDP. There are practical and conceptual problems with Crafts' extension, and it is not tested nor is it testable. New estimates of regional GDP for the period 1861 to 1911 contradict Crafts's suggestion of rising regional inequality. Purchasing power parity adjustments do not alter this trend. The new estimates confirm Ireland's post-Famine catch-up. The great bulk of Irish labour productivity growth can be accounted for by an upward shifting production function, though it can be argued that that portion of growth that represents catch-up may be attributable to labour force decline.
This article compares the G eary– S tark method for distributing known GDP totals across regions with a variation suggested by C rafts. Tests of the G eary– S tark method confirm that it generates accurate estimates of regional GDP . There are practical and conceptual problems with C rafts' extension, and it is not tested nor is it testable. New estimates of regional GDP for the period 1861 to 1911 contradict C rafts's suggestion of rising regional inequality. Purchasing power parity adjustments do not alter this trend. The new estimates confirm I reland's post‐ F amine catch‐up. The great bulk of I rish labour productivity growth can be accounted for by an upward shifting production function, though it can be argued that that portion of growth that represents catch‐up may be attributable to labour force decline.
This article compares the Geary-Stark method for distributing known GDP totals across regions with a variation suggested by Crafts. Tests of the Geary-Stark method confirm that it generates accurate estimates of regional GDP. There are practical and conceptual problems with Crafts' extension, and it is not tested nor is it testable. New estimates of regional GDP for the period 1861 to 1911 contradict Crafts's suggestion of rising regional inequality. Purchasing power parity adjustments do not alter this trend. The new estimates confirm Ireland's post-Famine catch-up. The great bulk of Irish labour productivity growth can be accounted for by an upward shifting production function, though it can be argued that that portion of growth that represents catch-up may be attributable to labour force decline. Reprinted by permission of Blackwell Publishing
Author Stark, Tom
Geary, Frank
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10.1006/exeh.1995.1006
10.1111/j.0013-0017.2004.00272.x
10.2307/2596202
10.4159/harvard.9780674436152
10.1111/1468-0297.00064
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We are grateful for comments from three anonymous referees. We are grateful also to Kevin O'Rourke who, some years ago, drew our attention to the unpublished Board of Trade report on wages and sent Frank Geary a copy. Jason Begley and Graham Brownlow commented on earlier versions of this article. Isobel Stark of the University of Southampton Library provided valuable assistance in tracking down references. The errors are ours.
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Snippet This article compares the Geary-Stark method for distributing known GDP totals across regions with a variation suggested by Crafts. Tests of the Geary-Stark...
This article compares the Geary–Stark method for distributing known GDP totals across regions with a variation suggested by Crafts. Tests of the Geary–Stark...
This article compares the G eary– S tark method for distributing known GDP totals across regions with a variation suggested by C rafts. Tests of the G eary– S...
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SubjectTerms 1861-1911
Economic conditions
Economic history
Famine
GDP
Gross Domestic Product
Handicrafts
Inequality
Ireland
Labor force
Labor productivity
Labour force
Production functions
Productivity
Productivity growth
Purchasing power parity
Regions
Studies
United Kingdom
Title Regional GDP in the UK, 1861-1911: new estimates
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