The interconnectedness of the economic content in the speeches of the US Presidents

The speeches stated by influential politicians can have a decisive impact on the future of a country. In particular, the economic content of such speeches affects the economy of countries and their financial markets. For this reason, we examine a novel dataset containing the economic content of 951...

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Veröffentlicht in:Annals of operations research Jg. 299; H. 1-2; S. 593 - 615
Hauptverfasser: Cinelli, Matteo, Ficcadenti, Valerio, Riccioni, Jessica
Format: Journal Article
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: New York Springer US 01.04.2021
Springer
Springer Nature B.V
Schlagworte:
Business and Management
Combinatorics
Data mining
Dictionaries
Economic conditions
Economics
Impact analysis
Messages
Methods
Nodes
Operations research
Operations Research/Decision Theory
Presidents
S.I.: Recent Developments in Financial Modeling and Risk Management
Speeches
Terminology
Theory of Computation
United States economic conditions
United States
United States > US
Text mining
Clustering
US Presidents’ speeches
Glossary of economics
Network analysis
ISSN:0254-5330, 1572-9338
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Abstract The speeches stated by influential politicians can have a decisive impact on the future of a country. In particular, the economic content of such speeches affects the economy of countries and their financial markets. For this reason, we examine a novel dataset containing the economic content of 951 speeches stated by 45 US Presidents from George Washington (April 1789) to Donald Trump (February 2017). In doing so, we use an economic glossary carried out by means of text mining techniques. The goal of our study is to examine the structure of significant interconnections within a network obtained from the economic content of presidential speeches. In such a network, nodes are represented by talks and links by values of cosine similarity, the latter computed using the occurrences of the economic terms in the speeches. The resulting network displays a peculiar structure made up of a core (i.e. a set of highly central and densely connected nodes) and a periphery (i.e. a set of non-central and sparsely connected nodes). The presence of different economic dictionaries employed by the Presidents characterize the core-periphery structure. The Presidents’ talks belonging to the network’s core share the usage of generic (non-technical) economic locutions like “interest” or “trade”. While the use of more technical and less frequent terms characterizes the periphery (e.g. “yield”). Furthermore, the speeches close in time share a common economic dictionary. These results together with the economics glossary usages during the US periods of boom and crisis provide unique insights on the economic content relationships among Presidents’ speeches.
AbstractList The speeches stated by influential politicians can have a decisive impact on the future of a country. In particular, the economic content of such speeches affects the economy of countries and their financial markets. For this reason, we examine a novel dataset containing the economic content of 951 speeches stated by 45 US Presidents from George Washington (April 1789) to Donald Trump (February 2017). In doing so, we use an economic glossary carried out by means of text mining techniques. The goal of our study is to examine the structure of significant interconnections within a network obtained from the economic content of presidential speeches. In such a network, nodes are represented by talks and links by values of cosine similarity, the latter computed using the occurrences of the economic terms in the speeches. The resulting network displays a peculiar structure made up of a core (i.e. a set of highly central and densely connected nodes) and a periphery (i.e. a set of non-central and sparsely connected nodes). The presence of different economic dictionaries employed by the Presidents characterize the core-periphery structure. The Presidents’ talks belonging to the network’s core share the usage of generic (non-technical) economic locutions like “interest” or “trade”. While the use of more technical and less frequent terms characterizes the periphery (e.g. “yield”). Furthermore, the speeches close in time share a common economic dictionary. These results together with the economics glossary usages during the US periods of boom and crisis provide unique insights on the economic content relationships among Presidents’ speeches.
Audience Academic
Author Riccioni, Jessica
Cinelli, Matteo
Ficcadenti, Valerio
Author_xml – sequence: 1
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  surname: Cinelli
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  surname: Ficcadenti
  fullname: Ficcadenti, Valerio
  email: ficcadentivalerio@gmail.com
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  givenname: Jessica
  surname: Riccioni
  fullname: Riccioni, Jessica
  organization: Department of Economics and Law, University of Macerata
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CitedBy_id crossref_primary_10_1007_s10479_024_05905_w
crossref_primary_10_1007_s10479_024_06130_1
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_joi_2020_101054
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Keywords Text mining
Clustering
US Presidents’ speeches
Glossary of economics
Network analysis
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Combinatorics
Data mining
Dictionaries
Economic conditions
Economics
Impact analysis
Messages
Methods
Nodes
Operations research
Operations Research/Decision Theory
Presidents
S.I.: Recent Developments in Financial Modeling and Risk Management
Speeches
Terminology
Theory of Computation
United States economic conditions
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Title The interconnectedness of the economic content in the speeches of the US Presidents
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