Negative consequences of positive feedbacks in US wildfire management

Over the last two decades wildfire activity, damage, and management cost within the US have increased substantially. These increases have been associated with a number of factors including climate change and fuel accumulation due to a century of active fire suppression. The increased fire activity h...

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Published in:Forest ecosystems Vol. 2; no. 1; pp. 1 - 66
Main Authors: Calkin, David E, Thompson, Matthew P, Finney, Mark A
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Beijing Beijing Forestry University 14.04.2015
Elsevier Limited
Forestry Sciences Laboratory, US Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station, 800 East Beckwith, Missoula, MT 59801, USA%Fire Sciences Laboratory, US Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station,5775 Highway 10 West, Missoula, MT 59808, USA
KeAi Communications Co., Ltd
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ISSN:2197-5620, 2095-6355, 2197-5620
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Abstract Over the last two decades wildfire activity, damage, and management cost within the US have increased substantially. These increases have been associated with a number of factors including climate change and fuel accumulation due to a century of active fire suppression. The increased fire activity has occurred during a time of significant ex-urban development of the Wildland Urban Interface (WUI) along with increased demand on water resources originating on forested landscapes. These increased demands have put substantial pressure on federal agencies charged with wildfire management to continue and expand the century old policy of aggressive wildfire suppression. However, aggressive wildfire suppression is one of the major factors that drive the increased extent, intensity, and damage associated with the small number of large wildfires that are unable to be suppressed. In this paper we discuss the positive feedback loops that lead to demands for increasing suppression response while simultaneously increasing wildfire risk in the future. Despite a wealth of scientific research that demonstrates the limitations of the current management paradigm pressure to maintain the existing system are well entrenched and driven by the existing social systems that have evolved under our current management practice. Interestingly, US federal wildland fire policy provides considerable discretion for managers to pursue a range of management objectives; however, societal expectations and existing management incentive structures result in policy implementation that is straining the resilience of fire adapted ecosystems and the communities that reside in and adjacent to them.
AbstractList Over the last two decades wildfire activity, damage, and management cost within the US have increased substantially. These increases have been associated with a number of factors including climate change and fuel accumulation due to a century of active fire suppression. The increased fire activity has occurred during a time of significant ex-urban development of the Wildland Urban Interface (WUI) along with increased demand on water resources originating on forested landscapes. These increased demands have put substantial pressure on federal agencies charged with wildfire management to continue and expand the century old policy of aggressive wildfire suppression. However, aggressive wildfire suppression is one of the major factors that drive the increased extent, intensity, and damage associated with the small number of large wildfires that are unable to be suppressed. In this paper we discuss the positive feedback loops that lead to demands for increasing suppression response while simultaneously increasing wildfire risk in the future. Despite a wealth of scientific research that demonstrates the limitations of the current management paradigm pressure to maintain the existing system are well entrenched and driven by the existing social systems that have evolved under our current management practice. Interestingly, US federal wildland fire policy provides considerable discretion for managers to pursue a range of management objectives;however, societal expectations and existing management incentive structures result in policy implementation that is straining the resilience of fire adapted ecosystems and the communities that reside in and adjacent to them.
ArticleNumber 9
Author Thompson, Matthew P
Calkin, David E
Finney, Mark A
AuthorAffiliation Forestry Sciences Laboratory, US Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station, 800 East Beckwith, Missoula, MT 59801, USA%Fire Sciences Laboratory, US Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station,5775 Highway 10 West, Missoula, MT 59808, USA
AuthorAffiliation_xml – name: Forestry Sciences Laboratory, US Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station, 800 East Beckwith, Missoula, MT 59801, USA%Fire Sciences Laboratory, US Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station,5775 Highway 10 West, Missoula, MT 59808, USA
Author_xml – sequence: 1
  givenname: David E
  surname: Calkin
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  organization: Forestry Sciences Laboratory, US Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station
– sequence: 2
  givenname: Matthew P
  surname: Thompson
  fullname: Thompson, Matthew P
  organization: Forestry Sciences Laboratory, US Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station
– sequence: 3
  givenname: Mark A
  surname: Finney
  fullname: Finney, Mark A
  organization: Fire Sciences Laboratory, US Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station
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Keywords Wildland urban interface
Wildfire suppression
Wildfire paradox
Resilience
Language English
LinkModel DirectLink
MergedId FETCHMERGED-LOGICAL-c490t-f0fe867d2130d5639914548d518d08aab3c58bc5138a52dbc40b5b21a6b340f23
Notes ObjectType-Article-1
SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
ObjectType-Feature-2
content type line 14
OpenAccessLink https://doaj.org/article/240503bd5cdb4480b8b54fefb6842ba5
PQID 1703722480
PQPubID 2034761
PageCount 10
ParticipantIDs doaj_primary_oai_doaj_org_article_240503bd5cdb4480b8b54fefb6842ba5
wanfang_journals_zglx_e201502002
proquest_journals_1703722480
crossref_citationtrail_10_1186_s40663_015_0033_8
crossref_primary_10_1186_s40663_015_0033_8
springer_journals_10_1186_s40663_015_0033_8
PublicationCentury 2000
PublicationDate 2015-04-14
PublicationDateYYYYMMDD 2015-04-14
PublicationDate_xml – month: 04
  year: 2015
  text: 2015-04-14
  day: 14
PublicationDecade 2010
PublicationPlace Beijing
PublicationPlace_xml – name: Beijing
PublicationTitle Forest ecosystems
PublicationTitleAbbrev For. Ecosyst
PublicationTitle_FL Forest Ecosystems
PublicationYear 2015
Publisher Beijing Forestry University
Elsevier Limited
Forestry Sciences Laboratory, US Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station, 800 East Beckwith, Missoula, MT 59801, USA%Fire Sciences Laboratory, US Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station,5775 Highway 10 West, Missoula, MT 59808, USA
KeAi Communications Co., Ltd
Publisher_xml – name: Beijing Forestry University
– name: Elsevier Limited
– name: Forestry Sciences Laboratory, US Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station, 800 East Beckwith, Missoula, MT 59801, USA%Fire Sciences Laboratory, US Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station,5775 Highway 10 West, Missoula, MT 59808, USA
– name: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd
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Snippet Over the last two decades wildfire activity, damage, and management cost within the US have increased substantially. These increases have been associated with...
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SubjectTerms Biomedical and Life Sciences
Ecology
Ecosystems
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Life Sciences
Review
Uncertainty and Risk Analysis in Forest Ecosystem Dynamics
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Title Negative consequences of positive feedbacks in US wildfire management
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