Changes in global vegetation activity and its driving factors during 1982–2013
•Globally, ENSO is the leading climatic driver of interannual variability of NDVIgs.•External anthropogenic forcing (mainly GHG) explains ∼66% of NDVIgs trend.•The rest of NDVIgs trend is attributable to internal climatic forcing (mainly AMO). Vegetation activity plays a crucial role in the global c...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Agricultural and forest meteorology Jg. 249; H. C; S. 198 - 209 |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
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Elsevier B.V
15.02.2018
Elsevier |
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| ISSN: | 0168-1923, 1873-2240 |
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| Abstract | •Globally, ENSO is the leading climatic driver of interannual variability of NDVIgs.•External anthropogenic forcing (mainly GHG) explains ∼66% of NDVIgs trend.•The rest of NDVIgs trend is attributable to internal climatic forcing (mainly AMO).
Vegetation activity plays a crucial role in the global carbon cycle and climate. Many studies have examined recent changes in vegetation growth and the associated local climatic drivers. They revealed a global greening trend during the recent decades. However, few studies have analyzed how remote oceanic conditions affect land vegetation growth through atmospheric teleconnection, and the causes of the recent greening needs further investigation. In this study, we investigate the spatio-temporal variations (including trends) of vegetation activity using satellite data of growing-season normalized difference vegetation index (NDVIgs), and examine their relationship to local and remote climate oscillations and external anthropogenic forcing by statistical means. As expected, there is an increasing trend in global-mean NDVIgs from 1982–2013, with significant greening over Europe and many other land areas. NDVIgs is temperature-limited at northern high-latitudes, but water-limited in arid and semi-arid regions, and radiation-limited in the Amazon and eastern and southern Asia. Globally, El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the leading climatic driver of interannual variability of NDVIgs, especially over southern and eastern Africa, eastern Australia, northeastern Asia, and northern South America. Consistent with previous modeling studies, a regression-based attribution analysis suggests that historical anthropogenic forcing (mainly increases in greenhouse gases) explains about two thirds of the NDVIgs trend from 1982 to 2013, with the rest coming mainly from the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO). Contributions to the recent NDVIgs trend from ENSO and Pacific decadal variability and Artctic Oscillation appear to be small. |
|---|---|
| AbstractList | •Globally, ENSO is the leading climatic driver of interannual variability of NDVIgs.•External anthropogenic forcing (mainly GHG) explains ∼66% of NDVIgs trend.•The rest of NDVIgs trend is attributable to internal climatic forcing (mainly AMO).
Vegetation activity plays a crucial role in the global carbon cycle and climate. Many studies have examined recent changes in vegetation growth and the associated local climatic drivers. They revealed a global greening trend during the recent decades. However, few studies have analyzed how remote oceanic conditions affect land vegetation growth through atmospheric teleconnection, and the causes of the recent greening needs further investigation. In this study, we investigate the spatio-temporal variations (including trends) of vegetation activity using satellite data of growing-season normalized difference vegetation index (NDVIgs), and examine their relationship to local and remote climate oscillations and external anthropogenic forcing by statistical means. As expected, there is an increasing trend in global-mean NDVIgs from 1982–2013, with significant greening over Europe and many other land areas. NDVIgs is temperature-limited at northern high-latitudes, but water-limited in arid and semi-arid regions, and radiation-limited in the Amazon and eastern and southern Asia. Globally, El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the leading climatic driver of interannual variability of NDVIgs, especially over southern and eastern Africa, eastern Australia, northeastern Asia, and northern South America. Consistent with previous modeling studies, a regression-based attribution analysis suggests that historical anthropogenic forcing (mainly increases in greenhouse gases) explains about two thirds of the NDVIgs trend from 1982 to 2013, with the rest coming mainly from the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO). Contributions to the recent NDVIgs trend from ENSO and Pacific decadal variability and Artctic Oscillation appear to be small. Vegetation activity plays a crucial role in the global carbon cycle and climate. Many studies have examined recent changes in vegetation growth and the associated local climatic drivers. They revealed a global greening trend during the recent decades. However, few studies have analyzed how remote oceanic conditions affect land vegetation growth through atmospheric teleconnection, and the causes of the recent greening needs further investigation. In this study, we investigate the spatio-temporal variations (including trends) of vegetation activity using satellite data of growing-season normalized difference vegetation index (NDVIgₛ), and examine their relationship to local and remote climate oscillations and external anthropogenic forcing by statistical means. As expected, there is an increasing trend in global-mean NDVIgₛ from 1982–2013, with significant greening over Europe and many other land areas. NDVIgₛ is temperature-limited at northern high-latitudes, but water-limited in arid and semi-arid regions, and radiation-limited in the Amazon and eastern and southern Asia. Globally, El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the leading climatic driver of interannual variability of NDVIgₛ, especially over southern and eastern Africa, eastern Australia, northeastern Asia, and northern South America. Consistent with previous modeling studies, a regression-based attribution analysis suggests that historical anthropogenic forcing (mainly increases in greenhouse gases) explains about two thirds of the NDVIgₛ trend from 1982 to 2013, with the rest coming mainly from the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO). Contributions to the recent NDVIgₛ trend from ENSO and Pacific decadal variability and Artctic Oscillation appear to be small. |
| Author | Dong, Bo Zhao, Lin Dai, Aiguo |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Lin surname: Zhao fullname: Zhao, Lin organization: School of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China – sequence: 2 givenname: Aiguo surname: Dai fullname: Dai, Aiguo email: adai@albany.edu organization: Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY, USA – sequence: 3 givenname: Bo surname: Dong fullname: Dong, Bo organization: Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY, USA |
| BackLink | https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1549161$$D View this record in Osti.gov |
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| Snippet | •Globally, ENSO is the leading climatic driver of interannual variability of NDVIgs.•External anthropogenic forcing (mainly GHG) explains ∼66% of NDVIgs... Vegetation activity plays a crucial role in the global carbon cycle and climate. Many studies have examined recent changes in vegetation growth and the... |
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| SubjectTerms | anthropogenic activities Australia carbon cycle climatic factors Climatic oscillation Eastern Africa El Nino Europe External forcing greenhouse gases growing season latitude NDVI normalized difference vegetation index remote sensing semiarid zones South America South Asia spatial variation temporal variation Trend attribution vegetation Vegetation activity |
| Title | Changes in global vegetation activity and its driving factors during 1982–2013 |
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