Changes in global vegetation activity and its driving factors during 1982–2013

•Globally, ENSO is the leading climatic driver of interannual variability of NDVIgs.•External anthropogenic forcing (mainly GHG) explains ∼66% of NDVIgs trend.•The rest of NDVIgs trend is attributable to internal climatic forcing (mainly AMO). Vegetation activity plays a crucial role in the global c...

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Veröffentlicht in:Agricultural and forest meteorology Jg. 249; H. C; S. 198 - 209
Hauptverfasser: Zhao, Lin, Dai, Aiguo, Dong, Bo
Format: Journal Article
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: Netherlands Elsevier B.V 15.02.2018
Elsevier
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ISSN:0168-1923, 1873-2240
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Abstract •Globally, ENSO is the leading climatic driver of interannual variability of NDVIgs.•External anthropogenic forcing (mainly GHG) explains ∼66% of NDVIgs trend.•The rest of NDVIgs trend is attributable to internal climatic forcing (mainly AMO). Vegetation activity plays a crucial role in the global carbon cycle and climate. Many studies have examined recent changes in vegetation growth and the associated local climatic drivers. They revealed a global greening trend during the recent decades. However, few studies have analyzed how remote oceanic conditions affect land vegetation growth through atmospheric teleconnection, and the causes of the recent greening needs further investigation. In this study, we investigate the spatio-temporal variations (including trends) of vegetation activity using satellite data of growing-season normalized difference vegetation index (NDVIgs), and examine their relationship to local and remote climate oscillations and external anthropogenic forcing by statistical means. As expected, there is an increasing trend in global-mean NDVIgs from 1982–2013, with significant greening over Europe and many other land areas. NDVIgs is temperature-limited at northern high-latitudes, but water-limited in arid and semi-arid regions, and radiation-limited in the Amazon and eastern and southern Asia. Globally, El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the leading climatic driver of interannual variability of NDVIgs, especially over southern and eastern Africa, eastern Australia, northeastern Asia, and northern South America. Consistent with previous modeling studies, a regression-based attribution analysis suggests that historical anthropogenic forcing (mainly increases in greenhouse gases) explains about two thirds of the NDVIgs trend from 1982 to 2013, with the rest coming mainly from the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO). Contributions to the recent NDVIgs trend from ENSO and Pacific decadal variability and Artctic Oscillation appear to be small.
AbstractList •Globally, ENSO is the leading climatic driver of interannual variability of NDVIgs.•External anthropogenic forcing (mainly GHG) explains ∼66% of NDVIgs trend.•The rest of NDVIgs trend is attributable to internal climatic forcing (mainly AMO). Vegetation activity plays a crucial role in the global carbon cycle and climate. Many studies have examined recent changes in vegetation growth and the associated local climatic drivers. They revealed a global greening trend during the recent decades. However, few studies have analyzed how remote oceanic conditions affect land vegetation growth through atmospheric teleconnection, and the causes of the recent greening needs further investigation. In this study, we investigate the spatio-temporal variations (including trends) of vegetation activity using satellite data of growing-season normalized difference vegetation index (NDVIgs), and examine their relationship to local and remote climate oscillations and external anthropogenic forcing by statistical means. As expected, there is an increasing trend in global-mean NDVIgs from 1982–2013, with significant greening over Europe and many other land areas. NDVIgs is temperature-limited at northern high-latitudes, but water-limited in arid and semi-arid regions, and radiation-limited in the Amazon and eastern and southern Asia. Globally, El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the leading climatic driver of interannual variability of NDVIgs, especially over southern and eastern Africa, eastern Australia, northeastern Asia, and northern South America. Consistent with previous modeling studies, a regression-based attribution analysis suggests that historical anthropogenic forcing (mainly increases in greenhouse gases) explains about two thirds of the NDVIgs trend from 1982 to 2013, with the rest coming mainly from the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO). Contributions to the recent NDVIgs trend from ENSO and Pacific decadal variability and Artctic Oscillation appear to be small.
Vegetation activity plays a crucial role in the global carbon cycle and climate. Many studies have examined recent changes in vegetation growth and the associated local climatic drivers. They revealed a global greening trend during the recent decades. However, few studies have analyzed how remote oceanic conditions affect land vegetation growth through atmospheric teleconnection, and the causes of the recent greening needs further investigation. In this study, we investigate the spatio-temporal variations (including trends) of vegetation activity using satellite data of growing-season normalized difference vegetation index (NDVIgₛ), and examine their relationship to local and remote climate oscillations and external anthropogenic forcing by statistical means. As expected, there is an increasing trend in global-mean NDVIgₛ from 1982–2013, with significant greening over Europe and many other land areas. NDVIgₛ is temperature-limited at northern high-latitudes, but water-limited in arid and semi-arid regions, and radiation-limited in the Amazon and eastern and southern Asia. Globally, El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the leading climatic driver of interannual variability of NDVIgₛ, especially over southern and eastern Africa, eastern Australia, northeastern Asia, and northern South America. Consistent with previous modeling studies, a regression-based attribution analysis suggests that historical anthropogenic forcing (mainly increases in greenhouse gases) explains about two thirds of the NDVIgₛ trend from 1982 to 2013, with the rest coming mainly from the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO). Contributions to the recent NDVIgₛ trend from ENSO and Pacific decadal variability and Artctic Oscillation appear to be small.
Author Dong, Bo
Zhao, Lin
Dai, Aiguo
Author_xml – sequence: 1
  givenname: Lin
  surname: Zhao
  fullname: Zhao, Lin
  organization: School of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China
– sequence: 2
  givenname: Aiguo
  surname: Dai
  fullname: Dai, Aiguo
  email: adai@albany.edu
  organization: Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY, USA
– sequence: 3
  givenname: Bo
  surname: Dong
  fullname: Dong, Bo
  organization: Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY, USA
BackLink https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1549161$$D View this record in Osti.gov
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ISSN 0168-1923
IngestDate Fri May 19 02:09:01 EDT 2023
Mon Sep 29 06:11:27 EDT 2025
Tue Nov 18 22:19:06 EST 2025
Sat Nov 29 07:23:30 EST 2025
Fri Feb 23 02:47:07 EST 2024
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Issue C
Keywords Vegetation activity
Climatic oscillation
Trend attribution
NDVI
External forcing
Language English
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PublicationTitle Agricultural and forest meteorology
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Elsevier
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Snippet •Globally, ENSO is the leading climatic driver of interannual variability of NDVIgs.•External anthropogenic forcing (mainly GHG) explains ∼66% of NDVIgs...
Vegetation activity plays a crucial role in the global carbon cycle and climate. Many studies have examined recent changes in vegetation growth and the...
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SubjectTerms anthropogenic activities
Australia
carbon cycle
climatic factors
Climatic oscillation
Eastern Africa
El Nino
Europe
External forcing
greenhouse gases
growing season
latitude
NDVI
normalized difference vegetation index
remote sensing
semiarid zones
South America
South Asia
spatial variation
temporal variation
Trend attribution
vegetation
Vegetation activity
Title Changes in global vegetation activity and its driving factors during 1982–2013
URI https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.11.013
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2010209303
https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1549161
Volume 249
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