A bottom-up optimization model for the long-term energy planning of the Greek power supply sector integrating mainland and insular electric systems

The energy planning of power sector constitutes a multifaceted challenge for policy makers, incorporating a variety of economic, technological, environmental, political and social aspects in order to ensure the unhindered equilibrium between electricity demand and electricity supply. This paper pres...

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Vydáno v:Computers & operations research Ročník 66; s. 292 - 312
Hlavní autor: Georgiou, Paraskevas N.
Médium: Journal Article
Jazyk:angličtina
Vydáno: New York Elsevier Ltd 01.02.2016
Pergamon Press Inc
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ISSN:0305-0548, 1873-765X, 0305-0548
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Abstract The energy planning of power sector constitutes a multifaceted challenge for policy makers, incorporating a variety of economic, technological, environmental, political and social aspects in order to ensure the unhindered equilibrium between electricity demand and electricity supply. This paper presents a deterministic bottom-up Mixed Integer Linear Programming model for the long-term energy planning of national power supply systems, having special focus and modeling effort on the peculiar case of Greece. It is a least cost optimization based model being expanded and enhanced with the integration of electric interconnections and the evident participation of environmental dimension. Its superstructure consists of multiple mathematical expressions representing power demand patterns, technical constraints, operation rules, penetration potential of energy sources, economic aspects, technological availability, environmental obligations and other sectoral targets and commitments applying in the electricity supply field. Its main contribution lies on the holistic methodological approach adopted, concerning the discrete electric systems of mainland and insular areas in Greece by proposing a novel way of simulating the potentiality of their submarine interconnection. The present model is applied on a real case study concerning the Greek electricity planning problem for the period 2014–2024, through the elaboration of two alternative evolution scenarios. The underlying objective is multifarious: (a) to deliver the portfolio of new capacity investments, the fuel mix trend, the penetration of renewable energy sources and the progress of achieving country׳s commitments and targets, and (b) to investigate and highlight the potential economic, energy and environmental benefits arising from the electrical interconnection of Greek islands to the main continental power system.
AbstractList The energy planning of power sector constitutes a multifaceted challenge for policy makers, incorporating a variety of economic, technological, environmental, political and social aspects in order to ensure the unhindered equilibrium between electricity demand and electricity supply. This paper presents a deterministic bottom-up Mixed Integer Linear Programming model for the long-term energy planning of national power supply systems, having special focus and modeling effort on the peculiar case of Greece. It is a least cost optimization based model being expanded and enhanced with the integration of electric interconnections and the evident participation of environmental dimension. Its superstructure consists of multiple mathematical expressions representing power demand patterns, technical constraints, operation rules, penetration potential of energy sources, economic aspects, technological availability, environmental obligations and other sectoral targets and commitments applying in the electricity supply field. Its main contribution lies on the holistic methodological approach adopted, concerning the discrete electric systems of mainland and insular areas in Greece by proposing a novel way of simulating the potentiality of their submarine interconnection. The present model is applied on a real case study concerning the Greek electricity planning problem for the period 2014–2024, through the elaboration of two alternative evolution scenarios. The underlying objective is multifarious: (a) to deliver the portfolio of new capacity investments, the fuel mix trend, the penetration of renewable energy sources and the progress of achieving country׳s commitments and targets, and (b) to investigate and highlight the potential economic, energy and environmental benefits arising from the electrical interconnection of Greek islands to the main continental power system.
The energy planning of power sector constitutes a multifaceted challenge for policy makers, incorporating a variety of economic, technological, environmental, political and social aspects in order to ensure the unhindered equilibrium between electricity demand and electricity supply. This paper presents a deterministic bottom-up Mixed Integer Linear Programming model for the long-term energy planning of national power supply systems, having special focus and modeling effort on the peculiar case of Greece. It is a least cost optimization based model being expanded and enhanced with the integration of electric interconnections and the evident participation of environmental dimension. Its superstructure consists of multiple mathematical expressions representing power demand patterns, technical constraints, operation rules, penetration potential of energy sources, economic aspects, technological availability, environmental obligations and other sectoral targets and commitments applying in the electricity supply field. Its main contribution lies on the holistic methodological approach adopted, concerning the discrete electric systems of mainland and insular areas in Greece by proposing a novel way of simulating the potentiality of their submarine interconnection. The present model is applied on a real case study concerning the Greek electricity planning problem for the period 2014-2024, through the elaboration of two alternative evolution scenarios. The underlying objective is multifarious: (a) to deliver the portfolio of new capacity investments, the fuel mix trend, the penetration of renewable energy sources and the progress of achieving country's commitments and targets, and (b) to investigate and highlight the potential economic, energy and environmental benefits arising from the electrical interconnection of Greek islands to the main continental power system.
Author Georgiou, Paraskevas N.
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  surname: Georgiou
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  email: png@chemeng.ntua.gr
  organization: Laboratory of Industrial & Energy Economics, School of Chemical Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, Zografou Campus, 15780 Athens, Greece
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Keywords Capacity expansion planning
Power sector
Energy model
Mixed Integer Linear Programming
Interconnection
Energy planning
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Snippet The energy planning of power sector constitutes a multifaceted challenge for policy makers, incorporating a variety of economic, technological, environmental,...
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SubjectTerms Alternative energy sources
Capacity expansion planning
Computer simulation
Economics
Electric potential
Electric power generation
Electricity
Energy model
Energy planning
Energy resources
Integer programming
Interconnect
Interconnection
Interconnections
Linear programming
Mathematical models
Mixed Integer Linear Programming
Optimization
Penetration
Portfolio investments
Power sector
Power supply
Studies
Title A bottom-up optimization model for the long-term energy planning of the Greek power supply sector integrating mainland and insular electric systems
URI https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cor.2015.02.015
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