Predicting replication outcomes in the Many Labs 2 study

•Psychologists participated in prediction markets to predict replication outcomes.•Prediction markets correctly predicted 75% of the replication outcomes.•Prediction markets performed better than survey data in predicting replication outcomes.•Survey data performed better in predicting relative effe...

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Bibliographic Details

Published in:	Journal of economic psychology Vol. 75; no. Part A SI; p. 102117
Main Authors:	Forsell, Eskil, Viganola, Domenico, Pfeiffer, Thomas, Almenberg, Johan, Wilson, Brad, Chen, Yiling, Nosek, Brian A., Johannesson, Magnus, Dreber, Anna
Format:	Journal Article
Language:	English
Published:	Elsevier B.V 01.12.2019
Subjects:	Beliefs Prediction markets Replications Reproducibility Reproducibility Beliefs 226 Replications C92 D80 Prediction markets
ISSN:	0167-4870, 1872-7719, 1872-7719
Online Access:	Get full text
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