Left‐digit bias and deceased donor kidney utilization
Cognitive biases shown to impact medical decision‐making include left‐digit bias, the tendency to focus on a continuous variable's leftmost digit. We hypothesized that left‐digit bias impacts deceased donor kidney utilization through heuristic processing of donor age and creatinine. We used US...
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| Vydáno v: | Clinical transplantation Ročník 35; číslo 6; s. e14284 - n/a |
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| Médium: | Journal Article |
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
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01.06.2021
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| ISSN: | 0902-0063, 1399-0012, 1399-0012 |
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| Abstract | Cognitive biases shown to impact medical decision‐making include left‐digit bias, the tendency to focus on a continuous variable's leftmost digit. We hypothesized that left‐digit bias impacts deceased donor kidney utilization through heuristic processing of donor age and creatinine. We used US registry data to identify 87 019 kidneys recovered (2015–2019) and compared the proportion around thresholds for donor age (69 vs. 70 years) and creatinine (1.9 vs. 2.0 mg/dl), then compared the risk of kidney discard. Kidneys from donors aged 70 vs. 69 years were more frequently discarded (77% vs. 65%, p < .001), with higher risk of discard even after adjusting for KDRI (adjusted RR 1.11, 95% CI 1.02–1.21, p = .018). Similarly, kidneys from donors with final creatinine 2.0 vs. 1.9 mg/dl were more frequently discarded (37% vs. 29%, p < .001), with higher risk of discard after adjusting for KDRI (adjusted RR 1.19, 95% CI 1.07–1.33, p = .001). However, no significant left‐digit effect was found when examining other donor age (39/40, 49/50, 59/60 years) or creatinine (0.9/1.0, 2.9/3.0 mg/dl) thresholds. The findings suggest a possible left‐digit effect affecting kidney utilization at specific thresholds. Additional investigations of the impact of this and other heuristics on organ utilization are needed to identify potential areas for decision‐making interventions aimed at reducing kidney discard. |
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| AbstractList | Cognitive biases shown to impact medical decision-making include left-digit bias, the tendency to focus on a continuous variable's leftmost digit. We hypothesized that left-digit bias impacts deceased donor kidney utilization through heuristic processing of donor age and creatinine. We used US registry data to identify 87 019 kidneys recovered (2015-2019) and compared the proportion around thresholds for donor age (69 vs. 70 years) and creatinine (1.9 vs. 2.0 mg/dl), then compared the risk of kidney discard. Kidneys from donors aged 70 vs. 69 years were more frequently discarded (77% vs. 65%, p < .001), with higher risk of discard even after adjusting for KDRI (adjusted RR 1.11, 95% CI 1.02-1.21, p = .018). Similarly, kidneys from donors with final creatinine 2.0 vs. 1.9 mg/dl were more frequently discarded (37% vs. 29%, p < .001), with higher risk of discard after adjusting for KDRI (adjusted RR 1.19, 95% CI 1.07-1.33, p = .001). However, no significant left-digit effect was found when examining other donor age (39/40, 49/50, 59/60 years) or creatinine (0.9/1.0, 2.9/3.0 mg/dl) thresholds. The findings suggest a possible left-digit effect affecting kidney utilization at specific thresholds. Additional investigations of the impact of this and other heuristics on organ utilization are needed to identify potential areas for decision-making interventions aimed at reducing kidney discard.Cognitive biases shown to impact medical decision-making include left-digit bias, the tendency to focus on a continuous variable's leftmost digit. We hypothesized that left-digit bias impacts deceased donor kidney utilization through heuristic processing of donor age and creatinine. We used US registry data to identify 87 019 kidneys recovered (2015-2019) and compared the proportion around thresholds for donor age (69 vs. 70 years) and creatinine (1.9 vs. 2.0 mg/dl), then compared the risk of kidney discard. Kidneys from donors aged 70 vs. 69 years were more frequently discarded (77% vs. 65%, p < .001), with higher risk of discard even after adjusting for KDRI (adjusted RR 1.11, 95% CI 1.02-1.21, p = .018). Similarly, kidneys from donors with final creatinine 2.0 vs. 1.9 mg/dl were more frequently discarded (37% vs. 29%, p < .001), with higher risk of discard after adjusting for KDRI (adjusted RR 1.19, 95% CI 1.07-1.33, p = .001). However, no significant left-digit effect was found when examining other donor age (39/40, 49/50, 59/60 years) or creatinine (0.9/1.0, 2.9/3.0 mg/dl) thresholds. The findings suggest a possible left-digit effect affecting kidney utilization at specific thresholds. Additional investigations of the impact of this and other heuristics on organ utilization are needed to identify potential areas for decision-making interventions aimed at reducing kidney discard. Cognitive biases shown to impact medical decision-making include left-digit bias, the tendency to focus on a continuous variable’s leftmost digit. We hypothesized that left-digit bias impacts deceased donor kidney utilization through heuristic processing of donor age and creatinine. We used United States registry data to identify 87,019 kidneys recovered (2015–2019) and compared the proportion around thresholds for donor age (69 vs 70 years) and creatinine (1.9 vs 2.0mg/dL), then compared the risk of kidney discard. Kidneys from donors aged 70 vs 69 years were more frequently discarded (77% vs 65%, p<0.001), with higher risk of discard even after adjusting for KDRI (adjusted RR 1.11, 95%CI 1.02–1.21, p=0.018). Similarly, kidneys from donors with final creatinine 2.0 versus 1.9mg/dL were more frequently discarded (37% vs 29%, p<0.001), with higher risk of discard after adjusting for KDRI (adjusted RR 1.19, 95%CI 1.07–1.33, p=0.001). However, no significant left-digit effect was found when examining other donor age (39/40, 49/50, 59/60 years) or creatinine (0.9/1.0, 2.9/3.0mg/dL) thresholds. The findings suggest a possible left-digit effect affecting kidney utilization at specific thresholds. Additional investigations of impact of this and other heuristics on organ utilization are needed to identify potential areas for decision-making interventions aimed at reducing kidney discard. Cognitive biases shown to impact medical decision‐making include left‐digit bias, the tendency to focus on a continuous variable's leftmost digit. We hypothesized that left‐digit bias impacts deceased donor kidney utilization through heuristic processing of donor age and creatinine. We used US registry data to identify 87 019 kidneys recovered (2015–2019) and compared the proportion around thresholds for donor age (69 vs. 70 years) and creatinine (1.9 vs. 2.0 mg/dl), then compared the risk of kidney discard. Kidneys from donors aged 70 vs. 69 years were more frequently discarded (77% vs. 65%, p < .001), with higher risk of discard even after adjusting for KDRI (adjusted RR 1.11, 95% CI 1.02–1.21, p = .018). Similarly, kidneys from donors with final creatinine 2.0 vs. 1.9 mg/dl were more frequently discarded (37% vs. 29%, p < .001), with higher risk of discard after adjusting for KDRI (adjusted RR 1.19, 95% CI 1.07–1.33, p = .001). However, no significant left‐digit effect was found when examining other donor age (39/40, 49/50, 59/60 years) or creatinine (0.9/1.0, 2.9/3.0 mg/dl) thresholds. The findings suggest a possible left‐digit effect affecting kidney utilization at specific thresholds. Additional investigations of the impact of this and other heuristics on organ utilization are needed to identify potential areas for decision‐making interventions aimed at reducing kidney discard. Cognitive biases shown to impact medical decision-making include left-digit bias, the tendency to focus on a continuous variable's leftmost digit. We hypothesized that left-digit bias impacts deceased donor kidney utilization through heuristic processing of donor age and creatinine. We used US registry data to identify 87 019 kidneys recovered (2015-2019) and compared the proportion around thresholds for donor age (69 vs. 70 years) and creatinine (1.9 vs. 2.0 mg/dl), then compared the risk of kidney discard. Kidneys from donors aged 70 vs. 69 years were more frequently discarded (77% vs. 65%, p < .001), with higher risk of discard even after adjusting for KDRI (adjusted RR 1.11, 95% CI 1.02-1.21, p = .018). Similarly, kidneys from donors with final creatinine 2.0 vs. 1.9 mg/dl were more frequently discarded (37% vs. 29%, p < .001), with higher risk of discard after adjusting for KDRI (adjusted RR 1.19, 95% CI 1.07-1.33, p = .001). However, no significant left-digit effect was found when examining other donor age (39/40, 49/50, 59/60 years) or creatinine (0.9/1.0, 2.9/3.0 mg/dl) thresholds. The findings suggest a possible left-digit effect affecting kidney utilization at specific thresholds. Additional investigations of the impact of this and other heuristics on organ utilization are needed to identify potential areas for decision-making interventions aimed at reducing kidney discard. |
| Author | Mohan, Sumit King, Kristen L. Husain, S. Ali |
| AuthorAffiliation | 3. Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY 2. The Columbia University Renal Epidemiology (CURE) Group, New York, NY 1. Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY |
| AuthorAffiliation_xml | – name: 3. Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY – name: 2. The Columbia University Renal Epidemiology (CURE) Group, New York, NY – name: 1. Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: S. Ali orcidid: 0000-0002-1823-0117 surname: Husain fullname: Husain, S. Ali email: sah2134@cumc.columbia.edu organization: The Columbia University Renal Epidemiology (CURE) Group – sequence: 2 givenname: Kristen L. surname: King fullname: King, Kristen L. organization: The Columbia University Renal Epidemiology (CURE) Group – sequence: 3 givenname: Sumit orcidid: 0000-0002-5305-9685 surname: Mohan fullname: Mohan, Sumit organization: Columbia University |
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| Keywords | cognitive heuristics kidney donor decision-making organ utilization kidney transplantation |
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| References | 2021; 16 2018; 94 2019; 94 2016; 90 2020; 20 2020; 382 2017; 101 2013; 32 2016; 16 2018; 13 e_1_2_8_3_1 e_1_2_8_2_1 e_1_2_8_5_1 e_1_2_8_4_1 e_1_2_8_7_1 e_1_2_8_6_1 e_1_2_8_9_1 e_1_2_8_8_1 e_1_2_8_10_1 e_1_2_8_11_1 e_1_2_8_12_1 |
| References_xml | – volume: 16 start-page: 9 issue: 1 year: 2021 article-title: Rationale and design of the novel uses of adaptive designs to guide provider engagement in electronic health records (NUDGE‐EHR) pragmatic adaptive randomized trial: a trial protocol publication-title: Implement Sci – volume: 20 start-page: 3413 issue: 12 year: 2020 end-page: 3425 article-title: Kidney nonprocurement in solid organ donors in the United States publication-title: Am J Transplant – volume: 32 start-page: 408 issue: 2 year: 2013 end-page: 417 article-title: Default options in advance directives influence how patients set goals for end‐of‐life care publication-title: Health Aff (Millwood) – volume: 94 start-page: 187 issue: 1 year: 2018 end-page: 198 article-title: Factors leading to the discard of deceased donor kidneys in the United States publication-title: Kidney Int – volume: 94 start-page: 187 issue: 2 year: 2019 end-page: 194 article-title: Teaching critical thinking: a case for instruction in cognitive biases to reduce diagnostic errors and improve patient safety publication-title: Acad Med – volume: 16 start-page: 138 issue: 1 year: 2016 article-title: Cognitive biases associated with medical decisions: a systematic review publication-title: BMC Med Inform Decis Mak – volume: 13 start-page: 118 issue: 1 year: 2018 end-page: 127 article-title: Characteristics and performance of unilateral kidney transplants from deceased donors publication-title: Clin J Am Soc Nephrol – volume: 101 start-page: 1514 issue: 7 year: 2017 end-page: 1517 article-title: Potential impact of risk and loss aversion on the process of accepting kidneys for transplantation publication-title: Transplantation – volume: 90 start-page: 157 issue: 1 year: 2016 end-page: 163 article-title: The weekend effect alters the procurement and discard rates of deceased donor kidneys in the United States publication-title: Kidney Int – volume: 382 start-page: 778 issue: 8 year: 2020 end-page: 779 article-title: Behavioral heuristics in coronary‐artery bypass graft surgery publication-title: N Engl J Med – volume: 32 start-page: 242 issue: 2 year: 2013 end-page: 249 article-title: Choice architecture is a better strategy than engaging patients to spur behavior change publication-title: Health Aff (Millwood) – ident: e_1_2_8_3_1 doi: 10.1186/s12911-016-0377-1 – ident: e_1_2_8_12_1 doi: 10.1111/ajt.15952 – ident: e_1_2_8_9_1 doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2012.1075 – ident: e_1_2_8_6_1 doi: 10.2215/CJN.06550617 – ident: e_1_2_8_2_1 doi: 10.1097/ACM.0000000000002518 – ident: e_1_2_8_4_1 doi: 10.1056/NEJMc1911289 – ident: e_1_2_8_8_1 doi: 10.1016/j.kint.2016.03.007 – ident: e_1_2_8_10_1 doi: 10.1186/s13012-020-01078-9 – ident: e_1_2_8_11_1 doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2012.0895 – ident: e_1_2_8_7_1 doi: 10.1097/TP.0000000000001715 – ident: e_1_2_8_5_1 doi: 10.1016/j.kint.2018.02.016 |
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| Snippet | Cognitive biases shown to impact medical decision‐making include left‐digit bias, the tendency to focus on a continuous variable's leftmost digit. We... Cognitive biases shown to impact medical decision-making include left-digit bias, the tendency to focus on a continuous variable's leftmost digit. We... Cognitive biases shown to impact medical decision-making include left-digit bias, the tendency to focus on a continuous variable’s leftmost digit. We... |
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| SubjectTerms | Adult Bias cognitive heuristics decision‐making Donor Selection Graft Survival Humans Kidney kidney donor Kidney Transplantation organ utilization Risk Factors Tissue and Organ Procurement Tissue Donors |
| Title | Left‐digit bias and deceased donor kidney utilization |
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