Revisiting Electoral Volatility in Post-Communist Countries: New Data, New Results and New Approaches

This article provides a detailed set of coding rules for disaggregating electoral volatility into two components: volatility caused by new party entry and old party exit, and volatility caused by vote switching across existing parties. After providing an overview of both types of volatility in post-...

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Veröffentlicht in:British journal of political science Jg. 44; H. 1; S. 123 - 147
Hauptverfasser: Powell, Eleanor Neff, Tucker, Joshua A.
Format: Journal Article
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: Cambridge, UK Cambridge University Press 01.01.2014
Schlagworte:
Alliances
Coding
Communism
Communist societies
Datasets
Democracy
Economic recovery
Elections
Electoral behaviour
Electoral College
Electoral districts
Memberships
Political parties
Political power
Political science
Political systems
Post-communist societies
Postcommunism
Postcommunist Societies
Presidential elections
Robustness
Statistical significance
Volatility
Votes
Voting
Western Europe
Europe
ISSN:0007-1234, 1469-2112
Online-Zugang:Volltext
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Abstract This article provides a detailed set of coding rules for disaggregating electoral volatility into two components: volatility caused by new party entry and old party exit, and volatility caused by vote switching across existing parties. After providing an overview of both types of volatility in post-communist countries, the causes of volatility are analysed using a larger dataset than those used in previous studies. The results are startling: most findings based on elections in post-communist countries included in previous studies disappear. Instead, entry and exit volatility is found to be largely a function of long-term economic recovery, and it becomes clear that very little is known about what causes ‘party switching’ volatility. As a robustness test of this latter result, the authors demonstrate that systematic explanations for party-switching volatility in Western Europe can indeed be found.
AbstractList This article provides a detailed set of coding rules for disaggregating electoral volatility into two components: volatility caused by new party entry and old party exit, and volatility caused by vote switching across existing parties. After providing an overview of both types of volatility in post-communist countries, the causes of volatility are analysed using a larger dataset than those used in previous studies. The results are startling: most findings based on elections in post-communist countries included in previous studies disappear. Instead, entry and exit volatility is found to be largely a function of long-term economic recovery, and it becomes clear that very little is known about what causes 'party switching' volatility. As a robustness test of this latter result, the authors demonstrate that systematic explanations for party-switching volatility in Western Europe can indeed be found. [PUBLICATION ABSTRACT]
This article provides a detailed set of coding rules for disaggregating electoral volatility into two components: volatility caused by new party entry and old party exit, and volatility caused by vote switching across existing parties. After providing an overview of both types of volatility in post-communist countries, the causes of volatility are analysed using a larger dataset than those used in previous studies. The results are startling: most findings based on elections in post-communist countries included in previous studies disappear. Instead, entry and exit volatility is found to be largely a function of long-term economic recovery, and it becomes clear that very little is known about what causes 'party switching' volatility. As a robustness test of this latter result, the authors demonstrate that systematic explanations for party-switching volatility in Western Europe can indeed be found.
This article provides a detailed set of coding rules for disaggregating electoral volatility into two components: volatility caused by new party entry and old party exit, and volatility caused by vote switching across existing parties. After providing an overview of both types of volatility in post-communist countries, the causes of volatility are analysed using a larger dataset than those used in previous studies. The results are startling: most findings based on elections in post-communist countries included in previous studies disappear. Instead, entry and exit volatility is found to be largely a function of long-term economic recovery, and it becomes clear that very little is known about what causes 'party switching' volatility. As a robustness test of this latter result, the authors demonstrate that systematic explanations for party-switching volatility in Western Europe can indeed be found. Adapted from the source document. Reprinted by permission of Cambridge University Press. An electronic version of this article can be accessed via the internet at http://journals.cambridge.org
This article provides a detailed set of coding rules for disaggregating electoral volatility into two components: volatility caused by new party entry and old party exit, and volatility caused by vote switching across existing parties. After providing an overview of both types of volatility in post-communist countries, the causes of volatility are analysed using a larger dataset than those used in previous studies. The results are startling: most findings based on elections in post-communist countries included in previous studies disappear. Instead, entry and exit volatility is found to be largely a function of long-term economic recovery, and it becomes clear that very little is known about what causes 'party switching' volatility. As a robustness test of this latter result, the authors demonstrate that systematic explanations for party-switching volatility in Western Europe can indeed be found. Adapted from the source document.
Author Powell, Eleanor Neff
Tucker, Joshua A.
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  surname: Powell
  fullname: Powell, Eleanor Neff
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  givenname: Joshua A.
  surname: Tucker
  fullname: Tucker, Joshua A.
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Snippet This article provides a detailed set of coding rules for disaggregating electoral volatility into two components: volatility caused by new party entry and old...
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SubjectTerms Alliances
Coding
Communism
Communist societies
Datasets
Democracy
Economic recovery
Elections
Electoral behaviour
Electoral College
Electoral districts
Memberships
Political parties
Political power
Political science
Political systems
Post-communist societies
Postcommunism
Postcommunist Societies
Presidential elections
Robustness
Statistical significance
Volatility
Votes
Voting
Western Europe
Title Revisiting Electoral Volatility in Post-Communist Countries: New Data, New Results and New Approaches
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