Bilirubin as a potential causal factor in type 2 diabetes risk: a Mendelian randomization study

Circulating bilirubin, a natural antioxidant, is associated with decreased risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D), but the nature of the relationship remains unknown. We performed Mendelian randomization in a prospective cohort of 3,381 participants free of diabetes at baseline (age 28-75 years; women 52.6%)...

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Veröffentlicht in:Diabetes (New York, N.Y.) Jg. 64; H. 4; S. 1459
Hauptverfasser: Abbasi, Ali, Deetman, Petronella E, Corpeleijn, Eva, Gansevoort, Ron T, Gans, Rijk O B, Hillege, Hans L, van der Harst, Pim, Stolk, Ronald P, Navis, Gerjan, Alizadeh, Behrooz Z, Bakker, Stephan J L
Format: Journal Article
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: United States 01.04.2015
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ISSN:1939-327X, 1939-327X
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Zusammenfassung:Circulating bilirubin, a natural antioxidant, is associated with decreased risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D), but the nature of the relationship remains unknown. We performed Mendelian randomization in a prospective cohort of 3,381 participants free of diabetes at baseline (age 28-75 years; women 52.6%). We used rs6742078 located in the uridine diphosphate-glucuronosyltransferase locus as an instrumental variable (IV) to study a potential causal effect of serum total bilirubin level on T2D risk. T2D developed in a total of 210 participants (6.2%) during a median follow-up period of 7.8 years. In adjusted analyses, rs6742078, which explained 19.5% of bilirubin variation, was strongly associated with total bilirubin (a 0.68-SD increase in bilirubin levels per T allele; P < 1 × 10(-122)) and was also associated with T2D risk (odds ratio [OR] 0.69 [95% CI 0.54-0.90]; P = 0.006). Per 1-SD increase in log-transformed bilirubin levels, we observed a 25% (OR 0.75 [95% CI 0.62-0.92]; P = 0.004) lower risk of T2D. In Mendelian randomization analysis, the causal risk reduction for T2D was estimated to be 42% (causal OR for IV estimation per 1-SD increase in log-transformed bilirubin 0.58 [95% CI 0.39-0.84]; P = 0.005), which was comparable to the observational estimate (Durbin-Wu-Hausman χ(2) test, P for difference = 0.19). These novel results provide evidence that an elevated bilirubin level is causally associated with the risk of T2D and support its role as a protective determinant.
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ISSN:1939-327X
1939-327X
DOI:10.2337/db14-0228