Investment and operational decisions for start-up companies: a game theory and Markov decision process approach

This paper analyses the contract between an entrepreneur and an investor, using a non-zero sum game in which the entrepreneur is interested in company survival and the investor in maximizing expected net present value. Theoretical results are given and the model’s usefulness is exemplified using sim...

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Vydáno v:Annals of operations research Ročník 299; číslo 1-2; s. 317 - 330
Hlavní autoři: Archibald, Thomas W., Possani, Edgar
Médium: Journal Article
Jazyk:angličtina
Vydáno: New York Springer US 01.04.2021
Springer
Springer Nature B.V
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ISSN:0254-5330, 1572-9338
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Abstract This paper analyses the contract between an entrepreneur and an investor, using a non-zero sum game in which the entrepreneur is interested in company survival and the investor in maximizing expected net present value. Theoretical results are given and the model’s usefulness is exemplified using simulations. We have observed that both the entrepreneur and the investor are better off under a contract which involves repayments and a share of the start-up company. We also have observed that the entrepreneur will choose riskier actions as the repayments become harder to meet up to a level where the company is no longer able to survive.
AbstractList This paper analyses the contract between an entrepreneur and an investor, using a non-zero sum game in which the entrepreneur is interested in company survival and the investor in maximizing expected net present value. Theoretical results are given and the model’s usefulness is exemplified using simulations. We have observed that both the entrepreneur and the investor are better off under a contract which involves repayments and a share of the start-up company. We also have observed that the entrepreneur will choose riskier actions as the repayments become harder to meet up to a level where the company is no longer able to survive.
Audience Academic
Author Archibald, Thomas W.
Possani, Edgar
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  surname: Possani
  fullname: Possani, Edgar
  organization: Department of Mathematics, ITAM
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Issue 1-2
Keywords Markov decision process
Contract design
Risk analysis
Finance
Start-up finance
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Snippet This paper analyses the contract between an entrepreneur and an investor, using a non-zero sum game in which the entrepreneur is interested in company survival...
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SubjectTerms Business and Management
Combinatorics
Decision analysis
Decision theory
Entrepreneurship
Game theory
Investments
Management
Markov processes
New business enterprises
Operations research
Operations Research/Decision Theory
S.I.: Recent Developments in Financial Modeling and Risk Management
Startups
Theory of Computation
Zero sum games
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Title Investment and operational decisions for start-up companies: a game theory and Markov decision process approach
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