Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from US Agriculture

Understanding the potential impacts of climate change on economic outcomes requires knowing how agents might adapt to a changing climate. We exploit large variation in recent temperature and precipitation trends to identify adaptation to climate change in US agriculture, and use this information to...

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Veröffentlicht in:American economic journal. Economic policy Jg. 8; H. 3; S. 106 - 140
Hauptverfasser: Burke, Marshall, Emerick, Kyle
Format: Journal Article
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: American Economic Association 01.08.2016
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ISSN:1945-7731, 1945-774X
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Zusammenfassung:Understanding the potential impacts of climate change on economic outcomes requires knowing how agents might adapt to a changing climate. We exploit large variation in recent temperature and precipitation trends to identify adaptation to climate change in US agriculture, and use this information to generate new estimates of the potential impact of future climate change on agricultural outcomes. Longer run adaptations appear to have mitigated less than half—and more likely none—of the large negative short-run impacts of extreme heat on productivity. Limited recent adaptation implies substantial losses under future climate change in the absence of countervailing investments.
Bibliographie:SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
ObjectType-Feature-1
content type line 14
ISSN:1945-7731
1945-774X
DOI:10.1257/pol.20130025