Dashing Hopes? the Predictive Accuracy of Domestic Abuse Risk Assessment by Police
Abstract The Domestic Abuse, Stalking and Honour Based Violence (DASH) form is a standardized risk assessment implemented across most UK police forces. It is intended to facilitate an officer’s structured professional judgment about the risk a victim faces of serious harm at the hand of their abuser...
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| Vydáno v: | British journal of criminology Ročník 59; číslo 5; s. 1013 - 1034 |
|---|---|
| Hlavní autoři: | , , |
| Médium: | Journal Article |
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Vydáno: |
UK
Oxford University Press
01.09.2019
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| Témata: | |
| ISSN: | 0007-0955, 1464-3529 |
| On-line přístup: | Získat plný text |
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| Abstract | Abstract
The Domestic Abuse, Stalking and Honour Based Violence (DASH) form is a standardized risk assessment implemented across most UK police forces. It is intended to facilitate an officer’s structured professional judgment about the risk a victim faces of serious harm at the hand of their abuser. Until now, it has been an open question whether this tool works in practice. Here, we present the largest scale European study, making the case that the risk assessment tool is underperforming. Each element of the DASH questionnaire is, at best, weakly predictive of revictimization. Officer risk predictions based on DASH are little better than random and a logistic regression model that predicts the same outcome using DASH only provides modest improvement in performance. |
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| AbstractList | Abstract
The Domestic Abuse, Stalking and Honour Based Violence (DASH) form is a standardized risk assessment implemented across most UK police forces. It is intended to facilitate an officer’s structured professional judgment about the risk a victim faces of serious harm at the hand of their abuser. Until now, it has been an open question whether this tool works in practice. Here, we present the largest scale European study, making the case that the risk assessment tool is underperforming. Each element of the DASH questionnaire is, at best, weakly predictive of revictimization. Officer risk predictions based on DASH are little better than random and a logistic regression model that predicts the same outcome using DASH only provides modest improvement in performance. |
| Author | Turner, Emily Medina, Juanjo Brown, Gavin |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Emily surname: Turner fullname: Turner, Emily email: emily.turner@manchester.ac.uk organization: Centre for Criminology and Criminal Justice (CCCJ), School of Law, University of Manchester, UK – sequence: 2 givenname: Juanjo surname: Medina fullname: Medina, Juanjo organization: CCCJ, School of Law, University of Manchester, UK – sequence: 3 givenname: Gavin surname: Brown fullname: Brown, Gavin organization: Machine Learning and Optimisation, School of Computer Science, University of Manchester, UK |
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| Copyright | The Author(s) 2019. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Centre for Crime and Justice Studies (ISTD). 2019 |
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| Keywords | domestic abuse risk assessment police machine learning predictive policing |
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The Domestic Abuse, Stalking and Honour Based Violence (DASH) form is a standardized risk assessment implemented across most UK police forces. It is... |
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| Title | Dashing Hopes? the Predictive Accuracy of Domestic Abuse Risk Assessment by Police |
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